Result
82:73
12/02/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 63 | 70 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 41.27% | 35.71% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 33 | 42 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 45.45% | 52.38% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 36.67% | 10.71% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 76% | 69% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 33 | 31 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
Chances of winning
Defensor Sporting 37% | Nacional 63% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensor Sporting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Defensor Sporting - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.48 ↓ (2.77) |
|
1.46 ↑ (1.37) |
8.8% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 174.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
Defensor Sporting will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Defensor Sporting will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:90.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Defensor has had a series of away games.
- Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 1352:1491. (average 67.6:74.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Defensor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 639:674. (average 71:74.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Nacional?
Defensor Sporting has won 6 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Defensor Sporting?
Nacional has won 15 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - Nacional were as follows:
15.01.2026
Defensor Sporting
-
Nacional
Postponed
31.10.2025
Nacional
-
Defensor Sporting
80:61
09.05.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Nacional
80:85
06.05.2025
Nacional
-
Defensor Sporting
90:82
02.05.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Nacional
87:77
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Latest results of Nacional
Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 22 | 19 | 3 | 1933:1611 | 39 |
| 2 | Hebraica y Macabi | 22 | 14 | 8 | 1860:1798 | 36 |
| 3 | Malvin | 22 | 14 | 8 | 1799:1779 | 34 |
| 4 | Nacional | 22 | 14 | 8 | 2031:1828 | 34 |
| 5 | Defensor | 22 | 12 | 10 | 1902:1871 | 34 |
| 6 | Aguada | 22 | 15 | 7 | 2022:1904 | 33 |
| 7 | Union Atletica | 22 | 11 | 11 | 1826:1815 | 33 |
| 8 | Bigua | 22 | 11 | 11 | 1944:1954 | 33 |
| 9 | Urunday | 22 | 9 | 13 | 1956:1899 | 31 |
| 10 | Goes | 22 | 6 | 16 | 1797:1960 | 28 |
| 11 | Welcome | 22 | 4 | 18 | 1776:2094 | 26 |
| 12 | Cordon | 22 | 3 | 19 | 1771:2104 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Uruguaya (Winners stage: )
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