Result
1:1
21/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 6
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (217/303) | 76% (278/366) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (217/303) | 76% (278/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (27/60) | 40% (22/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (42/80) | 69% (96/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Ordonez J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 29', Cazares J. 🟨,
- 35', Guevara E. 🟨,
- 45+4', Rivero G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lopez A. ↓, Mosquera I. ↑,
- 49', Etchebarne S. 🟨,
- 65', Klimowicz M. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
- 65', Mancinelli L. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
- 65', Cazares J. ↓, Estacio J. ↑,
- 65', Viera M. ↓, Posse F. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Paz F. ⚽, Ayala M. (A),
- 75', Ordonez J. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
- 76', Blanc G. 🟨,
- 79', Ferro L. ↓, Chamba T. ↑,
- 79', Miranda M. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
- 80', Rivero G. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
- 82', Postel S. 🟨,
- 90+3', Blanc G. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cuenca
44.1% | Draw
31.6% | Deportivo Macará
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Cuenca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Macará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.94) |
2.9 ↓
(2.96) |
3.82 ↓
(4.61) |
8.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Macará (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Macará (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 3.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Deportivo Cuenca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Deportivo Cuenca could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Deportivo Macará?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Deportivo Macará has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
13.02.2026
Deportivo Macará
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:2
13.12.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:1
07.11.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Deportivo Macará
0:2
01.08.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Deportivo Macará
1:1
10.04.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
Deportivo Cuenca
0:1
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Macara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Libertad | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Tecnico U | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Delfin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Aucas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Orense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Emelec | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Manta | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Leones del Norte | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
