Result
2:3
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 8
- Referee: Martens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.24 | 1.26 |
Ball Possession |
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43% | 57% |
Total shots |
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8 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Passes |
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78% (284/365) | 85% (437/514) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.24 | 1.26 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.38 | 2.45 |
Total shots |
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8 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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8 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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22 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 16 |
Passes |
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78% (284/365) | 85% (437/514) |
Long passes |
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48% (32/66) | 56% (44/79) |
Passes in final third |
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68% (82/121) | 66% (64/97) |
Crosses |
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20% (4/20) | 0% (0/3) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.20 | 1.02 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 16 |
Fouls |
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16 | 8 |
Tackles |
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77% (17/22) | 57% (8/14) |
Duels won |
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49 | 44 |
Clearances |
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13 | 25 |
Interceptions |
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7 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
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1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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2.45 | 1.38 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.55 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Monzialo K. (Pen),
- 17', 1 - 1, Bouziane W. ⚽, Boogaard K. (A),
- 38', 2 - 1, van Grunsven T. ⚽, Monzialo K. (A),
- 43', van Grunsven T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Bouziane W. ↓, Toppenberg K. ↑,
- 46', Zeefuik L. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
- 46', Kwakman D. ↓, Robbemond R. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 2, Toppenberg K. ⚽, van der Klaauw D. (A),
- 62', Monzialo K. 🟨,
- 62', Dijkstra E. ↓, Inge K. ↑,
- 68', El Allachi C. ↓, Sille G. ↑,
- 69', Verbeek D. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
- 79', Monzialo K. ↓, Kuijpers D. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 3, van der Klaauw D. ⚽, van den Ban Y. (A),
- 80', van der Klaauw D. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
- 85', Akmum R. ↓, Wolters R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Den Bosch 42.4% | Draw 25.4% | Jong AZ Alkmaar 32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Den Bosch - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.25 ↓ (2.38) |
3.72 ↓ (3.8) |
2.95 ↑ (2.46) |
5.2% (9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Den Bosch - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Den Bosch will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Den Bosch: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Den Bosch (votes: 2 - 50%). Jong AZ (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Den Bosch: Karlsson Grach S.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Den Bosch won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Den Bosch won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Den Bosch won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Den Bosch has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Den Bosch?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Den Bosch - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
28.04.2025
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Den Bosch
0:0
16.08.2024
Den Bosch
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
6:0
16.02.2024
Den Bosch
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0:0
11.12.2023
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Den Bosch
0:0
17.02.2023
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Den Bosch
3:1
Latest results of Den Bosch
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Den Haag | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
2 | Cambuur | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 19 |
3 | Jong PSV | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 18 |
4 | Roda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
5 | Dordrecht | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
6 | Venlo | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
7 | Willem II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
8 | Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Den Bosch | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 10 |
10 | Oss | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 10 |
11 | FC Emmen | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
12 | Helmond | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Eindhoven FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
14 | Almere City | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 9 |
15 | De Graafschap | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
16 | Jong AZ | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 7 |
17 | Jong Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 |
18 | Maastricht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Jong Ajax | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 5 |
20 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | -8 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )