Deportes Limache vs Deportes La Serena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Cup Deportes Limache - Deportes La Serena
Result
2:0
07/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Chile - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.26
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
76% (325/425)68% (188/275)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.100.06
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
710
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
88
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
1812
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
811
Passes
76% (325/425)68% (188/275)
Long passes
48% (36/75)40% (27/67)
Passes in final third
62% (65/105)55% (51/93)
Crosses
20% (4/20)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.861.67
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
1211
Tackles
75% (9/12)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4039
Clearances
3517
Interceptions
1113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.061.10
Goals prevented
0.06-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Pons F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', 1 - 0, Guerra L. ,
  • 59', Carreno L. , Herrera E. ,
  • 68', Paz G. , Penailillo N. ,
  • 68', Hernandez L. , Llanten M. ,
  • 73', Henriquez A. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 73', Gallegos S. , Rivera M. ,
  • 82', Fernandez J. 🟨,
  • 87', Pinares C. 🟨,
  • 88', Guerra L. 🟨,
  • 90', Fernandez J. 🟥,
  • 90+2', 2 - 0, Pinares C. ,
  • 90+3', Jara Gonzalez G. A. , Alarcon L. ,
  • 90+5', Jhonatan Kauan , Diaz F. ,
  • 90+7', Pons F. , Zapata Y. ,
  • 90+7', Guerra L. , Portilla D. ,
  • 90+7', Pinares C. , Plaza J. ,

Chances of winning


Deportes Limache
45.2%
Draw
28.1%
Deportes La Serena
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 27.3% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 23.8% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Limache that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes La Serena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportes Limache - Deportes La Serena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.07)
    3.27
    (3.4)
    3.6
    (3.32)
    7.1%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Deportes Limache - Deportes La Serena?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Limache (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Limache may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Limache is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Limache won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Limache won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Limache - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
    22.06.2025 Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache 1:1
    07.09.2024 Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache 2:0
    29.04.2024 Deportes Limache - Deportes La Serena 1:0
    Latest results of Deportes Limache
    Latest results of Deportes La Serena
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1LimacheCobreloa3 : 0, 3 : 1
    2Union La CaleraCoquimbo1 : 4, 1 : 2
    3AntofagastaS. Wanderers2 : 3, 0 : 3
    4La SerenaSan Luis4 : 1, 1 : 3
    5U. De ChileCurico Unido2 : 2, 1 : 2
    6A. ItalianoDeportes Temuco2 : 0, 2 : 1
    7NublenseMagallanes2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8HuachipatoD. Concepcion2 : 0, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1LimacheCoquimbo3 : 2, 2 : 1
    2S. WanderersLa Serena1 : 5, 2 : 4
    3Curico UnidoA. Italiano0 : 1, 0 : 1
    4NublenseHuachipato1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1LimacheLa Serena2 : 0
    2A. ItalianoHuachipato

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2