Defensa y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys
Result
1:1
17/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.54
Ball Possession
79%21%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
90% (603/672)54% (99/183)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.930.58
Total shots
175
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
122
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2714
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
76
Passes
90% (603/672)54% (99/183)
Long passes
69% (33/48)37% (23/63)
Passes in final third
83% (217/260)35% (23/66)
Crosses
23% (9/40)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.18
Throw-ins
2218
Fouls
77
Tackles
71% (12/17)68% (13/19)
Duels won
5060
Clearances
4047
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.580.93
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Mosquera J. , Iniguez G. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 1, Perez C. , Miritello J. B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Molinas A. , Barbona D. ,
  • 64', Orozco F. , Chiaverano G. ,
  • 64', Iniguez G. , Sotelo D. ,
  • 66', Hausch A. , Souto L. ,
  • 66', Gutierrez J. , Lenny Lobato ,
  • 71', Garcia J. , Gomez Mattar J. ,
  • 78', Delgado R. , Stefanelli N. ,
  • 84', Souto L. 🟨,
  • 84', Acuna V. , Guch F. ,
  • 85', Tabares A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
52.3%
Draw
30.3%
Newells Old Boys
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 29.8% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 29.7% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensa y Justicia's performance.
  • Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newells Old Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensa y Justicia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newells Old Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.2)
    3.15
    (3.18)
    5.47
    (3.49)
    3.8%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys?
  • Users Predictions: Defensa y Justicia will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Defensa y Justicia will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2.
    • Defensa y Justicia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Newells Old Boys has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Defensa y Justicia is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Gonzalez L. (Injury) Osorio A. (Red Card) Schamine B. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Chiaverano G. (Knock) Regiardo L. (Red Card) Salcedo S. (Inactive) Silvetti M. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newells Old Boys: Martino A. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 0.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:2. (average 1.4:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys were as follows:
    22.05.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys 0:2
    12.02.2025 Newells Old Boys - Defensa y Justicia 0:1
    25.05.2024 Newells Old Boys - Defensa y Justicia 1:0
    16.04.2024 Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys 1:0
    27.11.2023 Newells Old Boys - Defensa y Justicia 3:0
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Latest results of Newells Old Boys
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central742111:8314
    2Central Cordoba734010:4613
    3Boca Juniors73319:3612
    4Union de Santa Fe733110:5512
    5Defensa y Justicia73318:5312
    6Estudiantes L.P74038:8012
    7Huracan73225:6-111
    8Banfield73138:10-210
    9Argentinos Jrs72237:618
    10Ind. Rivadavia72238:9-18
    11Tigre72236:7-18
    12Belgrano72236:7-18
    13Newells Old Boys71336:8-26
    14Racing Club71156:12-64
    15Aldosivi70341:8-73


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate743014:41015
    2Velez Sarsfield74219:3614
    3Dep. Riestra74129:5413
    4San Lorenzo73315:3212
    5Rosario Central62404:2210
    6Gimnasia L.P73135:5010
    7Lanus73136:7-110
    8Atl. Tucuman72328:629
    9San Martin S.J72235:7-28
    10Godoy Cruz71337:10-36
    11Platense61325:8-36
    12Sarmiento Junin61325:9-46
    13Instituto71332:10-86
    14Talleres Cordoba71243:8-55
    15Independiente60334:7-33

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)