Result
2:2
20/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 21
- Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (219/252) | 81% (143/176) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (219/252) | 81% (143/176) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 63% (15/24) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (60/81) | 72% (13/18) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 50% (1/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.63 | -2.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Luna Tobar C. (A),
- 30', Gruezo C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Estrada M. ↓, Villamil G. ↑,
- 46', Alzugaray L. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 46', Gruezo C. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
- 52', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 2, Luna Tobar C. (Pen),
- 64', Rodriguez A. ↓, Morocho S. ↑,
- 73', Alvarado A. ↓, Cabeza A. ↑,
- 78', Mina R. 🟨,
- 83', de la Cruz D. I. ↓, Cuero Mercado J. W. ↑,
- 83', Luna Tobar C. ↓, Leguizamon N. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 2, Medina J. ⚽,
- 86', Mina R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Estupinan L. ↓, Piedra M. ↑,
- 90+2', Lopez A. ↓, Guevara E. ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Cabeza A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
LDU Quito
64.6% | Draw
21.5% | Deportivo Cuenca
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.5) |
4.21 ↓
(4.27) |
6.79 ↑
(5.94) |
7.8%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 4.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Deportivo Cuenca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, LDU Quito is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:23. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:8. (average 2.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Deportivo Cuenca?
LDU Quito has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against LDU Quito?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
29.03.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
LDU Quito
1:2
01.12.2024
LDU Quito
-
Deportivo Cuenca
5:0
28.08.2024
LDU Quito
-
Deportivo Cuenca
3:0
02.06.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
LDU Quito
2:2
07.08.2023
LDU Quito
-
Deportivo Cuenca
2:0
Latest results of LDU Quito
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
