Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 13
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.01 | 0.93 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
75% (218/291) | 73% (196/269) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.01 | 0.93 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.24 | 1.05 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
13 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
75% (218/291) | 73% (196/269) |
Long passes |
---|
57% (29/51) | 33% (17/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
54% (45/83) | 62% (44/71) |
Crosses |
---|
41% (7/17) | 37% (7/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.73 | 1.16 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
77% (10/13) | 56% (9/16) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.05 | 0.24 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.05 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 30', Mejia E. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
- 41', 0 - 1, Carabali F. ⚽, Pazmino D. (A),
- 45+2', Morales J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tello M. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 46', Mejia J. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Paz F. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
- 48', Carabali F. 🟨,
- 59', Flor F. 🟨,
- 62', Bedoya A. 🟨,
- 73', Cela A. ↓, Borja F. ↑,
- 73', Carabali F. ↓, Montano M. ↑,
- 76', Munoz A. ↓, Viera M. ↑,
- 76', Marrufo J. ↓, Zambrano R. ↑,
- 79', Cevallos J. ↓, Cifuentes J. ↑,
- 82', Guisamano J. 🟨,
- 86', Chere A. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
- 89', Cazares J. ↓, Zamora S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará 40.8% | Draw 28.5% | El Nacional 30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Deportivo Macará - El Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.28 ↑ (2.22) |
3.24 ↑ (3.21) |
3.03 ↓ (3.22) |
7.8% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - El Nacional?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
El Nacional will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3.
- Macará has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- El Nacional has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Macará will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Macará won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against El Nacional?
Deportivo Macará has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Deportivo Macará?
El Nacional has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - El Nacional were as follows:
11.08.2024
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Macará
1:3
09.03.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
El Nacional
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )