Saint-Gilloise vs Dender EH – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Jupiler Pro League Saint-Gilloise - Dender EH
Result
4:1
01/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 28
  • Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
netherlandsNetherlandsSporza

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.880.49
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
194
Shots on Goal
142
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
41
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
25
Shots inside the Box
143
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
110
Free Kicks
1012
Offsides
70
Fouls
1210
Throw-ins
1328
Touches in the Opposition Box
429
Passes
85% (404/474)71% (252/353)
Passes in the final third
75% (100/133)49% (43/88)
Crosses
25% (5/20)17% (2/12)
Tackles
55% (12/22)59% (10/17)
Clearances Total
2623
Interceptions
912

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Rasmussen M. , Ait El Hadj A. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 0, Ait El Hadj A. , Rasmussen M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Oratmangoen R. , Berte M. ,

Chances of winning


Saint-Gilloise
69.1%
Draw
19%
Dender EH
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.6% 18.3% 11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 17.8% 10.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Saint-Gilloise - Dender EH Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.34)
    5.01
    (5.16)
    8.19
    (8.56)
    5%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Dender EH?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%). Dender EH will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 82.9%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
    • Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
    • Recent matches Union SG is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Dender EH is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Dender EH could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Union SG is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Dender EH: Kvet R. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Union SG: Castro-Montes A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dender EH: Fila K. (Knee Injury) Fofana D. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Union SG won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Dender EH were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise 0:0
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    20.02.2025 Ajax - Saint-Gilloise 1:2
    13.02.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Ajax 0:2
    09.02.2025 Kortrijk - Saint-Gilloise 1:2
    Latest results of Dender EH
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St. Liege11002:023
    2Antwerp10101:101
    3KV Mechelen10101:101
    4Waregem10101:101
    5Royale Union SG10101:101
    6Cercle Brugge KSV10100:001
    7Dender10100:001
    8Leuven00000:000
    9Anderlecht00000:000
    10Charleroi00000:000
    11Club Brugge KV00000:000
    12Genk00000:000
    13Gent00000:000
    14St. Truiden00000:000
    15Westerlo00000:000
    16RAAL La Louviere10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
          Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )