Racing vs Defensa y Justicia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
08/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV5
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.831.20
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
83% (368/443)77% (262/340)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.831.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.391.17
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
1310
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
3418
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
917
Passes
83% (368/443)77% (262/340)
Long passes
46% (30/65)55% (28/51)
Passes in final third
67% (80/119)59% (51/87)
Crosses
30% (9/30)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.581.00
Throw-ins
1115
Fouls
179
Tackles
60% (6/10)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3758
Clearances
2330
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
1.171.39
Goals prevented
1.170.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', 1 - 0, Vergara D. , Cambeses F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gutierrez J. , Miritello J. B. ,
  • 46', Fernandez D. , Sosa S. ,
  • 46', Rojo M. , Di Cesare M. ,
  • 46', Vietto L. , Almendra A. E. ,
  • 62', Osorio A. 🟨,
  • 65', Gutierrez K. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 65', Molinas A. , Barbona D. ,
  • 65', Vergara D. , Rodriguez I. ,
  • 79', Miranda M. , Aguiar M. ,
  • 90+4', Adrian Martinez , Fernandez A. ,
  • 90+5', Forneris A. , Sanchez R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing
51.9%
Draw
28.2%
Defensa y Justicia
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 27.2% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensa y Justicia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensa y Justicia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Racing - Defensa y Justicia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2)
    3.37
    (3.47)
    4.67
    (3.71)
    5.3%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Racing - Defensa y Justicia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Racing will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Racing is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Racing: Adrian Martinez (Inactive) Pardo F. (Inactive) Rojas G. (Inactive) Rojo M. (Inactive) Sosa S. (Eye injury) Torres E. (Knee Injury) Zaracho M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Aguilera E. (Inactive) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive) Soto A. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Defensa y Justicia: Hausch A. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Defensa y Justicia were as follows:
    28.04.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 1:2
    19.10.2024 Racing - Defensa y Justicia 4:3
    16.03.2024 Racing - Defensa y Justicia 1:1
    01.11.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 2:2
    28.05.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 1:1
    Latest results of Racing
    03.11.2025 Central Córdoba - Racing 0:0
    29.10.2025 Racing - Flamengo 0:0
    22.10.2025 Flamengo - Racing 1:0
    17.10.2025 Racing - Aldosivi 1:0
    11.10.2025 Banfield - Racing 1:3
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1064012:5722
    2Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    3Union de Santa Fe1044216:10616
    4Defensa y Justicia1037013:8516
    5Lanus943215:12315
    6Talleres Cordoba1043310:9115
    7Boca Juniors1035211:7414
    8Independiente1035216:13314
    9Platense103526:6014
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1032511:13-211
    13Gimnasia Mendoza102356:12-69
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys100376:22-163


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1062216:12420
    2Belgrano1054111:7419
    3Rosario Central1053212:7518
    4Tigre1045116:9717
    5River Plate1052312:9317
    6Racing Club1043313:9415
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Gimnasia L.P1042413:14-114
    9Huracan103439:9013
    10Argentinos Jrs82515:4111
    11Banfield1031611:13-210
    12Sarmiento Junin103166:11-510
    13Atl. Tucuman1013611:16-56
    14Aldosivi90543:9-65
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto101183:15-124

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)