Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/08/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (Ibagué).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 5
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	0.07
Ball Possession
67%	33%
Total shots
26	4
Shots on target
3	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	1
Passes
86% (393/458)	74% (171/232)
Yellow Cards
6	6
Red Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	0.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.09	0.00
Total shots
26	4
Shots on target
3	0
Shots off target
12	3
Blocked Shots
11	1
Shots inside the Box
9	2
Shots outside the Box
17	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	1
Touches in opposition box
29	3
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
4	21
Passes
86% (393/458)	74% (171/232)
Long passes
74% (39/53)	49% (35/72)
Passes in final third
80% (161/202)	36% (17/47)
Crosses
23% (8/35)	0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.40	0.05
Throw-ins
19	10
Fouls
21	4
Tackles
86% (6/7)	80% (12/15)
Duels won
22	54
Clearances
7	39
Interceptions
4	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.00	0.09
Goals prevented
0.00	0.09

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Candido C. 🟨,
6', Torres M. 🟨,
6', Morelos A. 🟨,
10', Uribe M. 🟥,
17', Angulo A. 🟨,
29', Cardona E. 🟨,
33', Candido C. 🟥,
34', Hinestroza M. 🟨,
37', Cardona E. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
45+5', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzalez J. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
46', Arrieta C. ↓, Hurtado Torres Y. D. ↑,
46', Morelos A. ↓, Sarmiento A. ↑,
59', Perez K. ↓, Fuentes J. ↑,
60', Gonzalez M. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
67', Hernandez J. 🟨,
68', 🟨,
78', Velasquez S. ↓, Larregui B. ↑,
79', Zapata J. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
82', Roman A. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
82', Hinestroza M. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
84', Ospina D. 🟨,
90+3', Salazar A. 🟨,
90+5', Torres Patino J. P. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/y424mt2b

Chances of winning

Deportes Tolima
28.6%

Draw
30.4%

Atlético Nacional
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

30.6%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

29.9%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	3.09 ↑ (3.07)	2.27 ↓ (2.34)	7.1% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 1.
In recent matches, Deportes Tolima has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atlético Nacional is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Deportes Tolima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Atlético Nacional could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Atlético Nacional?

Deportes Tolima has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Deportes Tolima?

Atlético Nacional has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional were as follows:

19.03.2025 Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima 4:3

22.12.2024 Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima 2:0

18.12.2024 Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional 1:1

14.11.2024 Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional 1:0

27.04.2024 Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima 3:1

Latest results of Deportes Tolima

29.07.2025 Deportes Tolima - Real Cundinamarca 1:2 ✺

25.07.2025 Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pereira 1:0 ✺

22.07.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima 0:1 ✺

18.07.2025 Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Nacional

29.07.2025 Atlético Nacional - Cúcuta Deportivo 1:0 ✺

25.07.2025 Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe 1:1 ✺

22.07.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Nacional 2:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Atlético Nacional - Deportivo La Equidad 3:1 ✺

11.07.2025 Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional 1:3 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bucaramanga	12	7	3	2	22:9	13	24
2	Junior	12	6	4	2	24:16	8	22
3	Ind. Medellin	11	6	3	2	21:15	6	21
4	Fortaleza	12	5	6	1	17:12	5	21
5	Atl. Nacional	12	5	5	2	20:15	5	20
6	Deportes Tolima	12	6	2	4	14:9	5	20
7	Llaneros	12	5	3	4	10:10	0	18
8	Dep. Cali	12	4	5	3	17:16	1	17
9	Santa Fe	12	4	5	3	12:11	1	17
10	Alianza	12	4	4	4	13:15	-2	16
11	Pereira	12	3	5	4	10:11	-1	14
12	Millonarios	12	4	2	6	14:17	-3	14
13	America De Cali	12	3	4	5	9:10	-1	13
14	Once Caldas	12	3	4	5	11:14	-3	13
15	Envigado	12	2	6	4	9:11	-2	12
16	Aguilas	11	2	5	4	11:15	-4	11
17	U. Magdalena	12	3	2	7	12:20	-8	11
18	Chico	12	2	5	5	8:16	-8	11
19	La Equidad	12	2	5	5	7:15	-8	11
20	Dep. Pasto	12	2	4	6	12:16	-4	10

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )