Result
4:2
25/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.13 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (264/320) | 80% (239/298) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.13 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.64 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (264/320) | 80% (239/298) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (36/57) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (83/121) | 51% (32/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 3.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.12 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Arakaki H. ⚽, Caballero F. (A),
- 21', Lojas J. 🟨,
- 25', 2 - 0, Caballero F. ⚽, Arakaki H. (A),
- 31', Nunez O. 🟨,
- 31', Lucumi J. 🟨,
- 32', Nunez O. 🟥,
- 32', Lucumi J. 🟥,
- 40', Lojas J. 🟨,
- 42', Barbieri J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Moreno X. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
- 46', Gallardo J. ↓, Paucar E. ↑,
- 52', Bilbao J. 🟨,
- 59', Caro D. ↓, Tamariz A. ↑,
- 60', Caballero F. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,
- 62', Sinisterra J. ↓, Naya E. ↑,
- 65', de la Cruz A. ↓, Correa Flores C. A. ↑,
- 66', Gomez N. 🟨,
- 66', Gomez N. 🟨,
- 67', Tamariz A. 🟨,
- 68', 3 - 0, Perez Azambuya E. M. ⚽,
- 74', Bilbao J. 🟨,
- 77:00, 3 - 1, Naya E. (Pen),
- 78', Arakaki H. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
- 78', Ramirez D. ↓, Vilchez J. ↑,
- 79', Sandoval K. ↓, Garrafa Tapia I. A. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 2, Naya E. ⚽,
- 90+3', Ganoza M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Celi Y. 🟨,
- 90+9', 4 - 2, Orue D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ayacucho
42.3% | Draw
28.8% | Deportivo Garcilaso
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayacucho's performance.Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Garcilaso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+5%)
Ayacucho - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.5) |
3.25 ↓
(3.28) |
3.17 ↑
(2.64) |
7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Deportivo Garcilaso?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ayacucho (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 7).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Ayacucho: Leon Canchanya B. H.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Arancibia F.
(Broken collarbone)
Canales E.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Ayacucho: Ataupillco J.
(Injury)
Caballero F.
(Injury)
Yovera A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Deportivo Garcilaso: Canales E.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ayacucho won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Ayacucho has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Ayacucho?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
21.06.2025
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Ayacucho
2:1
Latest results of Ayacucho
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
