Deportivo Macará vs El Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Deportivo Macará - El Nacional
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 13
  • Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.93
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
75% (218/291)73% (196/269)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.010.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.241.05
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
135
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
21
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
2415
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
75% (218/291)73% (196/269)
Long passes
57% (29/51)33% (17/51)
Passes in final third
54% (45/83)62% (44/71)
Crosses
41% (7/17)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.16
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
1213
Tackles
77% (10/13)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
2325
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.050.24
Goals prevented
0.05-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', Mejia E. , Guisamano J. ,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Carabali F. , Pazmino D. (A),
  • 45+2', Morales J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tello M. , Alvarez L. ,
  • 46', Mejia J. , Bedoya A. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Paz F. , Munoz A. (A),
  • 48', Carabali F. 🟨,
  • 59', Flor F. 🟨,
  • 62', Bedoya A. 🟨,
  • 73', Cela A. , Borja F. ,
  • 73', Carabali F. , Montano M. ,
  • 76', Munoz A. , Viera M. ,
  • 76', Marrufo J. , Zambrano R. ,
  • 79', Cevallos J. , Cifuentes J. ,
  • 82', Guisamano J. 🟨,
  • 86', Chere A. , Lopez D. ,
  • 89', Cazares J. , Zamora S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Macará
40.8%
Draw
28.5%
El Nacional
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 29% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 28.7% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • El Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Deportivo Macará - El Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.22)
    3.24
    (3.21)
    3.03
    (3.22)
    7.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - El Nacional?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: El Nacional will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3.
    • Macará has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • El Nacional has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Macará will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Macará won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - El Nacional were as follows:
    11.08.2024 El Nacional - Deportivo Macará 1:3
    09.03.2024 Deportivo Macará - El Nacional 1:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Macará
    Latest results of El Nacional
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle21127239:192043
    2Barcelona SC21115533:25838
    3LDU Quito21107437:211637
    4Dep. Cuenca21104726:20634
    5Orense21104724:24034
    6Libertad2196631:26533
    7Aucas2195728:26232
    8U. Catolica2177734:28628
    9Delfin2168720:29-926
    10Emelec2167816:24-825
    11EL Nacional2166924:30-624
    12Vinotinto21651026:29-323
    13Manta2158827:34-723
    14Macara2157919:21-222
    15Mushuc Runa21451224:38-1417
    16Tecnico U21371119:33-1416

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