Result
1:1
28/03/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 6
- Referee: Araos M. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.07 | 2.55 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
75% (251/336) | 79% (271/345) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.07 | 2.55 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.51 | 1.71 |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
39 | 20 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
75% (251/336) | 79% (271/345) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (21/46) | 51% (25/49) |
Passes in final third |
---|
53% (57/107) | 73% (67/92) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (3/18) | 19% (3/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.10 | 1.85 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
92% (11/12) | 44% (8/18) |
Duels won |
---|
59 | 52 |
Clearances Total |
---|
23 | 44 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.71 | 0.51 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.71 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Rojas D. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Mateos F. ⚽,
- 34', Puch E. (Pen),
- 38', Pino S. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Hoyos E. ↓, Davila Carvajal M. ↑,
- 46', Rojas D. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 49', Casanova L. ↓, Saborit E. ↑,
- 65', Salinas Flores H. 🟨,
- 69', Oyarzo Munoz B. ↓, Graciani G. ↑,
- 69', Sosa G. ↓, Rubio P. ↑,
- 70', Sanchez P. 🟨,
- 73', Gonzalez C. ↓, Moya M. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Davila Carvajal M. ⚽, Salinas Flores H. (A),
- 78', Calderon P. ↓, Labrin C. ↑,
- 78', Valencia E. ↓, Rozas I. ↑,
- 82', Sanchez P. ↓, Molina L. ↑,
- 90', Bosso Torres O. 🟨,
- 90+4', Campusano G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Soto B. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ñublense 45.8% | Draw 27.6% | Deportes Iquique 26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Deportes Iquique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Ñublense - Deportes Iquique Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.06 ↓ (2.12) |
3.41 ↓ (3.45) |
3.51 ↑ (3.26) |
6.3% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Deportes Iquique?
Users Predictions:
Ñublense will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 3.
- Recent matches Ñublense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Deportes Iquique is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Ñublense will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.6:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ñublense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:0 (average 2.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Deportes Iquique?
Ñublense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Iquique won against Ñublense?
Deportes Iquique has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Deportes Iquique were as follows:
05.10.2024
Ñublense
-
Deportes Iquique
2:0
12.05.2024
Deportes Iquique
-
Ñublense
2:1
Latest results of Ñublense
Latest results of Deportes Iquique
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coquimbo | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 19 | 41 |
2 | U. De Chile | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 39:16 | 23 | 35 |
3 | A. Italiano | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Palestino | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 32 |
5 | O'Higgins | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 30 |
6 | U. Catolica | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 27 |
7 | Colo Colo | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:21 | 8 | 26 |
8 | Cobresal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Nublense | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
10 | Union La Calera | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 22 |
11 | Huachipato | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Everton | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 18 |
13 | La Serena | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 17 |
14 | Limache | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 |
15 | U. Espanola | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16:31 | -15 | 13 |
16 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19:38 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso