Result
1:0
20/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
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 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pandiani A. ↓, Jourdan E. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 0, Montenegro B. ⚽,
- 53', Ramos N. 🟨,
- 68', Torterolo A. ↓, Wunsch N. ↑,
- 70', Caballero M. 🟨,
- 76', Biscayzacu X. 🟨,
- 77', Machado A. ↓, Lozano B. ↑,
- 77', Biscayzacu X. ↓, de los Santos L. ↑,
- 77', Viera G. ↓, Sellecchia F. ↑,
- 81', Assis S. 🟨,
- 82', Correa L. 🟨,
- 85', Assis S. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 85', Hernandez A. ↓, Bertocchi N. ↑,
- 90+1', Montenegro B. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Defensor Sporting
45% | Draw
29.7% | Cerro Largo
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.13) |
3.14 ↓
(3.22) |
3.65 ↑
(3.43) |
7.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Defensor Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Defensor Sporting (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
Users Predictions:
Defensor Sporting will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Defensor Sporting (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 2.
- Cerro Largo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Defensor Sporting is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Cerro Largo?
Defensor Sporting has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Largo won against Defensor Sporting?
Cerro Largo has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo were as follows:
13.09.2025
Cerro Largo
-
Defensor Sporting
1:0
24.05.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Cerro Largo
3:2
22.03.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Cerro Largo
0:0
27.11.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Defensor Sporting
3:0
26.05.2024
Cerro Largo
-
Defensor Sporting
1:3
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Latest results of Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Esp | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Nacional | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Defensor Sp | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Penarol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Danubio | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Racing Montevideo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Montevideo City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Albion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Liverpool M | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Juventud | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Boston River | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | CA Cerro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Progreso | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
