Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 7
- Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (356/430) | 70% (198/281) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (356/430) | 70% (198/281) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (29/63) | 31% (17/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (77/108) | 38% (23/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/33) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', Segura E. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Gustavino L. ⚽, Luna Tobar C. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', Moreno K. 🟨,
- 55', Spina A. L. 🟨,
- 55', Mina J. ↓, Quinonez R. ↑,
- 55', Ciccioli U. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
- 60', Bustos B. 🟨,
- 69', Jaramilo R. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
- 70', Moreno K. 🟨,
- 74', Rodriguez A. ↓, Guevara E. ↑,
- 76', Segura E. ↓, Porozo S. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Ontaneda J. ⚽,
- 85', Nazareno B. ↓, Noboa D. ↑,
- 85', Luna Tobar C. ↓, Piedra M. ↑,
- 86', Estupinan L. ↓, Mancinelli L. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Cano L. ⚽, Montenegro B. (A),
- 89', Cano L. 🟨,
- 90+1', Ontaneda J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Gomez A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
48.9% | Draw
27.5% | Deportivo Cuenca
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.86) |
3.39 ↓
(3.48) |
3.98 ↓
(4.05) |
7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca?
Users Predictions:
SD Aucas will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 1.
- Aucas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Deportivo Cuenca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Aucas is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Aucas will win today's game, with odds of 1.88.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Deportivo Cuenca?
SD Aucas has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against SD Aucas?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
25.10.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
SD Aucas
1:2
10.09.2025
SD Aucas
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:2
22.06.2025
SD Aucas
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:3
21.02.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
SD Aucas
2:0
29.09.2024
SD Aucas
-
Deportivo Cuenca
1:4
Latest results of SD Aucas
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Macara | 37 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 49:34 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Aucas | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 57:49 | 8 | 55 |
| 9 | Dep. Cuenca | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 45:40 | 5 | 52 |
| 10 | Emelec | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 49 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 41:61 | -20 | 42 |
| 12 | Delfin | 36 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 30:60 | -30 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
