Deportivo La Equidad vs Once Caldas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 14
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.78	1.16
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
8	3
Passes
85% (293/346)	82% (243/295)
Yellow Cards
6	2
Red Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78	1.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.44	0.19
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
5	6
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
16	11
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	4
Free Kicks
7	16
Passes
85% (293/346)	82% (243/295)
Long passes
52% (13/25)	54% (38/70)
Passes in final third
65% (71/109)	50% (36/72)
Crosses
25% (8/32)	38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.65	0.48
Throw-ins
19	11
Fouls
16	7
Tackles
100% (4/4)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
27	41
Clearances
7	26
Interceptions
8	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.19	1.44
Goals prevented
-0.81	1.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Mejia R. 🟥,
22', 0 - 1, Malagon J. ⚽, Gomez P. (A),
27', Abonia Y. 🟨,
31', Vivas C. 🟨,
45+3', Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moreno D. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
53', Abonia Y. ↓, Julio R. ↑,
53', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
65', Rodas M. 🟨,
65', Bolivar J. 🟨,
66', Gomez P. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
66', Chaverra F. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
71', Julio R. 🟨,
76', Sanchez L. 🟨,
78', Monaco M. ↓, Castilla J. ↑,
78', Mayo S. ↓, Pena D. ↑,
82', Barrios M. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
82', Sanchez L. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
90+1', Vivas C. 🟨,
90+2', Zapata Ramirez J. A. (Pen),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/n3j7bjmk

Chances of winning

Deportivo La Equidad
24%

Draw
28.8%

Once Caldas
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

31.5%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

32.4%

35.3%

Deportivo La Equidad - Once Caldas Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (2.92)	3.22 ↑ (2.98)	2.02 ↓ (2.59)	6.7% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Once Caldas?

Users Predictions: Once Caldas will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Once Caldas will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 0.
La Equidad is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Once Caldas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Once Caldas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Once Caldas?

Deportivo La Equidad has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Deportivo La Equidad?

Once Caldas has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Once Caldas were as follows:

16.04.2025 Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad 3:0

03.08.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Once Caldas 1:1

31.05.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Once Caldas 1:2

05.05.2024 Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad 2:0

06.02.2024 Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad 0:0

Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad

28.09.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo La Equidad 3:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Cali 0:4 ✺

12.09.2025 Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo La Equidad 1:1 ✺

07.09.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo La Equidad 1:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Deportivo La Equidad - Deportivo Pasto 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Once Caldas

01.10.2025 Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto 4:0 ✺

26.09.2025 Once Caldas - Boyacá Chicó 5:2 ✺

24.09.2025 Once Caldas - Independiente del Valle 0:3 ✺

19.09.2025 América de Cali - Once Caldas 2:1 ✺

17.09.2025 Independiente del Valle - Once Caldas 0:2 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Medellin ✔	19	11	4	4	43:28	15	37
2	Atl. Nacional ✔	19	10	7	2	37:22	15	37
3	Bucaramanga ✔	19	11	4	4	31:17	14	37
4	Deportes Tolima ✔	19	11	2	6	27:16	11	35
5	Fortaleza ✔	19	9	8	2	25:17	8	35
6	Junior	19	9	5	5	33:24	9	32
7	Aguilas	19	7	6	6	28:25	3	27
8	America De Cali	18	7	5	6	20:16	4	26
9	Alianza	18	7	5	6	22:21	1	26
10	Santa Fe	18	6	7	5	19:17	2	25
11	Llaneros	19	7	4	8	17:22	-5	25
12	Millonarios	19	6	5	8	21:25	-4	23
13	Once Caldas	18	6	5	7	19:23	-4	23
14	Dep. Cali	18	5	5	8	21:26	-5	20
15	U. Magdalena	18	5	3	10	20:29	-9	18
16	Pereira	19	4	6	9	19:32	-13	18
17	Envigado	19	3	8	8	15:22	-7	17
18	Dep. Pasto	18	3	7	8	23:27	-4	16
19	Chico	18	3	7	8	13:25	-12	16
20	La Equidad	19	2	5	12	10:29	-19	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. Medellin is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Bucaramanga is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
Fortaleza is Qualified for Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )