Defensa y Justicia vs Vélez Sársfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
13/02/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 5
  • Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.460.82
Ball possession
34%66%
Total shots
612
Shots on target
22
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
51
Passes
73% (206/283)83% (462/560)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.460.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.771.44
Total shots
612
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
18
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
59
Shots outside the box
13
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1128
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1014
Passes
73% (206/283)83% (462/560)
Long passes
56% (41/73)46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
63% (41/65)65% (111/170)
Crosses
18% (3/17)35% (9/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.651.03
Throw ins
1826
Fouls
1410
Tackles
52% (11/21)58% (7/12)
Duels won
6051
Clearances
3816
Interceptions
235
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
1.440.77
Goals prevented
0.44-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Gutierrez J. , Molinas A. (A),
  • 20', Valdes D. , Godoy D. ,
  • 40', Lanzini M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Botta R. , Lopez J. ,
  • 49', Pellegrini M. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Pellegrini M. ,
  • 67', Miritello J. B. , Hausch A. ,
  • 67', Lucero S. , Altamira F. ,
  • 76', Altamira F. 🟨,
  • 77', Pellegrini M. , Robertone L. ,
  • 79', Gutierrez J. , Barbona D. ,
  • 87', Monzon F. , Aliendro R. ,
  • 87', Lanzini M. , Machuca I. ,
  • 89', Molinas A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Defensa y Justicia
25.6%
Draw
33.5%
Vélez Sársfield
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 31.1% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.
  • Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez Sársfield's recent form is better than expected.
  • Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (2.57)
    2.83
    (3)
    2.31
    (2.85)
    6%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 54%99.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Vélez (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vélez Sársfield will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 0.
    • Defensa y Justicia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Recently, Defensa y Justicia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Martinez D. (Injury) Osorio A. (Injury) Perez C. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Vélez: Escobar S. (Inactive) Gordon J. (Inactive) Romero B. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
    03.08.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Defensa y Justicia 3:0
    30.03.2023 Defensa y Justicia - Vélez Sársfield 0:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield85309:4518
    2Estudiantes L.P84317:3415
    3Union de Santa Fe842211:5614
    4Independiente834111:7413
    5Platense83415:3213
    6San Lorenzo83327:5212
    7Defensa y Justicia82607:5212
    8Talleres Cordoba83238:9-111
    9Boca Juniors72326:519
    10Lanus62319:909
    11Instituto82249:10-18
    12Central Cordoba82243:6-38
    13Gimnasia Mendoza82245:10-58
    14Dep. Riestra80532:5-35
    15Newells Old Boys80265:16-112


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia852112:8417
    2Tigre843114:7715
    3Belgrano843110:7315
    4Rosario Central842210:6414
    5Huracan83328:7112
    6Racing Club832311:9211
    7River Plate83238:8011
    8Gimnasia L.P83239:10-111
    9Banfield83149:9010
    10Argentinos Jrs62314:319
    11Barracas Central82336:7-19
    12Sarmiento Junin83056:9-39
    13Atl. Tucuman81259:13-45
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto81163:12-94
    15Aldosivi70342:8-63

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)