Result
1:0
27/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Sorondo F. 🟨,
- 25', Garcia F. 🟨,
- 31', Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. 🟨,
- 34', Pinheiro A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kidd F. ↓, Martin M. ↑,
- 46', Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. ↓, Torterolo A. ↑,
- 46', Sorondo F. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
- 58', Copelotti M. 🟨,
- 60', De Leon F. ↓, Dos Santos J. ↑,
- 65', 🟨,
- 65', Castro F. ↓, Medina N. ↑,
- 70', Trasante G. 🟨,
- 73', Barrios G. ↓, Wunsch N. ↑,
- 73', Medina N. ↓, Lozano B. ↑,
- 75', Copelotti M. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
- 76', Lopez N. ↓, Viera S. ↑,
- 77', Lozano B. 🟨,
- 83', Fernandez N. ↓, Rivero J. ↑,
- 85', Silva T. 🟥,
- 86', Machado A. 🟨,
- 90', Dos Santos J. 🟨,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 0, Wunsch N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Defensor Sporting
48.9% | Draw
28.2% | Progreso
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensor Sporting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Defensor Sporting - Progreso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.72) |
3.33 ↑
(3.13) |
4.05 ↓
(4.83) |
7.4%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Progreso?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Progreso will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Defensor Sporting is the team to beat.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:23. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Progreso?
Defensor Sporting has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Progreso won against Defensor Sporting?
Progreso has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Progreso were as follows:
11.01.2026
Defensor Sporting
-
Progreso
0:1
19.10.2025
Progreso
-
Defensor Sporting
2:3
20.04.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Progreso
1:2
13.11.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Progreso
3:0
15.06.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Progreso
1:1
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Latest results of Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Penarol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Albion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 22 |
| 5 | Central Esp | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Liverpool M | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 20 |
| 9 | Nacional | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 10 | Danubio | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 17:20 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Boston River | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 17 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Progreso | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
