Result
1:1
06/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (273/340) | 65% (158/243) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (273/340) | 65% (158/243) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (17/49) | 36% (24/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (63/95) | 59% (47/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Gomez N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Garcia B. ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 0, Ruidiaz R. (Pen),
- 56', Olivares C. ↓, Garro J. ↑,
- 64', Gomez N. ↓, Arancibia F. ↑,
- 66', de la Cruz P. ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,
- 66', Bustos C. 🟨,
- 72', Naya E. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 72', Celi Y. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
- 73', Garro J. 🟨,
- 77', Canales E. 🟥,
- 79', Tapia R. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 86', Bandiera N. 🟥,
- 89', Nunez O. 🟨,
- 90+1', Erustes P. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Sandoval K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlético Grau
59.7% | Draw
25.3% | Deportivo Garcilaso
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.7) |
3.67 ↑
(3.58) |
6.09 ↑
(5.16) |
7.1%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grau: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Grau (votes: 1 - 50%). Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Deportivo Garcilaso (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Grau (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Deportivo Garcilaso (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.25 - Deportivo Garcilaso (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - Deportivo Garcilaso (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Grau (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Grau (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Grau (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25, 1st Half - Grau (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Grau (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Grau (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Deportivo Garcilaso (votes: 5 - 41.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Deportivo Garcilaso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Grau has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Grau is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Grau: Sandoval T.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Grau: Soto D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Atlético Grau has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Atlético Grau?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
28.02.2025
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Atlético Grau
2:0
22.10.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
2:2
12.05.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Atlético Grau
0:0
30.07.2023
Atlético Grau
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:1
25.02.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Atlético Grau
2:0
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Los Chankas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Cajamarca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Sport Huancayo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Sport Boys | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Cusco | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Grau | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
