Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 7
- Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (206/317) | 83% (465/560) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.09 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (206/317) | 83% (465/560) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (22/69) | 49% (37/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (44/95) | 70% (130/186) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 38% (10/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (20/23) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 66', Khalaili A. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
- 66', Rasmussen M. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
- 66', David P. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 68', Nsimba B. ↓, Kadiri J. A. ↑,
- 68', Ferraro F. ↓, Moutha-Sebtaoui N. ↑,
- 78', Hrncar D. ↓, Fredrick B. ↑,
- 84', Zorgane A. ↓, Van De Perre K. ↑,
- 84', Florucz R. ↓, Giger M. ↑,
- 86', Viltard M. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 1, Rodriguez K. ⚽, Giger M. (A),
Chances of winning
Dender EH
13.6% | Draw
21.1% | Saint-Gilloise
65.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dender EH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.04 ↑
(6.5) |
4.49 ↓
(4.5) |
1.45
(1.45) |
5.4%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Union SG will win (votes: 12 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 59.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Union SG (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Union SG (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- Dender EH has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Union SG is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Union SG is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Dender EH: Berte M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Union SG: Ait El Hadj A.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Saint-Gilloise?
Dender EH has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Dender EH?
Saint-Gilloise has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
01.03.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
Dender EH
4:1
27.07.2024
Dender EH
-
Saint-Gilloise
0:0
Latest results of Dender EH
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:3 | 12 | 17 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Charleroi | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Club Brugge KV | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 | Antwerp | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Genk | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Gent | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | St. Liege | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Waregem | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Leuven | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Dender | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2:10 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
