Result
0:1
06/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (293/346) | 82% (243/295) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (293/346) | 82% (243/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 54% (38/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (71/109) | 50% (36/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | 1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', Mejia R. 🟥,
- 22', 0 - 1, Malagon J. ⚽, Gomez P. (A),
- 27', Abonia Y. 🟨,
- 31', Vivas C. 🟨,
- 45+3', Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Moreno D. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
- 53', Abonia Y. ↓, Julio R. ↑,
- 53', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
- 65', Rodas M. 🟨,
- 65', Bolivar J. 🟨,
- 66', Gomez P. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
- 66', Chaverra F. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 71', Julio R. 🟨,
- 76', Sanchez L. 🟨,
- 78', Monaco M. ↓, Castilla J. ↑,
- 78', Mayo S. ↓, Pena D. ↑,
- 82', Barrios M. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 82', Sanchez L. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
- 90+1', Vivas C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Zapata Ramirez J. A. (Pen),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/n3j7bjmk
Chances of winning
Deportivo La Equidad
24% | Draw
28.8% | Once Caldas
47.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo La Equidad's form might have worsened.Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Once Caldas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Equidad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-11.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Once Caldas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo La Equidad - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.85 ↑
(2.92) |
3.22 ↑
(2.98) |
2.02 ↓
(2.59) |
6.7%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Equidad - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
Once Caldas will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Once Caldas will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 0.
- La Equidad is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Once Caldas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- La Equidad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Once Caldas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Once Caldas?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Once Caldas has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Equidad - Once Caldas were as follows:
16.04.2025
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo La Equidad
3:0
03.08.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Once Caldas
1:1
31.05.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Once Caldas
1:2
05.05.2024
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo La Equidad
2:0
06.02.2024
Once Caldas
-
Deportivo La Equidad
0:0
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Latest results of Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30:19 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 14 | 30 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33:21 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16:14 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Aguilas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 | America De Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Alianza | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 | Pereira | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18:23 | -5 | 17 |
| 17 | Envigado | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 13 |
| 19 | Chico | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 13 |
| 20 | La Equidad | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9:22 | -13 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
