Result
2:2
23/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (516/591) | 74% (210/285) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (516/591) | 74% (210/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (38/65) | 44% (24/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (126/172) | 59% (48/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 60% (15/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Fortes J. ⚽, Monzialo K. (A),
- 44', Zwart J. 🟨,
- 45', van Grunsven T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Mastoras E. ↓, Oerip J. ↑,
- 57', Monzialo K. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
- 66', van der Klaauw D. ↓, Osazuwa S. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Osazuwa S. ⚽, Oerip J. (A),
- 66', Andersen F. E. ↓, Esajas J. ↑,
- 72', van Leeuwen T. ↓, Boumassaoudi I. ↑,
- 76', Smits A. ↓, Zekri R. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Semedo E. ⚽, de Groot N. (A),
- 86', Osazuwa S. 🟨,
- 88', Karlsson Grach S. ↓, Wang B. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Oerip J. ⚽, Ichihara R. (A),
Chances of winning
Jong AZ Alkmaar 38.8% | Draw 24.1% | Den Bosch 37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↑ (2.18) |
3.86 ↓ (3.89) |
2.53 ↓ (2.82) |
7.4% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Den Bosch will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Den Bosch: 41.5% – 84.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Den Bosch will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Jong AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Den Bosch: Verbeek D.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Den Bosch?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Den Bosch won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Den Bosch has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch were as follows:
26.09.2025
Den Bosch
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:3
28.04.2025
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Den Bosch
0:0
16.08.2024
Den Bosch
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
6:0
16.02.2024
Den Bosch
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0:0
11.12.2023
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Den Bosch
0:0
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )