Result
2:0
30/11/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 7
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (305/383) | 74% (197/266) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.47 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (305/383) | 74% (197/266) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (27/55) | 36% (22/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (87/140) | 59% (48/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (13/14) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Cazares J. ↓, Blanc G. ↑,
- 18', Blanc G. 🟨,
- 24', Congo J. 🟥,
- 43', Marrufo J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Reasco D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Cabezas Briones R. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Borja F. ↓, Montano M. ↑,
- 58', Ayala M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
- 58', Tello M. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
- 61', Montano M. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 0, Viera M. ⚽,
- 70', Cela A. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
- 71', Mena A. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
- 78', Mazamba S. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 0, Arena N. ⚽, Gonzalez P. (A),
- 81', Paz F. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
- 81', Juambeltz M. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
- 87', Velez C. ↓, Puente J. ↑,
- 87', Chala J. ↓, Benalcazar L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará
65.1% | Draw
21% | El Nacional
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Macará's performance.El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Deportivo Macará - El Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↓
(1.6) |
4.46 ↑
(4.06) |
6.66 ↑
(5.05) |
6.7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - El Nacional?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Macará (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Macará (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Macará will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Deportivo Macará will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Macará (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3.
- Macará is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- El Nacional has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- El Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Macará is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Macará will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Macará won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against El Nacional?
Deportivo Macará has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Nacional won against Deportivo Macará?
El Nacional has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - El Nacional were as follows:
26.10.2025
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Macará
2:0
14.09.2025
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Macará
0:2
17.05.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
El Nacional
1:1
11.08.2024
El Nacional
-
Deportivo Macará
1:3
09.03.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
El Nacional
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Latest results of El Nacional
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | Tecnico U | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Macara | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Libertad | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Aucas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Delfin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | Leones del Norte | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Guayaquil City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Emelec | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Orense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Manta | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
