Result
26/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
El Nacional
35.1% | Draw
29.3% | Deportivo Macará
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)The chances for Deportivo Macará have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
El Nacional - Deportivo Macará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↑
(2.59) |
3.13 ↓
(3.19) |
2.63 ↑
(2.6) |
7.6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 1.
- El Nacional is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Macará is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Macará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Deportivo Macará?
El Nacional has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against El Nacional?
Deportivo Macará has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
14.09.2025
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Macará
0:2
17.05.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
El Nacional
1:1
11.08.2024
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Macará
1:3
09.03.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
El Nacional
1:0
Latest results of El Nacional
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Aucas | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
