Defensa y Justicia vs Racing: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Defensa y Justicia - Racing
Result
1:2
28/04/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
Defensa y Justicia - Racing - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.88
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
72% (235/327)80% (306/384)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.291.02
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
101
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
72% (235/327)80% (306/384)
Long passes
38% (26/69)30% (17/57)
Passes in final third
59% (70/119)58% (60/103)
Crosses
33% (6/18)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.31
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
1215
Tackles
83% (5/6)80% (8/10)
Duels won
3445
Clearances
1735
Interceptions
1014
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.021.29
Goals prevented
-0.980.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2', Colombo N. 🟨,
  • 23', Delgado R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Cannavo E. , Ferreira L. ,
  • 52', Nardoni J. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. , Gonzalez L. (A),
  • 58', Di Cesare M. 🟨,
  • 59', Gonzalez L. , Molinas A. ,
  • 61', Almendra A. E. , Sanchez R. ,
  • 61', Vietto L. , Solari S. ,
  • 69', Mura F. , Martirena Torres G. N. ,
  • 69', Nardoni J. , Fernandez A. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Salas M. , Fernandez A. (A),
  • 74', Salas M. 🟨,
  • 82', Perez C. , Larralde V. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Martirena Torres G. N. , Salas M. (A),
  • 88', Gonzalez F. , Miritello J. B. ,
  • 90+1', Balboa A. , Rodriguez I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
27.8%
Draw
28.8%
Racing
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 28.2% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4% 28.7% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.
  • Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Defensa y Justicia - Racing Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (2.81)
    3.25
    (3.36)
    2.18
    (2.5)
    6.1%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Racing?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Racing will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 0.
    • Defensa y Justicia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Racing is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Racing will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Balanta K. (Injury) Barbona D. (Knee Injury) Franco L. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Injury) Soto A. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Racing: Adrian Martinez (Yellow Cards) Nardoni J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Racing: Zuculini B. (Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24:24 (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:15 (average 1.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Racing were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Racing - Defensa y Justicia 4:3
    16.03.2024 Racing - Defensa y Justicia 1:1
    01.11.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 2:2
    28.05.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 1:1
    05.10.2022 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 3:3
    Latest results of Racing
    22.04.2025 Colo-Colo - Racing 1:1
    18.04.2025 Racing - Central Córdoba 1:0
    14.04.2025 Aldosivi - Racing 0:2
    06.04.2025 Racing - Banfield 4:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano11003:033
    2Newells Old Boys11002:113
    3Barracas Central11001:013
    4Argentinos Jrs10100:001
    5Boca Juniors10100:001
    6Aldosivi10100:001
    7Central Cordoba10100:001
    8Tigre00000:000
    9Banfield00000:000
    10Estudiantes L.P00000:000
    11Union de Santa Fe00000:000
    12Defensa y Justicia00000:000
    13Ind. Rivadavia10011:2-10
    14Racing Club10010:1-10
    15Huracan10010:3-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate11003:123
    2San Lorenzo11002:113
    3Atl. Tucuman11002:113
    4Instituto11001:013
    5Independiente10102:201
    6Sarmiento Junin10102:201
    7Godoy Cruz10101:101
    8Rosario Central10101:101
    9Lanus00000:000
    10Velez Sarsfield00000:000
    11Dep. Riestra00000:000
    12San Martin S.J10011:2-10
    13Talleres Cordoba10011:2-10
    14Gimnasia L.P10010:1-10
    15Platense10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Defensa y Justicia - Racing?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaTNT Sports
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
    italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
    worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional
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