Result
2:1
21/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Lopez P. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.78 | 0.96 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
64% (127/197) | 78% (245/316) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.78 | 0.96 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.22 | 2.02 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
64% (127/197) | 78% (245/316) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (23/45) | 33% (15/45) |
Passes in final third |
---|
52% (33/64) | 61% (56/92) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (6/16) | 30% (3/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.36 | 0.67 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
100% (6/6) | 77% (10/13) |
Duels won |
---|
35 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.02 | 1.22 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.02 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', Ataupillco J. 🟨,
- 27', 0 - 1, Perez Azambuya E. M. ⚽, Lucumi J. (A),
- 28', Caro D. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Ugarriza A. (Pen),
- 45+11', Canales E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Ataupillco J. ↓, Bilbao J. ↑,
- 56', Caro D. ↓, Tamariz A. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Valencia J. (Own goal),
- 64', Ramirez D. ↓, Rios M. ↑,
- 74', Naya E. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
- 85', Sandoval K. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
- 86', Ugarriza A. 🟨,
- 86', Beltran C. 🟨,
- 90+1', Paucar E. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
- 90+1', Ganoza M. ↓, Medina F. ↑,
- 90+1', Ugarriza A. ↓, Valer J. F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Garcilaso 64% | Draw 22.8% | Ayacucho 13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Garcilaso's performance.Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Deportivo Garcilaso - Ayacucho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.48 ↓ (1.62) |
4.04 ↑ (4) |
7.16 ↑ (5.25) |
6.5% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Ayacucho?
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Garcilaso will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17).
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is the obvious favorite.
- There are questionable in Ayacucho: Bilbao J.
(Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Ayacucho?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Ayacucho has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Ayacucho were as follows:
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Latest results of Ayacucho
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )