Once Caldas vs Deportivo La Equidad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad
Result
3:0
16/04/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Marquez C. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoVIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.95
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
77% (324/420)77% (246/319)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.640.10
Total shots
1117
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
39
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
1918
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
77% (324/420)77% (246/319)
Long passes
43% (35/82)54% (37/68)
Passes in final third
50% (55/109)61% (54/88)
Crosses
44% (7/16)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.42
Fouls
1216
Tackles
70% (7/10)70% (7/10)
Duels won
3535
Clearances Total
1519
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.100.64
Goals prevented
0.10-2.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Zapata Ramirez J. A. , Palacios L. ,
  • 46', Garcia M. , Beltran E. ,
  • 49', Chaverra F. 🟨,
  • 62', Contreras J. , Zuleta M. ,
  • 69', Abonia Y. , Julio R. ,
  • 69', Cruz W. , Del Valle A. ,
  • 70', Mayo S. , Torralvo A. ,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Palacios L. , Zuleta M. (A),
  • 76', Garcia Castillo A. , Garcia J. ,
  • 79', Patino J. , Diaz J. ,
  • 84', 2 - 0, Zuleta M. , Beltran E. (A),
  • 89', 3 - 0, Moreno D. , Cuesta Santos J. D. (A),

Chances of winning


Once Caldas
56.2%
Draw
27.5%
Deportivo La Equidad
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 24.8% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 23.5% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Once Caldas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.58)
    3.42
    (3.7)
    5.71
    (5.4)
    6.5%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). La Equidad will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Once Caldas: 77.8%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 19).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 2.
    • Once Caldas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • La Equidad is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Once Caldas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Once Caldas is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:24 (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Once Caldas won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
    03.08.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Once Caldas 1:1
    31.05.2024 Deportivo La Equidad - Once Caldas 1:2
    05.05.2024 Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad 2:0
    06.02.2024 Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad 0:0
    22.09.2023 Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad 1:1
    Latest results of Once Caldas
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1373323:111224
    2Fortaleza1366119:13624
    3Junior1264224:16822
    4Ind. Medellin1163221:15621
    5Atl. Nacional1255220:15520
    6Deportes Tolima1262414:9520
    7Llaneros1253410:10018
    8Dep. Cali1245317:16117
    9Santa Fe1245312:11117
    10Once Caldas1344516:16016
    11Alianza1244413:15-216
    12Pereira1235410:11-114
    13Millonarios1242614:17-314
    14America De Cali123459:10-113
    15Envigado122649:11-212
    16Aguilas1125411:15-411
    17U. Magdalena1232712:20-811
    18La Equidad122557:15-811
    19Chico1325610:21-1111
    20Dep. Pasto1224612:16-410

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )