Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Deportes Tolima
33.7%
Draw
29%
Atlético Nacional
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.5% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 28.6% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.85)
    3.23
    (3.3)
    2.48
    (2.45)
    7.6%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Atlético Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Atlético Nacional has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional 0:0
    19.03.2025 Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima 4:3
    22.12.2024 Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima 2:0
    18.12.2024 Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional 1:1
    14.11.2024 Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional 1:0
    Latest results of Deportes Tolima
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter Bogotu00e1852114:12217
    2Atl. Nacional650115:41115
    3Dep. Pasto84319:8115
    4America De Cali741211:5613
    5Once Caldas834113:10313
    6Deportes Tolima833210:7312
    7Junior740312:10212
    8Bucaramanga725010:4611
    9Dep. Cali832310:7311
    10Aguilas73229:8111
    11Llaneros82429:8110
    12Santa Fe924310:12-210
    13Fortaleza82429:12-310
    14Jaguares de Cordoba73138:13-510
    15Millonarios82248:10-28
    16Ind. Medellin814310:12-27
    17Cucuta813412:16-46
    18Pereira70437:11-44
    19Chico81167:13-64
    20Alianza70343:14-113

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )