Result
0:2
24/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 21
- Referee: Gonzalez F. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (372/449) | 81% (306/379) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 2.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (372/449) | 81% (306/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (18/44) | 61% (38/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (100/141) | 67% (76/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.15 | 0.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Sepulveda C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Moreira E. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
- 46', Rojas J. ↓, Zanini A. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 1, Caroca R. ⚽,
- 58', Rivera M. ↓, Jhonatan Kauan ↑,
- 71', Gutierrez M. ↓, Altez K. ↑,
- 71', Martinez J. A. ↓, Briceno M. ↑,
- 76', Vargas N. 🟨,
- 81', Vargas N. ↓, Silva S. ↑,
- 81', Alarcon L. ↓, Dinamarca F. ↑,
- 89', Zanini A. 🟨,
- 90', Altamirano L. ↓, Malanca R. ↑,
- 90+7', 0 - 2, Briceno M. ⚽, Martinez C. (A),
Chances of winning
Deportes La Serena
42.8% | Draw
27.3% | Huachipato
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Huachipato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Deportes La Serena - Huachipato Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.2) |
3.42 ↑
(3.14) |
3.09 ↓
(3.14) |
6.9%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportes La Serena - Huachipato?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Huachipato will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes La Serena: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportes La Serena will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 1.
- Deportes La Serena is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Huachipato is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Deportes La Serena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Huachipato?
Deportes La Serena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Huachipato won against Deportes La Serena?
Huachipato has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes La Serena - Huachipato were as follows:
30.03.2025
Huachipato
-
Deportes La Serena
3:1
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Latest results of Huachipato
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 36:12 | 24 | 56 |
| 2 | O'Higgins | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 29:26 | 3 | 41 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39:33 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30:21 | 9 | 39 |
| 6 | U. De Chile | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 44:22 | 22 | 38 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 38 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 31 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 31 |
| 10 | Nublense | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 24:32 | -8 | 22 |
| 13 | La Serena | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 24:44 | -20 | 17 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23:45 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
