Result
2:1
19/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 11
- Referee: Gilabert F. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (441/527) | 61% (161/264) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (441/527) | 61% (161/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (19/40) | 19% (14/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (108/155) | 49% (44/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', Diaz S. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
- 28', 0 - 1, Pino S. ⚽, Jorquera M. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Zanini A. ⚽,
- 45+4', Pino S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Ferreyra T. 🟨,
- 58', Hoyos E. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
- 59', Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↓, Jhonatan Kauan ↑,
- 71', Orellana D. ↓, Bacca J. ↑,
- 71', Ramos A. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
- 72', Chamorro F. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Henriquez A. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
Chances of winning
Deportes La Serena
45.5% | Draw
29.2% | Deportes Iquique
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes La Serena's performance.Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Iquique might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes La Serena that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Iquique could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes La Serena - Deportes Iquique Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.53) |
3.26 ↓
(3.28) |
3.68 ↑
(2.76) |
5.2%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes La Serena - Deportes Iquique?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Deportes Iquique will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes La Serena: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 1.
- Deportes La Serena has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportes Iquique has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Deportes La Serena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Deportes Iquique?
Deportes La Serena has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Iquique won against Deportes La Serena?
Deportes Iquique has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes La Serena - Deportes Iquique were as follows:
23.09.2023
Deportes La Serena
-
Deportes Iquique
0:0
16.05.2023
Deportes Iquique
-
Deportes La Serena
3:2
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Latest results of Deportes Iquique
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 33:11 | 22 | 50 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 44:21 | 23 | 38 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 4 | Palestino | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 36 |
| 5 | O'Higgins | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 24:23 | 1 | 35 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31:21 | 10 | 33 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Huachipato | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 31 |
| 9 | Colo Colo | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 28 |
| 10 | Nublense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 12 | Everton | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 21:30 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | La Serena | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:39 | -20 | 14 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21:42 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
