Result
2:0
26/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (252/341) | 76% (255/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (252/341) | 76% (255/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (17/62) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (51/86) | 64% (82/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 27% (10/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Chala J. ⚽, Reasco D. (A),
- 21', Mena A. 🟨,
- 29', Carabali F. 🟨,
- 35', 2 - 0, Mejia Moreira J. D. ⚽,
- 41', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
- 45', Montano M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Viera M. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
- 63', Gonzalez P. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
- 63', Tello M. ↓, Blanc G. ↑,
- 68', Mejia Moreira J. D. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
- 77', Ayala M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
- 81', Velez C. 🟨,
- 81', Chala J. 🟨,
- 83', Mora F. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
- 83', Juambeltz M. ↓, Chere A. ↑,
- 90+1', Mena A. ↓, Benalcazar L. ↑,
- 90+1', Reasco D. ↓, Borja F. ↑,
- 90+2', Marrufo J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
El Nacional
28.7% | Draw
28% | Deportivo Macará
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
El Nacional - Deportivo Macará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↑
(2.59) |
3.28 ↑
(3.19) |
2.22 ↓
(2.6) |
6.8%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for El Nacional - Deportivo Macará?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Macará (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Macará will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 1.
- El Nacional has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Macará is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Macará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Macará might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Deportivo Macará?
El Nacional has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against El Nacional?
Deportivo Macará has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between El Nacional - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
14.09.2025
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Macará
0:2
17.05.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
El Nacional
1:1
11.08.2024
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Macará
1:3
09.03.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
El Nacional
1:0
Latest results of El Nacional
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Macara | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:34 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 39:38 | 1 | 49 |
| 9 | Emelec | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 35:40 | -5 | 49 |
| 10 | Aucas | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 46 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 41:54 | -13 | 42 |
| 12 | Delfin | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 30:49 | -19 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
