Result
1:1
22/06/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 15
- Referee: Araos M. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.17 | 1.21 |
Ball Possession |
---|
67% | 33% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
84% (385/456) | 64% (147/229) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 5 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.17 | 1.21 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.37 | 1.88 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
84% (385/456) | 64% (147/229) |
Long passes |
---|
63% (29/46) | 31% (19/61) |
Passes in final third |
---|
75% (103/137) | 51% (40/79) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (5/24) | 57% (8/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.99 | 0.91 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (9/13) | 65% (13/20) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.88 | 1.37 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.88 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Da Silva N. ⚽, Pinares C. (A),
- 21', Fuentes J. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
- 24', Dinamarca F. 🟨,
- 36', Romero F. 🟨,
- 43', Romero F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dinamarca F. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
- 58', Chamorro F. ↓, Jhonatan Kauan ↑,
- 58', Villarroel M. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 60', Jhonatan Kauan 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 1, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ⚽,
- 71', Ovando L. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
- 71', Guerra L. ↓, Catalan D. ↑,
- 77', Pinares C. 🟨,
- 79', Pacheco G. 🟨,
- 82', Llanten M. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
- 84', Diaz F. 🟨,
- 90+1', Castro D. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
- 90+2', Pinares C. ↓, Paz G. ↑,
- 90+3', Sandoval M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportes La Serena 33.6% | Draw 27% | Deportes Limache 39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.85 ↑ (2.64) |
3.48 ↑ (3.44) |
2.35 ↓ (2.52) |
6.5% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Deportes La Serena will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 14).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Limache may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Deportes Limache?
Deportes La Serena has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Limache won against Deportes La Serena?
Deportes Limache has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache were as follows:
07.09.2024
Deportes La Serena
-
Deportes Limache
2:0
29.04.2024
Deportes Limache
-
Deportes La Serena
1:0
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Latest results of Deportes Limache
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coquimbo | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 23:8 | 15 | 35 |
2 | A. Italiano | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | 10 | 33 |
3 | U. De Chile | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 35:16 | 19 | 32 |
4 | Palestino | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | 8 | 28 |
5 | U. Catolica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | O'Higgins | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 26 |
7 | Colo Colo | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 24 |
8 | Cobresal | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Union La Calera | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:14 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Huachipato | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Nublense | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 20 |
12 | La Serena | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 20:29 | -9 | 17 |
13 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Limache | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | U. Espanola | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 15:30 | -15 | 10 |
16 | Deportes Iquique | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16:36 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso