Result
4:3
19/03/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 5
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (280/334) | 86% (320/371) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 68% (53/78) | 77% (78/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 25% (2/8) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 82% (9/11) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 2)
- 7', Hurtado Torres Y. D. 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, Cardona E. (Pen),
- 15', 1 - 1, Lencina G. ⚽, Rovira B. (A),
- 23', 2 - 1, Morelos A. ⚽, Asprilla D. (A),
- 28', Castro A. 🟨,
- 32', 2 - 2, Hurtado Torres Y. D. ⚽, Rovira B. (A),
- 35', 3 - 2, Asprilla D. ⚽, Cardona E. (A),
- 39', 4 - 2, Roman A. ⚽, Cardona E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Perez K. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 54', Morelos A. 🟨,
- 57', Gil Mosquera F. A. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
- 57', 4 - 3, Lencina G. ⚽, Nieto J. (A),
- 66', Toscano Bassa K. D. 🟨,
- 66', Roman A. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
- 67', Morelos A. ↓, Viveros K. ↑,
- 73', Arroyo A. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
- 84', Nieto J. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
- 88', Castro A. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
- 88', Hurtado Torres Y. D. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
- 90', Cardona E. ↓, Parra Atehortua K. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4c2x3cmn
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
55% | Draw
26.2% | Deportes Tolima
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↑
(1.68) |
3.57 ↑
(3.5) |
5.04 ↑
(5) |
6.7%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima?
Users Predictions:
Atlético Nacional will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 2.
- Atlético Nacional is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Deportes Tolima is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Atlético Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Atlético Nacional is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Atlético Nacional to win the game is with odds 1.75.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético Nacional won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23:26 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Nacional won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Deportes Tolima?
Atlético Nacional has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Atlético Nacional?
Deportes Tolima has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima were as follows:
22.12.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportes Tolima
2:0
18.12.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Atlético Nacional
1:1
14.11.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Atlético Nacional
1:0
27.04.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportes Tolima
3:1
08.11.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportes Tolima
2:3
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Chico | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | La Equidad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | U. Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
