Deportivo Garcilaso vs Ayacucho – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Deportivo Garcilaso - Ayacucho
Result
2:1
21/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Lopez P. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.96
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
64% (127/197)78% (245/316)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.780.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.222.02
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1410
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1119
Passes
64% (127/197)78% (245/316)
Long passes
51% (23/45)33% (15/45)
Passes in final third
52% (33/64)61% (56/92)
Crosses
38% (6/16)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.67
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
1911
Tackles
100% (6/6)77% (10/13)
Duels won
3549
Clearances
2618
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.021.22
Goals prevented
1.020.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', Ataupillco J. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Perez Azambuya E. M. , Lucumi J. (A),
  • 28', Caro D. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Ugarriza A. (Pen),
  • 45+11', Canales E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Ataupillco J. , Bilbao J. ,
  • 56', Caro D. , Tamariz A. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Valencia J. (Own goal),
  • 64', Ramirez D. , Rios M. ,
  • 74', Naya E. , Celi Y. ,
  • 85', Sandoval K. , Moreno X. ,
  • 86', Ugarriza A. 🟨,
  • 86', Beltran C. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Paucar E. , Bazan J. ,
  • 90+1', Ganoza M. , Medina F. ,
  • 90+1', Ugarriza A. , Valer J. F. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Garcilaso
64%
Draw
22.8%
Ayacucho
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 23.6% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 22.9% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Garcilaso's performance.
  • Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso - Ayacucho Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.62)
    4.04
    (4)
    7.16
    (5.25)
    6.5%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Ayacucho?
  • Users Predictions: Deportivo Garcilaso will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is the obvious favorite.
    • There are questionable in Ayacucho: Bilbao J. (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
    Latest results of Ayacucho
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11003:033
    2Deportivo Garcilaso11003:033
    3Juan Pablo II11003:033
    4U. de Deportes11003:123
    5Cusco11002:023
    6FBC Melgar11002:113
    7Grau11002:113
    8AD Tarma11001:013
    9Alianza Atl10100:001
    10Sport Huancayo10100:001
    11Binacional00000:000
    12Ayacucho10011:2-10
    13Cajamarca10011:2-10
    14Cienciano10010:1-10
    15Comerciantes Unidos10011:3-20
    16Alianza Lima10010:2-20
    17Sport Boys10010:3-30
    18Alianza Huanuco10010:3-30
    19Los Chankas10010:3-30

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