Result
2:1
19/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 16
- Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (478/550) | 83% (291/350) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (478/550) | 83% (291/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (31/57) | 43% (12/28) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (143/188) | 73% (47/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/28) | 0% (0/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Gallegos S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Pinto M. ↓, Henriquez A. ↑,
- 49', Amor E. 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 1, Henriquez A. ⚽,
- 58', Villagra J. ↓, Opazo Lara O. ↑,
- 63', Zanini A. 🟨,
- 64', Oroz A. ↓, Marchant F. ↑,
- 64', Vidal A. ↓, Mendez V. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Pizarro V. ⚽, Cepeda L. (A),
- 71', Rivera M. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
- 71', Chamorro F. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
- 81', Saldivia A. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
- 81', Rodriguez S. ↓, Bolados M. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Pizarro V. ⚽, Cepeda L. (A),
- 90', Diaz S. ↓, Jhonatan Kauan ↑,
Chances of winning
Colo-Colo
64.6% | Draw
21.9% | Deportes La Serena
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colo-Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Colo-Colo - Deportes La Serena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.4) |
4.39 ↓
(4.5) |
7.17 ↑
(7) |
5.6%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Colo-Colo - Deportes La Serena?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Colo-Colo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 4.
- Recent form of Colo-Colo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportes La Serena is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Deportes La Serena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Colo-Colo has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Colo-Colo is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Colo-Colo won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 2.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Colo-Colo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 2.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Colo-Colo won against Deportes La Serena?
Colo-Colo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Colo-Colo?
Deportes La Serena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Colo-Colo - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
16.02.2025
Deportes La Serena
-
Colo-Colo
1:3
Latest results of Colo-Colo
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37:12 | 25 | 59 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 38:22 | 16 | 45 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 43:36 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 47:24 | 23 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 39 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 36:38 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 | Nublense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | Everton | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24:35 | -11 | 22 |
| 13 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 14 | La Serena | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:43 | -16 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 28:46 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 25:52 | -27 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
