Result
2:1
21/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Lopez P. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (127/197) | 78% (245/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (127/197) | 78% (245/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 33% (15/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (33/64) | 61% (56/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (6/6) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', Ataupillco J. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Perez Azambuya E. M. ⚽, Lucumi J. (A),
- 28', Caro D. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Ugarriza A. (Pen),
- 45+11', Canales E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Ataupillco J. ↓, Bilbao J. ↑,
- 56', Caro D. ↓, Tamariz A. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Valencia J. (Own goal),
- 64', Ramirez D. ↓, Rios M. ↑,
- 74', Naya E. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
- 85', Sandoval K. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
- 86', Ugarriza A. 🟨,
- 86', Beltran C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Paucar E. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
- 90+1', Ganoza M. ↓, Medina F. ↑,
- 90+1', Ugarriza A. ↓, Valer J. F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Garcilaso
64% | Draw
22.8% | Ayacucho
13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Garcilaso's performance.Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Deportivo Garcilaso - Ayacucho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.62) |
4.04 ↑
(4) |
7.16 ↑
(5.25) |
6.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Ayacucho?
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Garcilaso will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17).
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is the obvious favorite.
- There are questionable in Ayacucho: Bilbao J.
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Ayacucho?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Ayacucho has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Ayacucho were as follows:
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Latest results of Ayacucho
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
