Atlético Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso
Result
1:1
06/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.900.89
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
80% (273/340)65% (158/243)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.900.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.79
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
80% (273/340)65% (158/243)
Long passes
35% (17/49)36% (24/66)
Passes in final third
66% (63/95)59% (47/80)
Crosses
43% (6/14)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.38
Throw-ins
1123
Fouls
1810
Tackles
58% (7/12)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4656
Clearances
3726
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.791.31
Goals prevented
-0.010.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Gomez N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Garcia B. , Rodas E. ,
  • 53', 1 - 0, Ruidiaz R. (Pen),
  • 56', Olivares C. , Garro J. ,
  • 64', Gomez N. , Arancibia F. ,
  • 66', de la Cruz P. , Herrera Joel ,
  • 66', Bustos C. 🟨,
  • 72', Naya E. , Sinisterra J. ,
  • 72', Celi Y. , Bazan J. ,
  • 73', Garro J. 🟨,
  • 77', Canales E. 🟥,
  • 79', Tapia R. , Vasquez A. ,
  • 86', Bandiera N. 🟥,
  • 89', Nunez O. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Erustes P. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Sandoval K. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Grau
59.7%
Draw
25.3%
Deportivo Garcilaso
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 26.3% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 27.2% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.7)
    3.67
    (3.58)
    6.09
    (5.16)
    7.1%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grau: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Deportivo Garcilaso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Grau has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Grau is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Grau: Sandoval T. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Grau: Soto D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
    28.02.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso - Atlético Grau 2:0
    22.10.2024 Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso 2:2
    12.05.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Atlético Grau 0:0
    30.07.2023 Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:1
    25.02.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso - Atlético Grau 2:0
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes1183020:81227
    2Cusco1171318:10822
    3AD Tarma1262415:15020
    4Sporting Cristal1154220:81219
    5Alianza Lima1153317:12518
    6Deportivo Garcilaso1146114:12218
    7FBC Melgar1245318:13517
    8Sport Huancayo1343623:22115
    9Cienciano1143416:15115
    10Comerciantes Unidos1143413:16-315
    11Los Chankas1050514:23-915
    12Grau1142516:15114
    13Sport Boys1233610:16-612
    14Juan Pablo II102539:11-211
    15Alianza Atl102446:6010
    16Ayacucho113178:17-910
    17Alianza Huanuco1131712:23-1110
    18Cajamarca111379:16-76
    19Binacional00000:000

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