Envigado vs Deportivo La Equidad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/07/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 4
  • Referee: Palencia M. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.75
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
83% (383/462)76% (198/260)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.471.07
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
249
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
713
Passes
83% (383/462)76% (198/260)
Long passes
53% (39/73)41% (24/58)
Passes in final third
57% (60/106)61% (46/75)
Crosses
35% (7/20)50% (5/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.36
Throw-ins
2021
Fouls
137
Tackles
80% (12/15)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4536
Clearances
824
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.070.47
Goals prevented
0.07-0.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Vivas C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Parra Atehortua K. , Monaco M. ,
  • 46', Gonzalez F. , Micolta Piedahita J. ,
  • 46', Mayo S. , Castilla J. ,
  • 58', Lopez E. , Gomez L. ,
  • 58', Hurtado W. , Ramirez N. ,
  • 71', Garces J. , Marulanda M. ,
  • 75', Bolivar J. , Valencia J. ,
  • 78', 0 - 1, Monaco M. , Valencia J. (A),
  • 83', Espana Alvarez R. C. , Araujo J. ,
  • 84', Uribe N. , Soto T. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Palacios D. , Araujo J. (A),
  • 90+1', Masllorens J. , Copete D. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2ea6b2nt

Chances of winning


Envigado
41.2%
Draw
31.1%
Deportivo La Equidad
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 27.5% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 27.3% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Envigado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Envigado's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo La Equidad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Envigado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Envigado - Deportivo La Equidad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (1.94)
    3.03
    (3.4)
    3.39
    (3.85)
    6.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Envigado - Deportivo La Equidad?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 2 - 50%). La Equidad will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Envigado (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Envigado (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 2.
    • Envigado has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • La Equidad's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Envigado might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Envigado won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Envigado won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Envigado - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
    13.02.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Envigado 2:3
    16.07.2024 Envigado - Deportivo La Equidad 2:1
    22.01.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Envigado 0:0
    21.07.2023 Deportivo La Equidad - Envigado 1:1
    28.01.2023 Envigado - Deportivo La Equidad 1:1
    Latest results of Envigado
    Colombian Primera A Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Nacional1180323:91424
    2Dep. Pasto1273218:14424
    3Once Caldas1265123:131023
    4Inter Bogotu00e11256117:15221
    5Bucaramanga1147016:61019
    6Junior1161417:16119
    7America De Cali1052315:8717
    8Millonarios1252519:13617
    9Deportes Tolima1044212:8416
    10Dep. Cali1244414:11316
    11Llaneros1236314:13115
    12Aguilas1043311:10115
    13Fortaleza1135313:16-314
    14Santa Fe1126312:14-212
    15Ind. Medellin1024413:15-210
    16Jaguares de Cordoba1131710:21-1110
    17Cucuta1214716:25-97
    18Chico112189:19-107
    19Pereira1105610:22-125
    20Alianza100555:19-145

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