Result
1:2
28/04/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TNT Sports |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (235/327) | 80% (306/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (235/327) | 80% (306/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (26/69) | 30% (17/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (70/119) | 58% (60/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.98 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Colombo N. 🟨,
- 23', Delgado R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Cannavo E. ↓, Ferreira L. ↑,
- 52', Nardoni J. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
- 58', Di Cesare M. 🟨,
- 59', Gonzalez L. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
- 61', Almendra A. E. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 61', Vietto L. ↓, Solari S. ↑,
- 69', Mura F. ↓, Martirena Torres G. N. ↑,
- 69', Nardoni J. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Salas M. ⚽, Fernandez A. (A),
- 74', Salas M. 🟨,
- 82', Perez C. ↓, Larralde V. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Martirena Torres G. N. ⚽, Salas M. (A),
- 88', Gonzalez F. ↓, Miritello J. B. ↑,
- 90+1', Balboa A. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Defensa y Justicia
27.8% | Draw
28.8% | Racing
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Defensa y Justicia - Racing Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.4 ↑
(2.81) |
3.25 ↓
(3.36) |
2.18 ↓
(2.5) |
6.1%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Racing?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Racing will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 0.
- Defensa y Justicia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Racing is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Racing will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Balanta K.
(Injury)
Barbona D.
(Knee Injury)
Franco L.
(Knee Injury)
Sosa M.
(Injury)
Soto A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Racing: Adrian Martinez
(Yellow Cards)
Nardoni J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Racing: Zuculini B.
(Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24:24 (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:15 (average 1.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Racing?
Defensa y Justicia has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing won against Defensa y Justicia?
Racing has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Racing were as follows:
19.10.2024
Racing
-
Defensa y Justicia
4:3
16.03.2024
Racing
-
Defensa y Justicia
1:1
01.11.2023
Defensa y Justicia
-
Racing
2:2
28.05.2023
Defensa y Justicia
-
Racing
1:1
05.10.2022
Defensa y Justicia
-
Racing
3:3
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 |
| 5 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
