Result
1:0
06/12/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 30
- Referee: Salvo M. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (500/598) | 61% (135/221) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (500/598) | 61% (135/221) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (36/73) | 34% (23/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (70/113) | 43% (39/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+3', Mendoza B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Moreira E. 🟨,
- 62', Fritz F. ↓, Paz G. ↑,
- 70', Mendoza B. ↓, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↑,
- 70', Moreira E. ↓, Cordero D. ↑,
- 83', Zapata Y. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
- 83', Plaza J. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Castro D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', Diaz S. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
- 90+4', Arce A. ↓, Aban G. ↑,
- 90+4', Catalan D. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportes Limache
41.3% | Draw
29.1% | Deportes La Serena
29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Limache's form might have worsened.Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes La Serena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Limache, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportes Limache - Deportes La Serena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(1.82) |
3.17 ↓
(3.56) |
3.19 ↓
(4.13) |
6.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportes Limache - Deportes La Serena?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Limache will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes La Serena (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Deportes La Serena (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Deportes La Serena (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes La Serena (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Deportes La Serena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Limache has had a series of away games.
- Limache might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Limache won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Limache won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Limache won against Deportes La Serena?
Deportes Limache has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Deportes Limache?
Deportes La Serena has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Limache - Deportes La Serena were as follows:
12.10.2025
Deportes La Serena
-
Deportes Limache
1:6
07.09.2025
Deportes Limache
-
Deportes La Serena
2:0
22.06.2025
Deportes La Serena
-
Deportes Limache
1:1
07.09.2024
Deportes La Serena
-
Deportes Limache
2:0
29.04.2024
Deportes Limache
-
Deportes La Serena
1:0
Latest results of Deportes Limache
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Limache | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Union La Calera | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Huachipato | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Colo Colo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Nublense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | A. Italiano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Cobresal | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | U. De Concepcion | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | U. De Chile | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Coquimbo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Palestino | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | La Serena | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | D. Concepcion | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Everton | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
