Deportivo Alavés vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanSolh Sports 1, Tolo TV
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports La Liga
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 2
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cubaCubaTele Rebelde
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 3
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 5, S Sport, S Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2, Zor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 22

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.87
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
86% (420/488)86% (396/460)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.87
xG on target (xGOT)
1.492.87
Total shots
613
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1832
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
86% (420/488)86% (396/460)
Long passes
56% (28/50)52% (28/54)
Passes in final third
78% (73/93)72% (75/104)
Crosses
11% (2/19)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.83
Throw-ins
2816
Fouls
1213
Tackles
55% (12/22)64% (16/25)
Duels won
5057
Clearances
1020
Interceptions
145
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.871.49
Goals prevented
0.870.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Parada V. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. , Bellingham J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 67', Ibanez P. , Martinez T. ,
  • 67', Calebe , Vicente C. ,
  • 67', Rebbach A. , Alena C. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Vicente C. , Blanco A. (A),
  • 76', 1 - 2, Rodrygo , Vinicius Junior (A),
  • 78', Guler A. , Garcia G. ,
  • 78', Valdepenas V. , Huijsen D. ,
  • 80', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
  • 83', Rodrygo , Diaz B. ,
  • 83', Suarez D. , Guevara A. ,
  • 89', Parada V. , Yusi ,
  • 89', Vinicius Junior , Mastantuono F. ,
  • 89', Rebbach A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Guevara A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Alavés
16.7%
Draw
23.1%
Real Madrid
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.3% 21.7% 63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7% 20.9% 65.5%

Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.69
(6.21)
4.14
(4.38)
1.59
(1.51)
4.7%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 6 - 7.4%). Real will win (votes: 70 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 78.9%93.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1 - Real (1.99) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Alavés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Alavés: Garces F. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Muscle Injury) Alexander-Arnold T. (Thigh Injury) Camavinga E. (Ankle Injury) Carreras A. (Red Card) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Endrick (Red Card) Garcia F. (Red Card) Mendy F. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Alavés: Guridi J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 10:42. (average 0.6:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid 0:1
    24.09.2024 Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés 3:2
    14.05.2024 Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés 5:0
    21.12.2023 Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid 0:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona17141249:202943
    2Real Madrid18133236:162042
    3Villarreal15112231:131835
    4Atl. Madrid17104330:161434
    5Espanyol1693420:16430
    6Betis1667325:19625
    7Celta Vigo1758420:19123
    8Ath Bilbao1772815:22-723
    9Sevilla1762924:26-220
    10Getafe1662813:18-520
    11Elche1647519:20-119
    12Osasuna1753917:20-318
    13Rayo Vallecano1646613:16-318
    14Mallorca1746719:24-518
    15Alaves1753914:20-618
    16Real Sociedad1745821:25-417
    17Valencia1737716:26-1016
    18Girona1636715:30-1515
    19Oviedo1725107:26-1911
    20Levante16241017:29-1210

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2