Defensa y Justicia vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
37.3%
Draw
31.4%
Lanús
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 30.6% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 31.8% 41.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensa y Justicia's performance.
  • Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lanús might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensa y Justicia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lanús could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Defensa y Justicia - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (3.22)
    2.98
    (3.09)
    3.01
    (2.36)
    6.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Lanús?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Lanús may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Lanús were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Lanús - Defensa y Justicia 0:0
    03.03.2024 Defensa y Justicia - Lanús 0:4
    07.10.2023 Lanús - Defensa y Justicia 0:2
    09.07.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Lanús 2:2
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Latest results of Lanús
    26.02.2026 Flamengo - Lanús 2:3
    22.02.2026 Argentinos Juniors - Lanús Postponed
    19.02.2026 Lanús - Flamengo 1:0
    13.02.2026 Independiente - Lanús 2:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P74307:2515
    2Velez Sarsfield74308:4415
    3Platense73315:3212
    4Union de Santa Fe73229:4511
    5San Lorenzo73227:5211
    6Defensa y Justicia72506:4211
    7Independiente72419:7210
    8Talleres Cordoba73138:9-110
    9Boca Juniors62225:418
    10Lanus52218:808
    11Instituto72238:808
    12Central Cordoba72233:4-18
    13Gimnasia Mendoza72144:9-57
    14Dep. Riestra70432:5-34
    15Newells Old Boys70255:14-92


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia751111:7416
    2Belgrano74309:4515
    3Tigre742112:5714
    4Rosario Central73228:6211
    5River Plate73137:7010
    6Gimnasia L.P73137:8-110
    7Huracan72325:6-19
    8Argentinos Jrs52213:218
    9Racing Club72238:9-18
    10Barracas Central72235:6-18
    11Banfield72147:9-27
    12Sarmiento Junin72055:9-46
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto71153:11-84
    15Aldosivi60332:6-43

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)