Dender EH vs Saint-Gilloise – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
14/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Belgian Cup - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumDAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza

Match Stats

Chances of winning


Dender EH
20.5%
Draw
25.2%
Saint-Gilloise
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.3% 22.9% 61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9% 22.3% 63.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dender EH's performance.
  • Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saint-Gilloise might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dender EH that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saint-Gilloise could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.57
    (6.07)
    3.69
    (4.05)
    1.72
    (1.5)
    7.3%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Union SG (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Gilloise will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Union SG (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Union SG is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dender EH won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise 0:1
    01.03.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Dender EH 4:1
    27.07.2024 Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise 0:0
    Latest results of Dender EH
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/16-finals
    1RFC LiegeCharleroi0 : 1
    2KV MechelenK. Lierse S.K.2 : 1
    3SeraingLeuven1 : 3
    4Club Brugge KVEendracht Aalst6 : 1
    5DenderOC Charleroi4 : 2
    6BeverenSt. Liege1 : 2
    7Tubize-BraineRoyale Union SG0 : 3
    8Belisia BilzenWaregem1 : 4
    9GenkRWDM Brussels3 : 0
    10NinoveAnderlecht0 : 2
    11Cercle Brugge KSVKortrijk1 : 0
    12GentPatro Eisden5 : 0
    13AntwerpEupen3 : 1
    14KnokkeSt. Truiden0 : 1
    15Beerschot VAWesterlo3 : 2
    16HeistRAAL La Louviere1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1CharleroiKV Mechelen2 : 0
    2LeuvenClub Brugge KV1 : 2
    3DenderSt. Liege3 : 2
    4Royale Union SGWaregem2 : 1
    5GenkAnderlecht1 : 3
    6Cercle Brugge KSVGent1 : 3
    7AntwerpSt. Truiden4 : 3
    8Beerschot VARAAL La Louviere1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1CharleroiClub Brugge KV2 : 0
    2DenderRoyale Union SG0 : 2
    3AnderlechtGent1 : 0
    4AntwerpRAAL La Louviere2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CharleroiRoyale Union SG1 : 4, 0 : 0
    2AnderlechtAntwerp4 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Royale Union SGAnderlecht