Atlético Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana).

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 8
Referee: Blas A. (Per)
Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App, Nativa
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.95	1.11
Ball possession
60%	40%
Total shots
17	15
Shots on target
5	6
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
7	3
Passes
82% (317/388)	71% (192/271)
Yellow cards
3	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.95	1.11
xG on target (xGOT)
0.63	1.68
Total shots
17	15
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked shots
6	3
Shots inside the box
8	11
Shots outside the box
9	4
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
22	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free kicks
8	18
Passes
82% (317/388)	71% (192/271)
Long passes
41% (18/44)	43% (27/63)
Passes in final third
70% (98/141)	55% (47/85)
Crosses
17% (4/23)	33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.92	0.64
Throw ins
24	11
Fouls
18	8
Tackles
50% (3/6)	53% (10/19)
Duels won
24	58
Clearances
16	32
Interceptions
4	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
6	5
xGOT faced
1.68	0.63
Goals prevented
1.68	0.63

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Salazar A. 🟨,
45+4', Rodas E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Guarderas R. 🟨,
55', Tapia R. 🟨,
62', Oncoy F. ↓, Barreto D. ↑,
63', Neira C. ↓, Delgadillo N. ↑,
66', Graneros A. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
66', Arancibia F. ↓, Sandoval K. ↑,
77', Rodas E. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
78', Torres S. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
78', Sinisterra J. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
90', de la Cruz P. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
90+2', Olivares C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Atlético Grau
44.6%

Draw
30.6%

Deportivo Garcilaso
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

29.8%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

25%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Grau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.01)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	3.76 ↓ (3.81)	8% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0.
Grau is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportivo Garcilaso is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Grau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Grau is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Ascues A. (Injury) Canales E. (Red Card)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Deportivo Garcilaso?

Atlético Grau has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Atlético Grau?

Deportivo Garcilaso has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:

06.08.2025 Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:1

28.02.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso - Atlético Grau 2:0

22.10.2024 Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso 2:2

12.05.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Atlético Grau 0:0

30.07.2023 Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:1

Latest results of Atlético Grau

15.03.2026 FBC Melgar - Atlético Grau 0:0 ✺

06.03.2026 Atlético Grau - Cajamarca 1:0 ✺

01.03.2026 Comerciantes Unidos - Atlético Grau 3:1 ✺

22.02.2026 Atlético Grau - Juan Pablo II College 1:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Sport Boys - Atlético Grau 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso

14.03.2026 Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima 1:1 ✺

07.03.2026 Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso 2:0 ✺

27.02.2026 Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano 2:3 ✺

23.02.2026 Moquegua - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:0 ✺

Peruvian Liga 1 Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	13	10	2	1	24:6	18	32
2	Los Chankas	13	9	2	2	21:15	6	29
3	Cienciano	13	8	2	3	27:16	11	26
4	U. de Deportes	13	7	3	3	22:13	9	24
5	FBC Melgar	13	6	2	5	20:16	4	20
6	Cusco	13	6	2	5	17:21	-4	20
7	Comerciantes Unidos	13	5	4	4	17:16	1	19
8	Alianza Atl	13	4	5	4	15:12	3	17
9	AD Tarma	13	4	4	5	16:15	1	16
10	Cajamarca	13	4	4	5	18:20	-2	16
11	Deportivo Garcilaso	13	4	4	5	13:16	-3	16
12	Moquegua	13	5	1	7	15:20	-5	16
13	Sporting Cristal	13	4	3	6	22:22	0	15
14	Juan Pablo II	13	4	3	6	19:31	-12	15
15	Sport Boys	13	3	3	7	13:19	-6	12
16	Sport Huancayo	13	3	3	7	15:22	-7	12
17	Grau	13	2	4	7	9:15	-6	10
18	FC Cajamarca	13	2	3	8	16:24	-8	9

Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )