Result
4:1
01/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 28
- Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Netherlands | Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.88 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 42 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (404/474) | 71% (252/353) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 75% (100/133) | 49% (43/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 17% (2/12) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 59% (10/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Rasmussen M. ⚽, Ait El Hadj A. (A),
- 32', 2 - 0, Ait El Hadj A. ⚽, Rasmussen M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Oratmangoen R. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Saint-Gilloise
69.1% | Draw
19% | Dender EH
11.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Saint-Gilloise - Dender EH Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↑
(1.34) |
5.01 ↓
(5.16) |
8.19 ↓
(8.56) |
5%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Dender EH?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%). Dender EH will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 82.9% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
- Recent matches Union SG is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Dender EH is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Dender EH could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Union SG is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Dender EH: Kvet R.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Union SG: Castro-Montes A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Dender EH: Fila K.
(Knee Injury)
Fofana D.
(Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Union SG won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Dender EH?
Saint-Gilloise has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Saint-Gilloise?
Dender EH has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Dender EH were as follows:
27.07.2024
Dender EH
-
Saint-Gilloise
0:0
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Latest results of Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St. Liege | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Antwerp | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Waregem | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Dender | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | St. Truiden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | RAAL La Louviere | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
