Result
1:3
25/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 12
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (352/409) | 75% (196/262) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 2.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (352/409) | 75% (196/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (43/59) | 35% (23/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (89/121) | 63% (39/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/34) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 86% (19/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ⚽,
- 27', Fuentes J. 🟨,
- 30', Valencia J. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
- 35', Zanini A. 🟨,
- 38', Henriquez A. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Montes C. ↓, Bello E. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez D. ↓, Arancibia Flores S. A. ↑,
- 46', Mena E. ↓, Cuevas C. ↑,
- 54', Medel G. 🟨,
- 56', 🟨,
- 57', Moreira E. 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 2, Chamorro F. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
- 58', Cuevas C. 🟨,
- 60', Corral D. ↓, Jader ↑,
- 69', Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 3, Vargas J. (Pen),
- 76', Dinamarca F. 🟨,
- 76', 🟨,
- 77', Gallegos S. 🟨,
- 86', Alarcon L. ↓, Ferreyra N. ↑,
- 87', Vargas J. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
- 87', Fuentes J. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
- 90+8', 1 - 3, Zampedri F. (Pen),
- 90+9', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica
55.5% | Draw
25.8% | Deportes La Serena
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Universidad Católica - Deportes La Serena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.68) |
3.65 ↓
(3.88) |
5.08 ↑
(4.62) |
6.4%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica - Deportes La Serena?
Users Predictions:
Universidad Católica will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 4.
- Recent performances by Uni Católica have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportes La Serena is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Uni Católica is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:9. (average 2.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Deportes La Serena?
Universidad Católica has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Universidad Católica?
Deportes La Serena has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
23.03.2023
Deportes La Serena
-
Universidad Católica
0:2
10.09.2022
Deportes La Serena
-
Universidad Católica
0:4
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37:12 | 25 | 59 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | O'Higgins | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 47:25 | 22 | 42 |
| 6 | Palestino | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:24 | 9 | 42 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 8 | Colo Colo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | La Serena | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Everton | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | Limache | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 28:47 | -19 | 20 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 26:53 | -27 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
