Defensa y Justicia vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
13/02/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 5
  • Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.460.82
Ball possession
34%66%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
22
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
51
Passes
73% (206/283)83% (462/560)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.460.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.771.44
Total shots
612
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
18
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
59
Shots outside the box
13
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1128
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1014
Passes
73% (206/283)83% (462/560)
Long passes
56% (41/73)46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
63% (41/65)65% (111/170)
Crosses
18% (3/17)35% (9/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.651.03
Throw ins
1826
Fouls
1410
Tackles
52% (11/21)58% (7/12)
Duels won
6051
Clearances
3816
Interceptions
235
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
1.440.77
Goals prevented
0.44-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Gutierrez J. , Molinas A. (A),
  • 20', Valdes D. , Godoy D. ,
  • 40', Lanzini M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Botta R. , Lopez J. ,
  • 49', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Pellegrini M. ,
  • 67', Miritello J. B. , Hausch A. ,
  • 67', Lucero S. , Altamira F. ,
  • 76', Altamira F. 🟨,
  • 77', Pellegrini M. , Robertone L. ,
  • 79', Gutierrez J. , Barbona D. ,
  • 87', Monzon F. , Aliendro R. ,
  • 87', Lanzini M. , Machuca I. ,
  • 89', Molinas A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
25.6%
Draw
33.5%
Vélez Sársfield
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 31.1% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.
  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez Sársfield's recent form is better than expected.
  • Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (2.57)
    2.83
    (3)
    2.31
    (2.85)
    6%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 54%99.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Vélez (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vélez Sársfield will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 0.
    • Defensa y Justicia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Recently, Defensa y Justicia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Martinez D. (Injury) Osorio A. (Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Vélez: Escobar S. (Inactive) Gordon J. (Inactive) Romero B. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    03.08.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Defensa y Justicia 3:0
    30.03.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield 0:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield1677218:12628
    4Talleres Cordoba1675417:13426
    5Independiente1666424:20424
    6Lanus1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Instituto1663717:17021
    10Defensa y Justicia1647518:21-319
    11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:22-819
    12Platense1637610:15-516
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1636715:27-1215
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:151434
    2River Plate1692522:121029
    3Argentinos Jrs1685317:13429
    4Rosario Central1684420:16428
    5Belgrano1675417:13426
    6Gimnasia L.P1682619:19026
    7Huracan1657417:13422
    8Racing Club1656517:15221
    9Barracas Central1656515:15021
    10Tigre1648418:15320
    11Sarmiento Junin1661913:20-719
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1635815:20-514
    14Aldosivi160886:19-138
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)