Result
2:3
25/04/2026 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NWSL Women
- Referee: Billeter A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Usa | ion TV, NWSL+, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (254/327) | 82% (338/412) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (254/327) | 82% (338/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (27/46) | 48% (20/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (57/90) | 60% (45/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.36 | -1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Kossler M. ⚽, Ryan Y. (A),
- 32', 2 - 0, Flint N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 49', 2 - 1, Godfrey L. E. ⚽, Ascanio K. (A),
- 55', Oke A. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 2, Wesley K. ⚽, Godfrey L. E. (A),
- 58', Fazer L. ↓, Barcenas M. ↑,
- 59', Kurtz K. 🟨,
- 60', Oke A. ↓, McCormack Y. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 3, Pickett K. ⚽,
- 72', Kossler M. ↓, Thomas O. ↑,
- 72', Reid M. ↓, Gaetino E. ↑,
- 72', Lynch D. ↓, Regan E. ↑,
- 76', Van Zanten A. D. ↓, Pickett K. ↑,
- 76', Ludmila ↓, Gabi Portilho ↑,
- 85', Flint N. ↓, Yamamoto Y. ↑,
- 88', Dali K. 🟨,
- 90+1', Godfrey L. E. ↓, Fusco J. ↑,
- 90+1', Gabi Portilho ↓, Byars T. ↑,
- 90+2', Gaetino E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Denver Summit
29.8% | Draw
27.1% | San Diego Wave
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Denver Summit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Summit than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Diego Wave could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Denver Summit - San Diego Wave Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↓
(3.26) |
3.35 ↓
(3.53) |
2.1 ↑
(1.94) |
10.2%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Denver has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- San Diego Wave is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Denver has had a series of away games.
- San Diego Wave is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Denver Summit won against San Diego Wave?
Denver Summit has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Diego Wave won against Denver Summit?
San Diego Wave has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Denver Summit - San Diego Wave were as follows:
Latest results of Denver Summit
Latest results of San Diego Wave
NWSL Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego Wave W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Portland Thorns W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Utah Royals W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Seattle Reign W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 | Angel City W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Washington Spirit W | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Houston Dash W | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Orlando Pride W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Gotham W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | North Carolina Courage W | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Denver Summit W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Bay FC W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Chicago W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 6 |
| 14 | Kansas City Current W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville W | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Boston Legacy W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:9 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
