Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario de Deportes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Deportivo Garcilaso - Universitario de Deportes
Result
0:1
06/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 18
  • Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.98
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
919
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
75% (229/307)81% (303/376)
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.550.71
Total shots
919
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
513
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1214
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
919
Passes
75% (229/307)81% (303/376)
Long passes
37% (23/62)56% (41/73)
Passes in final third
45% (39/86)65% (59/91)
Crosses
8% (1/12)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.550.54
Throw-ins
2010
Fouls
199
Tackles
89% (8/9)86% (6/7)
Duels won
3556
Clearances
1622
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.710.55
Goals prevented
-0.290.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', Gomez N. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Corzo A. , Flores E. (A),
  • 62', Gariglio I. , Bazan J. ,
  • 66', Inga C. , Carabali J. ,
  • 66', Concha J. , Calcaterra H. ,
  • 78', Flores E. , Velez J. ,
  • 78', Perez M. , Murrugarra J. ,
  • 81', Sandoval K. , Garrafa Tapia I. A. ,
  • 85', Velez J. 🟥,
  • 90', Lojas J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Nunez O. , Valer J. F. ,
  • 90+5', Canales E. , Salazar A. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Garcilaso
29.4%
Draw
29.9%
Universitario de Deportes
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.1% 31.2% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 30.2% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso - Universitario de Deportes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (3.58)
    3.15
    (2.99)
    2.28
    (2.18)
    7.6%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - Universitario de Deportes?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2).
    • In recent matches, Deportivo Garcilaso has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Uni de Deportes is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Uni de Deportes could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
    16.08.2024 Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Garcilaso 3:1
    08.03.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - Universitario de Deportes 2:2
    19.08.2023 Universitario de Deportes - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:1
    31.03.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso - Universitario de Deportes 0:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11003:033
    2Deportivo Garcilaso11003:033
    3Juan Pablo II11003:033
    4U. de Deportes11003:123
    5Cusco11002:023
    6FBC Melgar11002:113
    7Grau11002:113
    8AD Tarma11001:013
    9Alianza Atl10100:001
    10Sport Huancayo10100:001
    11Binacional00000:000
    12Ayacucho10011:2-10
    13Cajamarca10011:2-10
    14Cienciano10010:1-10
    15Comerciantes Unidos10011:3-20
    16Alianza Lima10010:2-20
    17Sport Boys10010:3-30
    18Alianza Huanuco10010:3-30
    19Los Chankas10010:3-30

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