Defensor Sporting vs Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
82:73
12/02/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Uruguaya

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6370
Field goals made
2625
Field goals %
41.27%35.71%
2-point field goals attempts
3342
2-point field goals made
1522
2-point field goals %
45.45%52.38%
3-point field goals attempts
3028
3-point field goals made
113
3-point field goals %
36.67%10.71%
Free throws attempts
2529
Free throws made
1920
Free throws %
76%69%
Offensive rebounds
914
Defensive rebounds
3331
Total rebounds
4245
Assists
1411
Blocks
31
Turnovers
1817
Steals
514
Personal fouls
3025

Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
37%
Nacional
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 57.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensor Sporting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Defensor Sporting - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.77)

    1.46
    (1.37)
    8.8%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 174.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: Defensor Sporting will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Defensor Sporting will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:90.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Defensor has had a series of away games.
    • Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 1352:1491. (average 67.6:74.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 639:674. (average 71:74.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Nacional were as follows:
    15.01.2026 Defensor Sporting - Nacional Postponed
    31.10.2025 Nacional - Defensor Sporting 80:61
    09.05.2025 Defensor Sporting - Nacional 80:85
    06.05.2025 Nacional - Defensor Sporting 90:82
    02.05.2025 Defensor Sporting - Nacional 87:77
    Latest results of Defensor Sporting
    Latest results of Nacional
    08.02.2026 Nacional - Flamengo 89:79
    07.02.2026 Obras Sanitarias - Nacional 73:77
    03.02.2026 Nacional - Malvín 79:53
    30.01.2026 Hebraica y Macabi - Nacional 102:81
    Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penarol221931933:161139
    2Hebraica y Macabi221481860:179836
    3Malvin221481799:177934
    4Nacional221482031:182834
    5Defensor2212101902:187134
    6Aguada221572022:190433
    7Union Atletica2211111826:181533
    8Bigua2211111944:195433
    9Urunday229131956:189931
    10Goes226161797:196028
    11Welcome224181776:209426
    12Cordon223191771:210423

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