Result
2:1
19/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 11
- Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.15 | 0.27 |
Ball Possession |
---|
66% | 34% |
Total shots |
---|
26 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
84% (441/527) | 61% (161/264) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.15 | 0.27 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.45 | 0.45 |
Total shots |
---|
26 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
13 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
84% (441/527) | 61% (161/264) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (19/40) | 19% (14/75) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (108/155) | 49% (44/90) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (3/16) | 25% (3/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.99 | 0.28 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (8/11) | 90% (9/10) |
Duels won |
---|
31 | 34 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.45 | 2.45 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.55 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', Diaz S. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
- 28', 0 - 1, Pino S. ⚽, Jorquera M. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Zanini A. ⚽,
- 45+4', Pino S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Ferreyra T. 🟨,
- 58', Hoyos E. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
- 59', Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↓, Jhonatan Kauan ↑,
- 71', Orellana D. ↓, Bacca J. ↑,
- 71', Ramos A. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
- 72', Chamorro F. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Henriquez A. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
Chances of winning
Deportes La Serena 45.5% | Draw 29.2% | Deportes Iquique 25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes La Serena's performance.Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Iquique might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes La Serena that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Iquique could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes La Serena - Deportes Iquique Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.11 ↓ (2.53) |
3.26 ↓ (3.28) |
3.68 ↑ (2.76) |
5.2% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes La Serena - Deportes Iquique?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes La Serena: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 1.
- Deportes La Serena has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportes Iquique has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Deportes La Serena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Deportes Iquique?
Deportes La Serena has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Iquique won against Deportes La Serena?
Deportes Iquique has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes La Serena - Deportes Iquique were as follows:
23.09.2023
Deportes La Serena
-
Deportes Iquique
0:0
16.05.2023
Deportes Iquique
-
Deportes La Serena
3:2
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Latest results of Deportes Iquique
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coquimbo | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 19 | 41 |
2 | U. De Chile | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 39:16 | 23 | 35 |
3 | A. Italiano | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Palestino | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 32 |
5 | U. Catolica | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 27 |
6 | O'Higgins | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 27 |
7 | Cobresal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Colo Colo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:19 | 8 | 25 |
9 | Union La Calera | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Huachipato | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 21 |
11 | Nublense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 20 |
12 | Everton | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 18 |
13 | La Serena | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 17 |
14 | Limache | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 |
15 | U. Espanola | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16:31 | -15 | 13 |
16 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19:38 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso