Defensor Sporting vs Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
68:80
26/03/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Uruguaya - Winners stage

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
5975
Field goals made
1931
Field goals %
32.2%41.33%
2-point field goals attempts
2951
2-point field goals made
924
2-point field goals %
31.03%47.06%
3-point field goals attempts
3024
3-point field goals made
107
3-point field goals %
33.33%29.17%
Free throws attempts
2914
Free throws made
2011
Free throws %
69%78.6%
Offensive rebounds
413
Defensive rebounds
3336
Total rebounds
3749
Assists
1214
Blocks
43
Turnovers
118
Steals
34
Personal fouls
1825

Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
30%
Nacional
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 56.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensor Sporting's form might have worsened.
  • Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensor Sporting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Defensor Sporting - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.3)

    1.31
    (1.56)
    9%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 172.75
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor won 2.
    • Defensor has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Nacional is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nacional is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 1330:1493. (average 66.5:74.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 702:748. (average 70.2:74.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Nacional were as follows:
    12.02.2026 Defensor Sporting - Nacional 82:73
    15.01.2026 Defensor Sporting - Nacional Postponed
    31.10.2025 Nacional - Defensor Sporting 80:61
    09.05.2025 Defensor Sporting - Nacional 80:85
    06.05.2025 Nacional - Defensor Sporting 90:82
    Latest results of Defensor Sporting
    Latest results of Nacional
    23.03.2026 Nacional - Malvín 88:90
    19.03.2026 Hebraica y Macabi - Nacional 80:111
    19.02.2026 Nacional - Cordón 126:75
    Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
    Winners stage
    PlWLPts
    1Penarol262242294:193146
    2Hebraica y Macabi2815132350:236443
    3Malvin2817112264:228143
    4Aguada261972390:220641
    5Nacional261792381:213541
    6Defensor2813152385:239141

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