Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo
Result
3:2
24/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
610
Corner Kicks
67
Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
610
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
67
Goalkeeper Saves
83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, De los Santos G. ,
  • 11', Bertocchi N. (Pen),
  • 21', Bertocchi N. 🟨,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Gomez M. ,
  • 39', Parada F. , Peraza F. ,
  • 40', Anasco M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Abaldo M. , Dudok R. ,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Alvarez J. ,
  • 60', Gomez M. 🟨,
  • 64', Bertocchi N. , Mir M. ,
  • 64', Anasco M. , Rossi F. ,
  • 65', Affonso M. , Otormin L. ,
  • 69', Prieto K. , Soria A. ,
  • 69', Ginella F. , Montoya W. ,
  • 72', Amaro M. 🟨,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Mir M. ,
  • 75', Amaro M. , Barrios G. ,
  • 80', Bonifazi F. , Gonzalez C. ,
  • 82', Assis S. 🟨,
  • 84', Gomez M. , Abreu D. ,
  • 86', Rossi F. 🟨,
  • 88', Gianoli M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, Garcia A. ,
  • 90+4', Biscayzacu X. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Abreu D. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Contrera J. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
48.8%
Draw
28.7%
Cerro Largo
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 29.1% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 26.5% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensor Sporting that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerro Largo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.06)
    3.23
    (3.2)
    4.11
    (3.62)
    7.8%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 3.
    • Defensor Sporting has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cerro Largo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Cerro Largo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Defensor Sporting is the team to beat.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo 0:0
    27.11.2024 Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting 3:0
    26.05.2024 Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting 1:3
    21.10.2023 Defensor Sporting - Cerro Largo 2:0
    19.03.2023 Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting 0:3
    Latest results of Defensor Sporting
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol540112:4812
    2Boston River53209:3611
    3Montevideo City531113:8510
    4Liverpool M53116:3310
    5Cerro Largo53116:3310
    6Juventud53025:509
    7Defensor Sp53023:6-39
    8Nacional531111:657
    9Miramar52128:717
    10CA Cerro52125:417
    11Racing Montevideo52034:10-66
    12Danubio51134:6-24
    13Wanderers51132:4-24
    14Progreso51045:9-43
    15Plaza Colonia50143:10-71
    16River Plate50140:8-81

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