SD Aucas vs Deportivo Cuenca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Copa SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca
Result
1:2 penalties
10/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Ecuador - 1/8-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Morocho S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Segura E. ,
  • Penalties (8 - 9)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),
  • 8, (Pen),
  • 8, (Pen),
  • 9, (Pen),
  • 9, (Pen),

Chances of winning


SD Aucas
45.5%
Draw
28.6%
Deportivo Cuenca
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 28.4% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 28.7% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.19)
    3.23
    (3.25)
    3.55
    (3.16)
    8.3%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 0.
    • Recent form of Aucas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Deportivo Cuenca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Aucas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
    22.06.2025 SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca 1:3
    21.02.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas 2:0
    29.09.2024 SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca 1:4
    12.04.2024 Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas 3:3
    03.11.2023 Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas 0:0
    Latest results of SD Aucas
    Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
    Draw
    2025

    1/32-finals
    1Club Deportivo IbarraSan Antonio0 : 1
    2MantaBye
    3Liga De MacasOlmedo2 : 3
    4LDU QuitoBye
    5EcuageneraCumbaya2 : 1
    6AucasBye
    7BanosHuaquillas FC3 : 2
    8Dep. CuencaBye
    9Leones del NorteSembrando Buenos Campeones4 : 0
    10OrenseBye
    11Miguel IturraldePatria2 : 1
    12EmelecBye
    13Luz ValdiviaDep. Santo Domingo1 : 2
    14DelfinBye
    15San CamiloGuayaquil City0 : 1
    16Mushuc RunaBye
    17GualaceoMineros2 : 0
    18VinotintoBye
    19La TroncalImbabura1 : 2
    20Ind. del ValleBye
    21Ind. JuniorsLDU Portoviejo1 : 2
    22MacaraBye
    23Rio AguaricoLoja2 : 1
    24U. CatolicaBye
    25Atletico VinotintoCuenca Juniors2 : 3
    26Barcelona SCBye
    27La CanteraMontufar4 : 1
    28LibertadBye
    29Club Deportivo PanamericanaNueve de Octubre0 : 1
    30Tecnico U.Bye
    31Deportivo Coca22 de Julio0 : 3
    32EL NacionalBye

    1/16-finals
    1San AntonioManta1 : 0
    2OlmedoLDU Quito1 : 2
    3EcuageneraAucas0 : 1
    4BanosDep. Cuenca0 : 2
    5Leones del NorteOrense1 : 0
    6Miguel IturraldeEmelec1 : 2
    7Dep. Santo DomingoDelfin3 : 2
    8Guayaquil CityMushuc Runa3 : 1
    9GualaceoVinotinto2 : 1
    10ImbaburaInd. del Valle0 : 1
    11LDU PortoviejoMacara1 : 0
    12Rio AguaricoU. Catolica0 : 1
    13Cuenca JuniorsBarcelona SC2 : 0
    14La CanteraLibertad1 : 0
    15Nueve de OctubreTecnico U.1 : 0
    1622 de JulioEL Nacional0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1San AntonioLDU Quito
    2AucasDep. Cuenca1 : 2
    3Leones del NorteEmelec
    4Dep. Santo DomingoGuayaquil City
    5GualaceoInd. del Valle
    6LDU PortoviejoU. Catolica
    7Cuenca JuniorsLa Cantera6 : 1
    8Nueve de OctubreEL Nacional2 : 1