Degerfors vs Djurgården – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swedish Allsvenskan Degerfors - Djurgården
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Allsvenskan - Round 26
  • Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.19
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
94
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
69% (214/311)77% (336/435)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.790.44
Total shots
94
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
21
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
218
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1016
Passes
69% (214/311)77% (336/435)
Long passes
35% (21/60)43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
58% (80/137)66% (69/104)
Crosses
23% (7/31)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.830.25
Throw-ins
3521
Fouls
1610
Tackles
67% (12/18)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5247
Clearances
2045
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.440.79
Goals prevented
-0.56-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Stensson D. 🟨,
  • 11', Fallenius O. 🟨,
  • 15', Ndinga P. 🟨,
  • 42', Hien L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Stahl A. 🟨,
  • 54', Stensson D. , Schuller R. ,
  • 54', Fallenius O. , Okkels J. ,
  • 58', 0 - 1, Okkels J. , Stahl A. (A),
  • 61', Ndinga P. , Diaby M. ,
  • 67', Taranis A. , Omorowa R. ,
  • 75', Rafferty M. , Ohlsson S. ,
  • 75', Girmai N. , Barsoum E. ,
  • 78', Siltanen M. , Ekdal A. ,
  • 78', Une-Larsson J. , Tenho M. ,
  • 85', Ohlsson S. 🟨,
  • 89', Nguen T. , Johansson P. ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Vukojevic D. , Sundgren D. (A),

Chances of winning


Degerfors
25.2%
Draw
27.2%
Djurgården
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.3% 21.6% 59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9% 21.1% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Degerfors's performance.
  • Djurgården has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Djurgården might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Degerfors that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Djurgården could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Degerfors - Djurgården Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.79
    (4.8)
    3.45
    (4.3)
    2.03
    (1.57)
    4.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Degerfors - Djurgården?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Degerfors will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Djurgården will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Djurgården: 74.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Djurgården will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 2.
    • Recent performances by Degerfors have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Djurgården is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Djurgården is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Degerfors: Gravius C. (Injury) Laomadi C. (Suspended) Ohlsson S. (Overload) Smedberg H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Djurgården: Marques M. (Inactive) Nilsson M. (Elbow Injury) Tenho M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Degerfors: Igonen M. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 1.3:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Degerfors won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Degerfors - Djurgården were as follows:
    06.07.2025 Djurgården - Degerfors 5:1
    10.03.2024 Djurgården - Degerfors 3:0
    27.08.2023 Djurgården - Degerfors 4:1
    01.10.2022 Degerfors - Djurgården 3:0
    Latest results of Degerfors
    27.09.2025 Elfsborg - Degerfors 1:2
    21.09.2025 Sirius - Degerfors 1:3
    13.09.2025 Degerfors - Mjällby 0:1
    31.08.2025 Malmö - Degerfors 1:1
    24.08.2025 Degerfors - AIK 0:1
    Latest results of Djurgården
    29.09.2025 Djurgården - Sirius 8:2
    20.09.2025 Malmö - Djurgården 0:1
    14.09.2025 Djurgården - Hammarby 3:3
    31.08.2025 Norrköping - Djurgården 0:4
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby26196147:173063
    2Hammarby26164651:262552
    3Malmo FF27129642:281445
    4GAIS26129538:251345
    5AIK26128634:27744
    6Goteborg261421036:31544
    7Djurgarden26119641:261542
    8Elfsborg261141140:40037
    9Hacken27961239:46-733
    10Sirius27861344:49-530
    11Brommapojkarna26921538:41-329
    12Norrkoping27851438:51-1329
    13Halmstad26841421:47-2628
    14Oster26671325:37-1225
    15Degerfors26651527:48-2123
    16Varnamo26361732:54-2215

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan