Result
1:2
20/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 10
- Referee: Gamboa N. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (396/474) | 76% (263/347) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (396/474) | 76% (263/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/63) | 39% (24/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (71/111) | 51% (40/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Montes C. 🟨,
- 38', Zampedri F. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Ampuero B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 1, Caseres R. ⚽, Soto J. (A),
- 64', Campos M. ↓, Pozzo F. ↑,
- 68', Montes C. 🟨,
- 69', Zuqui F. 🟨,
- 71', Valencia J. 🟨,
- 72', Soto J. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
- 76', Gutierrez D. 🟨,
- 81', Zampedri F. ↓, Martinez J. A. ↑,
- 81', Palavecino M. ↓, Rossel J. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Saez S. ⚽, Mendez K. (A),
- 88', Oyarzo Munoz B. ↓, Moya C. ↑,
- 90+1', Zuqui F. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
- 90+1', Giani J. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 90+4', Palma N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica
63.5% | Draw
21.7% | Unión La Calera
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.48) |
4.33 ↑
(4.18) |
6.36 ↑
(6.2) |
7.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 50.6% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Unión La Calera (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Unión La Calera (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Unión La Calera (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Unión La Calera (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Unión La Calera (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Unión La Calera (4.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Unión La Calera (4.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Unión La Calera (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Unión La Calera (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Unión La Calera (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Unión La Calera (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Unión La Calera (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 2.
- Uni Católica is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Unión La Calera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Unión La Calera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Uni Católica is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Uni Católica will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:3. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica won against Unión La Calera?
Universidad Católica has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión La Calera won against Universidad Católica?
Unión La Calera has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera were as follows:
06.12.2025
Universidad Católica
-
Unión La Calera
2:1
20.06.2025
Unión La Calera
-
Universidad Católica
1:1
21.03.2025
Universidad Católica
-
Unión La Calera
0:1
10.02.2025
Unión La Calera
-
Universidad Católica
2:2
20.07.2024
Universidad Católica
-
Unión La Calera
2:0
Latest results of Universidad Católica
Latest results of Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Limache | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Huachipato | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | O'Higgins | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | U. De Chile | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Nublense | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Coquimbo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Everton | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | La Serena | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Palestino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | U. De Concepcion | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Union La Calera | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
