Deportivo Alavés vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid
Result
0:1
13/04/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 31
  • Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)
Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.68
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
89% (445/501)85% (343/404)
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.91
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1820
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1221
Passes
89% (445/501)85% (343/404)
Long passes
65% (31/48)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
80% (131/163)70% (64/92)
Crosses
23% (7/30)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.72
Fouls
2112
Tackles
57% (13/23)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4761
Clearances Total
1524
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
0.910.85
Goals prevented
-0.090.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Camavinga E. , Valverde F. (A),
  • 38', Mbappe K. 🟥,
  • 42', Joan Jordan 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Martin C. 🟨,
  • 60', Martin C. , Martinez T. ,
  • 62', Guler A. , Vinicius Junior ,
  • 62', Rodrygo , Bellingham J. ,
  • 70', Sanchez M. 🟥,
  • 76', Joan Jordan , Guevara A. ,
  • 76', Abqar A. , Diarra M. ,
  • 77', Garcia F. , Diaz B. ,
  • 77', Tenaglia N. 🟨,
  • 80', Camavinga E. 🟨,
  • 84', Blanco A. , Protesoni C. ,
  • 84', Alena C. , Cabanes P. ,
  • 88', Lucas 🟨,
  • 90+2', Valverde F. , Ceballos D. ,
  • 90+6', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
  • 90+7', Courtois T. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Protesoni C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Alavés
19.2%
Draw
24.6%
Real Madrid
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.2% 22.6% 60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9% 22.2% 61.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.04
    (5.6)
    3.92
    (4.26)
    1.7
    (1.6)
    4.1%
    (3.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : ESPN Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (77 of 91 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.21%92.03%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Alavés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Real is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Alavés: Conechny T. (Yellow Cards) Guridi J. (Yellow Cards) Sivera A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Real: Alaba D. (Overload) Lunin A. (Calf Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Alavés won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 10:41 (average 0.7:2.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6:17 (average 0.9:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid were as follows:
    24.09.2024 Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés 3:2
    14.05.2024 Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés 5:0
    21.12.2023 Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid 0:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    08.04.2025 Arsenal - Real Madrid 3:0
    05.04.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 1:2
    29.03.2025 Real Madrid - Leganés 3:2
    15.03.2025 Villarreal - Real Madrid 1:2
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona382846102:396388
    2Real Madrid38266678:384084
    3Atl. Madrid382210668:303876
    4Ath Bilbao381913654:292570
    5Villarreal382010871:512070
    6Betis3816121057:50760
    7Celta Vigo381671559:57255
    8Rayo Vallecano3813131241:45-452
    9Osasuna3812161048:52-452
    10Mallorca381391635:44-948
    11Real Sociedad381371835:46-1146
    12Valencia3811131444:54-1046
    13Getafe381191834:39-542
    14Espanyol381191840:51-1142
    15Alaves3810121638:48-1042
    16Girona381181944:60-1641
    17Sevilla3810111742:55-1341
    18Leganes389131639:56-1740
    19Las Palmas38882240:61-2132
    20Valladolid38443026:90-6416

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
    angolaAngolaZ Sport La Liga
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    cubaCubaTele Rebelde
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2, MTV Urheilu 3
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
    iranIranIRIB Varzesh
    israelIsraelONE Sport
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoART Sport 1, ART Sport 3
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
    maldivesMaldivesICE Plus, Medianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect, TVWan
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    polandPolandEleven Sports 2
    portugalPortugalDAZN 2
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+
    swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6
    taiwanTaiwanDAZN
    tanzaniaTanzaniaAzam Sports 4
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
    uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
    vietnamVietnamSCTV 22, SCTV Online
    worldWorldDisney+
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