Result
1:0
12/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 9
- Referee: Sepulveda C. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Argentina | TNT Sports Premium |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (211/306) | 82% (420/512) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (211/306) | 82% (420/512) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (29/63) | 53% (33/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (59/100) | 65% (83/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Graciani G. 🟨,
- 45+2', Poblete Zuniga I. E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Graciani G. ↓, Sanhueza D. ↑,
- 50', Altamirano J. 🟨,
- 57', Jeraldino I. ↓, Rami F. ↑,
- 65', Assadi L. ↓, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↑,
- 65', Poblete Zuniga I. E. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
- 67', Avalos G. ↓, Tapia I. ↑,
- 68', Rami F. 🟨,
- 73', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 73', Eduardo Vargas ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
- 79', Campusano J. 🟨,
- 84', Plaza M. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
- 84', Rivera M. ↓, Cespedes D. ↑,
- 87', Tapia I. 🟨,
- 88', Morales M. ↓, Salomoni F. ↑,
- 90', Zaldivia M. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Cespedes D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ñublense
35.9% | Draw
29.6% | Universidad de Chile
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Universidad de Chile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Ñublense - Universidad de Chile Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.54) |
3.14 ↓
(3.27) |
2.7 ↑
(2.69) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ñublense - Universidad de Chile?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Ñublense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 0.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Universidad de Chile may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Ñublense won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:38. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ñublense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.2:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ñublense won against Universidad de Chile?
Ñublense has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad de Chile won against Ñublense?
Universidad de Chile has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ñublense - Universidad de Chile were as follows:
20.07.2025
Ñublense
-
Universidad de Chile
2:2
15.02.2025
Universidad de Chile
-
Ñublense
5:0
20.11.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Ñublense
1:0
03.11.2024
Ñublense
-
Universidad de Chile
1:4
26.05.2024
Universidad de Chile
-
Ñublense
0:0
Latest results of Ñublense
Latest results of Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Limache | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:9 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Nublense | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Huachipato | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | U. De Concepcion | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 14 |
| 7 | U. De Chile | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | O'Higgins | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Coquimbo | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | La Serena | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Palestino | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Union La Calera | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4:14 | -10 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
