LDU Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca
Result
2:2
20/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 21
  • Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.300.27
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
01
Passes
87% (219/252)81% (143/176)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.300.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.000.37
Total shots
86
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
24
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
01
Touches in opposition box
37
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
45
Passes
87% (219/252)81% (143/176)
Long passes
63% (10/16)63% (15/24)
Passes in final third
74% (60/81)72% (13/18)
Crosses
0% (0/4)50% (1/2)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.05
Throw-ins
136
Fouls
54
Tackles
50% (2/4)56% (5/9)
Duels won
1317
Clearances
310
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.370.00
Goals prevented
-1.63-2.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Rodriguez A. , Luna Tobar C. (A),
  • 30', Gruezo C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Estrada M. , Villamil G. ,
  • 46', Alzugaray L. , Medina J. ,
  • 46', Gruezo C. , Diaz M. ,
  • 52', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 59', 0 - 2, Luna Tobar C. (Pen),
  • 64', Rodriguez A. , Morocho S. ,
  • 73', Alvarado A. , Cabeza A. ,
  • 78', Mina R. 🟨,
  • 83', de la Cruz D. I. , Cuero Mercado J. W. ,
  • 83', Luna Tobar C. , Leguizamon N. ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Medina J. ,
  • 86', Mina R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Estupinan L. , Piedra M. ,
  • 90+2', Lopez A. , Guevara E. ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Cabeza A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


LDU Quito
64.6%
Draw
21.5%
Deportivo Cuenca
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 21.9% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 21.4% 15.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.5)
    4.21
    (4.27)
    6.79
    (5.94)
    7.8%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 4.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Deportivo Cuenca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, LDU Quito is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:23. (average 2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:8. (average 2.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito 1:2
    01.12.2024 LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca 5:0
    28.08.2024 LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca 3:0
    02.06.2024 Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito 2:2
    07.08.2023 LDU Quito - Deportivo Cuenca 2:0
    Latest results of LDU Quito
    16.07.2025 Olmedo - LDU Quito 1:2
    12.07.2025 LDU Quito - Emelec 2:0
    06.07.2025 Delfín - LDU Quito 0:4
    Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle21127239:192043
    2LDU Quito22117438:211740
    3Barcelona SC22115633:26738
    4Dep. Cuenca21104726:20634
    5Orense21104724:24034
    6Libertad2196631:26533
    7Aucas2195728:26232
    8U. Catolica2177734:28628
    9Delfin2168720:29-926
    10Emelec2167816:24-825
    11EL Nacional2166924:30-624
    12Vinotinto21651026:29-323
    13Manta2158827:34-723
    14Macara2157919:21-222
    15Mushuc Runa21451224:38-1417
    16Tecnico U21371119:33-1416

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )