Result
1:2
28/04/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | TNT Sports |
China | K-Ball |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.92 | 0.88 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
72% (235/327) | 80% (306/384) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.92 | 0.88 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.29 | 1.02 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
72% (235/327) | 80% (306/384) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (26/69) | 30% (17/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (70/119) | 58% (60/103) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (6/18) | 18% (4/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.47 | 0.31 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
83% (5/6) | 80% (8/10) |
Duels won |
---|
34 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.02 | 1.29 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.98 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Colombo N. 🟨,
- 23', Delgado R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Cannavo E. ↓, Ferreira L. ↑,
- 52', Nardoni J. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
- 58', Di Cesare M. 🟨,
- 59', Gonzalez L. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
- 61', Almendra A. E. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 61', Vietto L. ↓, Solari S. ↑,
- 69', Mura F. ↓, Martirena Torres G. N. ↑,
- 69', Nardoni J. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Salas M. ⚽, Fernandez A. (A),
- 74', Salas M. 🟨,
- 82', Perez C. ↓, Larralde V. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Martirena Torres G. N. ⚽, Salas M. (A),
- 88', Gonzalez F. ↓, Miritello J. B. ↑,
- 90+1', Balboa A. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Defensa y Justicia 27.8% | Draw 28.8% | Racing 43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Defensa y Justicia - Racing Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.4 ↑ (2.81) |
3.25 ↓ (3.36) |
2.18 ↓ (2.5) |
6.1% (5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Racing?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Racing will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 0.
- Defensa y Justicia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Racing is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Racing will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Balanta K.
(Injury)
Barbona D.
(Knee Injury)
Franco L.
(Knee Injury)
Sosa M.
(Injury)
Soto A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Racing: Adrian Martinez
(Yellow Cards)
Nardoni J.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Racing: Zuculini B.
(Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24:24 (average 1.7:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:15 (average 1.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensa y Justicia won against Racing?
Defensa y Justicia has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing won against Defensa y Justicia?
Racing has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Racing were as follows:
19.10.2024
Racing
-
Defensa y Justicia
4:3
16.03.2024
Racing
-
Defensa y Justicia
1:1
01.11.2023
Defensa y Justicia
-
Racing
2:2
28.05.2023
Defensa y Justicia
-
Racing
1:1
05.10.2022
Defensa y Justicia
-
Racing
3:3
Latest results of Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
7 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Newells Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
6 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Gimnasia L.P | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
11 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)