Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Den Bosch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
23/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.330.57
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
64
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
63
Passes
87% (516/591)74% (210/285)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
1.330.57
xG on target (xGOT)
1.691.83
Total shots
117
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
23
Blocked shots
30
Shots inside the box
84
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
12
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2316
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free kicks
1113
Passes
87% (516/591)74% (210/285)
Long passes
58% (38/65)44% (24/54)
Passes in final third
73% (126/172)59% (48/82)
Crosses
22% (4/18)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.451.08
Throw ins
2115
Fouls
1311
Tackles
62% (8/13)60% (15/25)
Duels won
4456
Clearances
926
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
1.831.69
Goals prevented
-0.17-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Fortes J. , Monzialo K. (A),
  • 44', Zwart J. 🟨,
  • 45', van Grunsven T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Mastoras E. , Oerip J. ,
  • 57', Monzialo K. , Semedo E. ,
  • 66', van der Klaauw D. , Osazuwa S. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Osazuwa S. , Oerip J. (A),
  • 66', Andersen F. E. , Esajas J. ,
  • 72', van Leeuwen T. , Boumassaoudi I. ,
  • 76', Smits A. , Zekri R. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Semedo E. , de Groot N. (A),
  • 86', Osazuwa S. 🟨,
  • 88', Karlsson Grach S. , Wang B. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Oerip J. , Ichihara R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong AZ Alkmaar
38.8%
Draw
24.1%
Den Bosch
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 24% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 23.4% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.18)
    3.86
    (3.89)
    2.53
    (2.82)
    7.4%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Den Bosch will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Den Bosch: 41.5%84.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Den Bosch will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Jong AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Den Bosch: Verbeek D. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch were as follows:
    26.09.2025 Den Bosch - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:3
    28.04.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch 0:0
    16.08.2024 Den Bosch - Jong AZ Alkmaar 6:0
    16.02.2024 Den Bosch - Jong AZ Alkmaar 0:0
    11.12.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch 0:0
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    Latest results of Den Bosch
    12.02.2026 Den Bosch - FC Eindhoven 2:1
    06.02.2026 Helmond Sport - Den Bosch 2:0
    30.01.2026 Den Bosch - Emmen 1:1
    26.01.2026 De Graafschap - Den Bosch 1:1
    23.01.2026 Dordrecht - Den Bosch 3:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag38292790:375389
    2Cambuur38239675:482778
    3Willem II382081059:421768
    4De Graafschap381891174:581663
    5Almere City381841678:631558
    6Waalwijk3816101271:591258
    7Jong PSV381751666:64256
    8Roda3814131159:54555
    9Den Bosch381491565:69-451
    10Dordrecht3812111548:56-847
    11Eindhoven FC381451951:69-1847
    12Jong Utrecht3812101658:62-446
    13Venlo381361950:58-845
    14FC Emmen381291758:72-1445
    15Vitesse3815111264:55944
    16Oss3811111654:64-1044
    17Jong AZ381242261:76-1540
    18Helmond381091942:62-2039
    19Maastricht389111841:73-3238
    20Jong Ajax38982150:73-2335

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