Result
1:1 penalties
26/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (365/441) | 70% (209/297) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (365/441) | 70% (209/297) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 36% (20/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (54/90) | 55% (53/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 24% (5/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Arrieta C. 🟨,
- 11', Florez K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Torres Patino J. P. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 59', Florez K. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 59', Nieto J. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
- 64', Alfonzo D. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
- 72', Calzadilla C. ↓, Balza J. ↑,
- 73', Sanchez J. ↓, Lusnig L. ↑,
- 76', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 84', Provenzano F. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
- 86', Arrieta C. ↓, Mera J. ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 1, Gonzalez L. (Penalty Awarded),
- Penalties (3 - 0)
- 1, Lopez E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Gonzalez L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Sandoval L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Balza J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Rovira B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Pollero R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Guzman S. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
61.1% | Draw
24.4% | Deportivo Táchira
14.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Deportivo Táchira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Táchira than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Táchira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.45) |
3.87 ↓
(4.13) |
6.64 ↓
(7.92) |
6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Táchira?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Deportivo Táchira will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Deportivo Táchira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Deportes Tolima is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportes Tolima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Deportivo Táchira?
Deportes Tolima has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Táchira won against Deportes Tolima?
Deportivo Táchira has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Táchira were as follows:
19.02.2026
Deportivo Táchira
-
Deportes Tolima
0:1
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Deportivo Táchira
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Coquimbo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | La Guaira | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Platense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Penarol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Mirassol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lanus | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
