Result
1:1
22/06/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 15
- Referee: Araos M. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (385/456) | 64% (147/229) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (385/456) | 64% (147/229) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (29/46) | 31% (19/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (103/137) | 51% (40/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 57% (8/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Da Silva N. ⚽, Pinares C. (A),
- 21', Fuentes J. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
- 24', Dinamarca F. 🟨,
- 36', Romero F. 🟨,
- 43', Romero F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dinamarca F. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
- 58', Chamorro F. ↓, Jhonatan Kauan ↑,
- 58', Villarroel M. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
- 60', Jhonatan Kauan 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 1, Jara Gonzalez G. A. ⚽,
- 71', Ovando L. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
- 71', Guerra L. ↓, Catalan D. ↑,
- 77', Pinares C. 🟨,
- 79', Pacheco G. 🟨,
- 82', Llanten M. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
- 84', Diaz F. 🟨,
- 90+1', Castro D. ↓, Jara A. ↑,
- 90+2', Pinares C. ↓, Paz G. ↑,
- 90+3', Sandoval M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportes La Serena
33.6% | Draw
27% | Deportes Limache
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↑
(2.64) |
3.48 ↑
(3.44) |
2.35 ↓
(2.52) |
6.5%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Deportes La Serena will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 14).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Limache may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes La Serena won against Deportes Limache?
Deportes La Serena has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Limache won against Deportes La Serena?
Deportes Limache has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes La Serena - Deportes Limache were as follows:
07.09.2024
Deportes La Serena
-
Deportes Limache
2:0
29.04.2024
Deportes Limache
-
Deportes La Serena
1:0
Latest results of Deportes La Serena
Latest results of Deportes Limache
Chilean Primera Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 32:11 | 21 | 47 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 44:21 | 23 | 38 |
| 3 | A. Italiano | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 33:26 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 | Palestino | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 35 |
| 5 | O'Higgins | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 22:21 | 1 | 34 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Cobresal | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | 2 | 29 |
| 8 | Huachipato | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Colo Colo | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 27 |
| 10 | Nublense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 11 | Union La Calera | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 | Everton | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 21:30 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | La Serena | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | Limache | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 17 |
| 15 | U. Espanola | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 19:37 | -18 | 14 |
| 16 | Deportes Iquique | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21:42 | -21 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
