Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Ascenso - Round 29
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Muller I. 🟨,
- 12', 1 - 0, Pino Villalon J. ⚽,
- 22', Pino Villalon J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rencoret C. ↓, Caceres C. ↑,
- 46', Muller I. ↓, Rojas K. ↑,
- 46', Fernandez R. ↓, Melivilu Fuentes C. ↑,
- 53', Caceres C. 🟨,
- 62', Carreno J. ↓, Harbottle K. ↑,
- 76', Plaza D. ↓, Valenzuela C. ↑,
- 77', Alegre M. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
- 77', Urzua D. ↓, Castillo C. ↑,
- 86', Ledesma F. 🟨,
- 90+2', Barrios A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportes Santa Cruz
30.1% | Draw
29.2% | San Marcos de Arica
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Santa Cruz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Marcos de Arica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportes Santa Cruz - San Marcos de Arica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↓
(3.54) |
3.17 ↓
(3.25) |
2.28 ↑
(2.02) |
7.9%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3.
- Recent form of Deportes Santa Cruz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, San Marcos de Arica has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- San Marcos de Arica could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportes Santa Cruz won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Santa Cruz won against San Marcos de Arica?
Deportes Santa Cruz has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has San Marcos de Arica won against Deportes Santa Cruz?
San Marcos de Arica has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Santa Cruz - San Marcos de Arica were as follows:
14.06.2025
San Marcos de Arica
-
Deportes Santa Cruz
2:1
10.08.2024
Deportes Santa Cruz
-
San Marcos de Arica
1:0
31.03.2024
San Marcos de Arica
-
Deportes Santa Cruz
3:4
02.10.2023
San Marcos de Arica
-
Deportes Santa Cruz
3:2
22.05.2023
Deportes Santa Cruz
-
San Marcos de Arica
1:0
Latest results of Deportes Santa Cruz
Latest results of San Marcos de Arica
