Result
3:1
30/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 6
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.08 | 0.25 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
86% (373/433) | 87% (340/392) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.08 | 0.25 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.33 | 0.32 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 5 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
86% (373/433) | 87% (340/392) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (20/45) | 50% (28/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (79/115) | 65% (49/75) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (4/22) | 10% (1/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.25 | 0.30 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
68% (19/28) | 74% (14/19) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 47 |
Clearances Total |
---|
18 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.32 | 2.33 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.68 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Vargas J. ⚽, Chamorro F. (A),
- 11', 1 - 1, Altamirano L. (Pen),
- 18', Rojas J. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Gutierrez M. ↓, Briceno M. ↑,
- 62', Garrido B. ↓, Torres Gaete C. G. ↑,
- 62', Martinez C. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Briceno M. ⚽,
- 70', Vargas J. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
- 70', Chamorro F. ↓, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↑,
- 70', Moreira E. ↓, Ovando L. ↑,
- 73', Diaz L. 🟨,
- 76', Martinez J. A. ↓, Silva S. ↑,
- 82', Diaz S. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
- 83', Diaz L. ↓, Vargas N. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Torres Gaete C. G. ⚽, Briceno M. (A),
Chances of winning
Huachipato 47.6% | Draw 28.3% | Deportes La Serena 24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huachipato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Huachipato - Deportes La Serena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.98 ↑ (1.79) |
3.32 ↓ (3.55) |
3.86 ↓ (4.35) |
6.6% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Huachipato won 1.
- Huachipato is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Deportes La Serena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Deportes La Serena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Huachipato will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Huachipato won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.9:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Huachipato won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Huachipato won against Deportes La Serena?
Huachipato has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Huachipato?
Deportes La Serena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Huachipato - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
Latest results of Huachipato
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coquimbo | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 19 | 41 |
2 | U. De Chile | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 39:16 | 23 | 35 |
3 | A. Italiano | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Palestino | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 32 |
5 | O'Higgins | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 30 |
6 | U. Catolica | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 25:20 | 5 | 27 |
7 | Colo Colo | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:21 | 8 | 26 |
8 | Cobresal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Nublense | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
10 | Union La Calera | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 22 |
11 | Huachipato | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Everton | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 18 |
13 | La Serena | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 17 |
14 | Limache | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 |
15 | U. Espanola | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16:31 | -15 | 13 |
16 | Deportes Iquique | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19:38 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso