Atlético Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana).

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4
Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.90	0.89
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
3	6
Passes
80% (273/340)	65% (158/243)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90	0.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.31	1.79
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
3	6
Shots inside the Box
9	11
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
15	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
10	18
Passes
80% (273/340)	65% (158/243)
Long passes
35% (17/49)	36% (24/66)
Passes in final third
66% (63/95)	59% (47/80)
Crosses
43% (6/14)	19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.74	0.38
Throw-ins
11	23
Fouls
18	10
Tackles
58% (7/12)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
46	56
Clearances
37	26
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
1.79	1.31
Goals prevented
-0.01	0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Gomez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Garcia B. ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Ruidiaz R. (Pen),
56', Olivares C. ↓, Garro J. ↑,
64', Gomez N. ↓, Arancibia F. ↑,
66', de la Cruz P. ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,
66', Bustos C. 🟨,
72', Naya E. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
72', Celi Y. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
73', Garro J. 🟨,
77', Canales E. 🟥,
79', Tapia R. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
86', Bandiera N. 🟥,
89', Nunez O. 🟨,
90+1', Erustes P. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Sandoval K. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Atlético Grau
59.7%

Draw
25.3%

Deportivo Garcilaso
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

26.3%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

27.2%

17.7%

Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.7)	3.67 ↑ (3.58)	6.09 ↑ (5.16)	7.1% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grau: 29% – 96%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Grau (votes: 1 - 50%). Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Deportivo Garcilaso (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Grau (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Deportivo Garcilaso (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.25 - Deportivo Garcilaso (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 - Deportivo Garcilaso (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Grau (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Grau (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Grau (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25, 1st Half - Grau (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Grau (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Grau (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 5 - 41.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Deportivo Garcilaso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Grau has had a series of away games.
In this match, Grau is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Grau: Sandoval T. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Grau: Soto D. (Knee Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Deportivo Garcilaso?

Atlético Grau has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Atlético Grau?

Deportivo Garcilaso has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:

28.02.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso - Atlético Grau 2:0

22.10.2024 Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso 2:2

12.05.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Atlético Grau 0:0

30.07.2023 Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:1

25.02.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso - Atlético Grau 2:0

Latest results of Atlético Grau

31.07.2025 Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau 3:1 ✺

20.07.2025 Ayacucho - Atlético Grau 1:2 ✺

13.07.2025 Sporting Cristal - Atlético Grau 2:1 ✺

06.07.2025 Atlético Grau - Juan Pablo II College 2:0 ✺

29.06.2025 Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso

01.08.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano 2:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Comerciantes Unidos - Deportivo Garcilaso 0:0 ✺

18.07.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso - Los Chankas 3:0 ✺

06.07.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso - Universitario de Deportes 0:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso - Ayacucho 2:1 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cajamarca	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
2	FBC Melgar	2	2	0	0	4:1	3	6
3	Alianza Lima	2	2	0	0	4:2	2	6
4	U. de Deportes	2	1	1	0	3:1	2	4
5	Los Chankas	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
6	Cienciano	2	1	0	1	6:3	3	3
7	Comerciantes Unidos	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
8	Alianza Atl	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
9	AD Tarma	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
10	FC Cajamarca	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
11	Deportivo Garcilaso	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
12	Sporting Cristal	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
13	Sport Boys	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
14	Sport Huancayo	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
15	Cusco	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
16	Grau	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
17	Juan Pablo II	2	0	1	1	4:9	-5	1
18	Moquegua	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0

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