Result
3:2
15/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (407/483) | 61% (124/203) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (407/483) | 61% (124/203) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (34/58) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (113/148) | 50% (41/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 2.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Posito Olazabal A. J. 🟨,
- 22', Salazar A. 🟨,
- 26', Nunez O. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Cauteruccio M. (Pen),
- 45+2', Lojas J. 🟨,
- 45+7', Pretell J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Naya E. ↓, Ugarriza A. ↑,
- 46', Salazar A. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
- 52', Paucar E. 🟨,
- 58', Canales E. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 1, Erustes P. (Pen),
- 68', Pretell J. ↓, Alarcon J. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Gonzales C. ⚽, Tavara M. (A),
- 73', 2 - 2, Ugarriza A. ⚽, Zubczuk P. (A),
- 75', Posito Olazabal A. J. ↓, Alcedo F. ↑,
- 77', Beltran C. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 2, Cauteruccio M. (Pen),
- 89', Gonzales C. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
- 89', Castro M. ↓, Sosa M. ↑,
- 90+2', Alarcon J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Sandoval K. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sporting Cristal
70.1% | Draw
18.8% | Deportivo Garcilaso
11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-21.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Cristal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Garcilaso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↑
(1.32) |
5 ↓
(5.29) |
8.4 ↓
(8.54) |
7.7%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting Cristal: 64.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 7)
- In recent matches, Sporting Cristal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportivo Garcilaso is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Sporting Cristal is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez S.
(Ankle Injury)
Iberico L.
(Injury)
Yotun Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Sosa L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
Sporting Cristal has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against Sporting Cristal?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
17.09.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:0
15.04.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Sporting Cristal
2:3
13.08.2023
Sporting Cristal
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
3:0
12.03.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
Sporting Cristal
4:4
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
