Result
1:6
12/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Chile - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Lara J. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 2.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (324/399) | 80% (307/383) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 2.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 4.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (324/399) | 80% (307/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (30/52) | 48% (30/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (78/126) | 66% (61/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.39 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.61 | -0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Pons F. ⚽, Castro D. (A),
- 9', 0 - 2, Castro D. ⚽, Pinares C. (A),
- 15', Moreira E. 🟨,
- 22', Zanini A. ↓, Herrera E. ↑,
- 22', Gallegos S. ↓, Chamorro F. ↑,
- 23', 1 - 2, Fuentes J. ⚽, Vargas J. (A),
- 42', Llanten M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 52', Rojas J. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 3, Castro D. ⚽, Pons F. (A),
- 56', 1 - 4, Pons F. ⚽,
- 59', Aguirre A. 🟨,
- 62', Dinamarca F. 🟥,
- 64', Castro D. ↓, Zapata Y. ↑,
- 64', Llanten M. ↓, Catalan D. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 5, Guerra L. ⚽,
- 70', Fuentes J. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
- 70', Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↓, Carreno L. ↑,
- 73', Pons F. ↓, Maluenda L. ↑,
- 73', Pinares C. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
- 78', Guerra Rojas M. ↓, Fritz F. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 6, Fritz F. (Pen),
- 82', Carreno L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportes La Serena
36.5% | Draw
27.3% | Deportes Limache
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↑
(2.37) |
4.06 ↑
(3.37) |
2.92 ↑
(2.72) |
-10.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache?
Users Predictions:
Deportes La Serena will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportes La Serena will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Deportes La Serena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Deportes Limache?
Deportes La Serena has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Limache won against Deportes La Serena?
Deportes Limache has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache were as follows:
07.09.2025
Deportes Limache
-
Deportes La Serena
2:0
22.06.2025
Deportes La Serena
-
Deportes Limache
1:1
07.09.2024
Deportes La Serena
-
Deportes Limache
2:0
29.04.2024
Deportes Limache
-
Deportes La Serena
1:0
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Latest results of Deportes Limache
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Limache | Cobreloa | 3 : 0, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Union La Calera | Coquimbo | 1 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Antofagasta | S. Wanderers | 2 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 4 | La Serena | San Luis | 4 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 5 | U. De Chile | Curico Unido | 2 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 6 | A. Italiano | Deportes Temuco | 2 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Nublense | Magallanes | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Huachipato | D. Concepcion | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Limache | Coquimbo | 3 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | S. Wanderers | La Serena | 1 : 5, 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Curico Unido | A. Italiano | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Nublense | Huachipato | 1 : 2, 2 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Limache | La Serena | 6 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | Huachipato | 2 : 4, 1 : 0 |
Final
