Result
68:80
26/03/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Uruguaya - Winners stage
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 59 | 75 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 32.2% | 41.33% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 29 | 51 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 9 | 24 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 31.03% | 47.06% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 33.33% | 29.17% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 69% | 78.6% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 33 | 36 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 37 | 49 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
Chances of winning
Defensor Sporting 30% | Nacional 70% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensor Sporting's form might have worsened.Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+13.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensor Sporting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Defensor Sporting - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.06 ↑ (2.3) |
|
1.31 ↓ (1.56) |
9% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 172.75
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor won 2.
- Defensor has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nacional is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nacional is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 1330:1493. (average 66.5:74.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Defensor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 702:748. (average 70.2:74.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Nacional?
Defensor Sporting has won 7 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Defensor Sporting?
Nacional has won 15 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Nacional were as follows:
12.02.2026
Defensor Sporting
-
Nacional
82:73
15.01.2026
Defensor Sporting
-
Nacional
Postponed
31.10.2025
Nacional
-
Defensor Sporting
80:61
09.05.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Nacional
80:85
06.05.2025
Nacional
-
Defensor Sporting
90:82
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Latest results of Nacional
Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
Winners stage | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 26 | 22 | 4 | 2294:1931 | 46 |
| 2 | Hebraica y Macabi | 28 | 15 | 13 | 2350:2364 | 43 |
| 3 | Malvin | 28 | 17 | 11 | 2264:2281 | 43 |
| 4 | Aguada | 26 | 19 | 7 | 2390:2206 | 41 |
| 5 | Nacional | 26 | 17 | 9 | 2381:2135 | 41 |
| 6 | Defensor | 28 | 13 | 15 | 2385:2391 | 41 |
Promotion ~ Liga Uruguaya (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)