Racing vs Defensa y Justicia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
08/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV5
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.831.20
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
83% (368/443)77% (262/340)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.831.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.391.17
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
1310
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
3418
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
917
Passes
83% (368/443)77% (262/340)
Long passes
46% (30/65)55% (28/51)
Passes in final third
67% (80/119)59% (51/87)
Crosses
30% (9/30)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.581.00
Throw-ins
1115
Fouls
179
Tackles
60% (6/10)69% (11/16)
Duels won
3758
Clearances
2330
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
65
xGOT faced
1.171.39
Goals prevented
1.170.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', 1 - 0, Vergara D. , Cambeses F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gutierrez J. , Miritello J. B. ,
  • 46', Fernandez D. , Sosa S. ,
  • 46', Rojo M. , Di Cesare M. ,
  • 46', Vietto L. , Almendra A. E. ,
  • 62', Osorio A. 🟨,
  • 65', Gutierrez K. , Gonzalez L. ,
  • 65', Molinas A. , Barbona D. ,
  • 65', Vergara D. , Rodriguez I. ,
  • 79', Miranda M. , Aguiar M. ,
  • 90+4', Adrian Martinez , Fernandez A. ,
  • 90+5', Forneris A. , Sanchez R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing
51.9%
Draw
28.2%
Defensa y Justicia
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.3% 27.2% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensa y Justicia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensa y Justicia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Racing - Defensa y Justicia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2)
    3.37
    (3.47)
    4.67
    (3.71)
    5.3%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Racing - Defensa y Justicia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Racing will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Racing is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Racing: Adrian Martinez (Inactive) Pardo F. (Inactive) Rojas G. (Inactive) Rojo M. (Inactive) Sosa S. (Eye injury) Torres E. (Knee Injury) Zaracho M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Aguilera E. (Inactive) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive) Soto A. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Defensa y Justicia: Hausch A. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Defensa y Justicia were as follows:
    28.04.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 1:2
    19.10.2024 Racing - Defensa y Justicia 4:3
    16.03.2024 Racing - Defensa y Justicia 1:1
    01.11.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 2:2
    28.05.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 1:1
    Latest results of Racing
    03.11.2025 Central Córdoba - Racing 0:0
    29.10.2025 Racing - Flamengo 0:0
    22.10.2025 Flamengo - Racing 1:0
    17.10.2025 Racing - Aldosivi 1:0
    11.10.2025 Banfield - Racing 1:3
    Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P74307:2515
    2Velez Sarsfield74308:4415
    3Platense73315:3212
    4San Lorenzo73227:5211
    5Defensa y Justicia72506:4211
    6Independiente72419:7210
    7Talleres Cordoba73138:9-110
    8Union de Santa Fe62226:338
    9Boca Juniors62225:418
    10Lanus52218:808
    11Instituto72238:808
    12Central Cordoba72233:4-18
    13Gimnasia Mendoza72144:9-57
    14Dep. Riestra70432:5-34
    15Newells Old Boys70255:14-92


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano74309:4515
    2Ind. Rivadavia650110:6415
    3Tigre742112:5714
    4Rosario Central73228:6211
    5Gimnasia L.P73137:8-110
    6Huracan62315:419
    7Argentinos Jrs52213:218
    8Barracas Central72235:6-18
    9Banfield62136:607
    10Racing Club62137:8-17
    11River Plate62134:6-27
    12Sarmiento Junin62044:6-26
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Aldosivi60332:6-43
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto60151:11-101

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)