Result
1:0
11/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 9
- Referee: Mera C. D. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (178/250) | 83% (404/486) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (178/250) | 83% (404/486) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (39/66) | 60% (44/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (46/87) | 74% (126/171) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 23% (7/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Da Silva N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', 1 - 0, Da Silva N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 64', Da Silva N. 🟨,
- 68', Munder C. 🟨,
- 69', Montecinos J. ↓, Alvarez V. ↑,
- 69', Alfonzo A. ↓, Morales C. ↑,
- 69', Pinares C. ↓, Arturia M. ↑,
- 69', Araya M. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 70', Gallegos S. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
- 87', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
- 89', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Llanten M. ↑,
- 90+2', Munder C. ↓, Salgado D. ↑,
- 90+3', Meza N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palestino 45.4% | Draw 26.6% | Deportes Limache 28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Palestino - Deportes Limache Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.08 ↓ (2.09) |
3.52 ↓ (3.6) |
3.33 ↑ (3.12) |
6.5% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palestino - Deportes Limache?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Limache will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palestino: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Limache (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- Palestino has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Limache is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Palestino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Palestino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Palestino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Deportes Limache?
Palestino has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Limache won against Palestino?
Deportes Limache has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Deportes Limache were as follows:
26.03.2026
Deportes Limache
-
Palestino
1:1
03.11.2025
Palestino
-
Deportes Limache
2:1
18.05.2025
Deportes Limache
-
Palestino
0:1
09.04.2023
Deportes Limache
-
Palestino
1:3
Latest results of Palestino
Latest results of Deportes Limache
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Limache | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 21 |
| 2 | Colo Colo | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 11:6 | 5 | 21 |
| 3 | Huachipato | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | O'Higgins | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | U. De Chile | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Nublense | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Coquimbo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Everton | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | La Serena | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Palestino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 12 | U. De Concepcion | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Union La Calera | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso