Result
0:0
22/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Blas A. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App, Nativa |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (317/388) | 71% (192/271) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (317/388) | 71% (192/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (18/44) | 43% (27/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (98/141) | 55% (47/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Salazar A. 🟨,
- 45+4', Rodas E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Guarderas R. 🟨,
- 55', Tapia R. 🟨,
- 62', Oncoy F. ↓, Barreto D. ↑,
- 63', Neira C. ↓, Delgadillo N. ↑,
- 66', Graneros A. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
- 66', Arancibia F. ↓, Sandoval K. ↑,
- 77', Rodas E. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
- 78', Torres S. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
- 78', Sinisterra J. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
- 90', de la Cruz P. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
- 90+2', Olivares C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Grau
44.6% | Draw
30.6% | Deportivo Garcilaso
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Grau that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(2.01) |
3.01 ↓
(3.1) |
3.76 ↓
(3.81) |
8%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0.
- Grau is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportivo Garcilaso is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Grau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Grau is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Ascues A.
(Injury)
Canales E.
(Red Card)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Atlético Grau has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Atlético Grau?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
06.08.2025
Atlético Grau
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:1
28.02.2025
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Atlético Grau
2:0
22.10.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
2:2
12.05.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Atlético Grau
0:0
30.07.2023
Atlético Grau
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:1
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Cusco | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:20 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Grau | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
