Result
2:2
28/07/2025 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Ascenso - Round 18
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Peraza F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Gauna N. A. ↓, Caceres C. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Barrios A. ⚽,
- 52', Ortega F. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 1, Melivilu Fuentes C. ⚽,
- 60', Sabella A. 🟨,
- 68', Abalos A. ↓, Camarda M. ↑,
- 68', Gonzalez M. ↓, Morales Olivares M. G. ↑,
- 72', Peraza F. 🟨,
- 72', Rivera J. 🟨,
- 77', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
- 77', Toledo A. ↓, Figueroa D. ↑,
- 78', Peraza F. ↓, Araya M. ↑,
- 78', Barrios A. ↓, Bravo D. ↑,
- 82', Plaza D. 🟨,
- 82', Plaza D. ↓, Godoy M. ↑,
- 84', Sabella A. ↓, Abarca Antil F. A. ↑,
- 85', Conelli V. ↓, Barria A. ↑,
- 86', Walters A. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Araya M. ⚽,
- 90+5', Velazco F. 🟥,
- 90+8', Godoy M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
San Marcos de Arica
43.9% | Draw
30.1% | Deportes Magallanes
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Marcos de Arica's form might have worsened.Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Magallanes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+14.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marcos de Arica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Magallanes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Magallanes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(1.66) |
3.12 ↓
(3.49) |
3.61 ↓
(5.13) |
6.6%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Magallanes?
Users Predictions:
San Marcos de Arica will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): San Marcos de Arica will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 3.
- In recent matches, San Marcos de Arica has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Magallanes has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, San Marcos de Arica has had a series of away games.
- San Marcos de Arica could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has San Marcos de Arica won against Deportes Magallanes?
San Marcos de Arica has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Magallanes won against San Marcos de Arica?
Deportes Magallanes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Magallanes were as follows:
07.03.2025
Deportes Magallanes
-
San Marcos de Arica
0:1
30.08.2024
San Marcos de Arica
-
Deportes Magallanes
0:1
20.04.2024
Deportes Magallanes
-
San Marcos de Arica
0:2
Latest results of San Marcos de Arica
Latest results of Deportes Magallanes
