Result
3:0
16/04/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 14
- Referee: Marquez C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (324/420) | 77% (246/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (324/420) | 77% (246/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (35/82) | 54% (37/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (55/109) | 61% (54/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.42 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 35 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -2.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 46', Garcia M. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
- 49', Chaverra F. 🟨,
- 62', Contreras J. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
- 69', Abonia Y. ↓, Julio R. ↑,
- 69', Cruz W. ↓, Del Valle A. ↑,
- 70', Mayo S. ↓, Torralvo A. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 0, Palacios L. ⚽, Zuleta M. (A),
- 76', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 79', Patino J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 0, Zuleta M. ⚽, Beltran E. (A),
- 89', 3 - 0, Moreno D. ⚽, Cuesta Santos J. D. (A),
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
56.2% | Draw
27.5% | Deportivo La Equidad
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Once Caldas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.58) |
3.42 ↓
(3.7) |
5.71 ↑
(5.4) |
6.5%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). La Equidad will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Once Caldas: 77.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 19).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 2.
- Once Caldas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- La Equidad is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Once Caldas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Once Caldas is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:24 (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Once Caldas won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Once Caldas has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Once Caldas?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
03.08.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Once Caldas
1:1
31.05.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Once Caldas
1:2
05.05.2024
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo La Equidad
2:0
06.02.2024
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo La Equidad
0:0
22.09.2023
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo La Equidad
1:1
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Pereira | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Alianza | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Envigado | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Chico | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Aguilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
