Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente Rivadavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
17/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2, HBO Max, TNT Sports
brazilBrazilDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.53
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
85% (453/534)71% (193/271)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.241.56
Total shots
117
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
156
Passes
85% (453/534)71% (193/271)
Long passes
60% (38/63)38% (26/68)
Passes in final third
65% (93/144)59% (46/78)
Crosses
8% (2/25)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.601.44
Throw-ins
2221
Fouls
615
Tackles
71% (5/7)86% (12/14)
Duels won
3729
Clearances
2323
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.560.24
Goals prevented
-0.440.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Fernandez M. , Villa S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Miranda M. , Aguiar M. ,
  • 46', Sosa S. , Gutierrez K. ,
  • 46', Gutierrez J. , Lenny Lobato ,
  • 55', Fernandez M. 🟨,
  • 62', Molinas A. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 63', Sartori F. , Retamar K. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, Studer S. , Gomez L. (A),
  • 74', Cardillo M. , Bonifacio E. ,
  • 82', Delgado R. , Stefanelli N. ,
  • 82', Fernandez M. , Tonetto D. ,
  • 82', Gomez L. , Andino T. ,
  • 82', Osella A. , Villalba I. ,
  • 86', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
  • 87', Villalba I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
51.6%
Draw
28.2%
Independiente Rivadavia
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 29.2% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 28.7% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.89)
    3.35
    (3.2)
    4.61
    (4.4)
    5.5%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Rivadavia?
  • Users Predictions: Defensa y Justicia will win (39 of 47 users predict this - 82.98%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.24%93.72%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Defensa y Justicia will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 0.
    • Defensa y Justicia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Independiente R has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Independiente R has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Defensa y Justicia is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia 3:2
    16.09.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia 1:0
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)