Result
2:0
15/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App |
Argentina | DAZN, Disney+ |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Bolivia | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Ecuador | DAZN |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4 |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Sports 2 |
Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Paraguay | DAZN |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 2 |
Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Uruguay | DAZN, Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | DAZN, Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (330/405) | 84% (362/429) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (330/405) | 84% (362/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (33/53) | 49% (30/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (84/123) | 69% (70/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 61% (14/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.79 | -1.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Camara O. ⚽, Calatrava A. (A),
- 29', Barri 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Quagliata G. 🟨,
- 60', Suero I. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 0, Calatrava A. ⚽,
- 64', Jurado J. ↓, Cruz Luismi ↑,
- 64', Eddahchouri Z. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
- 66', Sienra A. 🟨,
- 73', Barri ↓, Doue M. ↑,
- 74', Altimira A. ↓, Navarro X. ↑,
- 74', Quagliata G. ↓, Stoichkov ↑,
- 78', Loureiro M. 🟨,
- 79', Rodriguez R. ↓, Villares D. ↑,
- 83', Camara O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 84', Sienra A. ↓, Brignani F. ↑,
- 84', Cipenga B. ↓, Santiago P. ↑,
- 86', Mella D. 🟨,
- 90+2', Doue M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Castellón 55.4% | Draw 25% | Deportivo La Coruña 19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Deportivo La Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Coruña than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Castellón - Deportivo La Coruña Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↓ (1.83) |
3.77 ↑ (3.44) |
4.83 ↑ (4.24) |
6% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Castellón - Deportivo La Coruña?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Deportivo will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 56% – 91.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Deportivo (4.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Castellón (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Castellón will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Castellón (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Deportivo (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 1.
- Castellón is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Deportivo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Castellón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Castellón is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.9:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 2.7:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Deportivo La Coruña?
Castellón has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Coruña won against Castellón?
Deportivo La Coruña has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Deportivo La Coruña were as follows:
07.12.2025
Deportivo La Coruña
-
Castellón
1:3
19.12.2024
Deportivo La Coruña
-
Castellón
5:1
02.06.2024
Castellón
-
Deportivo La Coruña
2:4
29.05.2024
Deportivo La Coruña
-
Castellón
2:1
11.06.2023
Castellón
-
Deportivo La Coruña
4:3
Latest results of Castellón
Latest results of Deportivo La Coruña
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation