Result
1:1
30/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 27
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (336/396) | 81% (295/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (336/396) | 81% (295/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (25/43) | 39% (18/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (69/100) | 67% (66/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Correa C. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Medina J. (Pen),
- 43', Allala Menendez G. F. 🟨,
- 45+2', Marrufo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Ade R. 🟨,
- 61', Medina J. ↓, Cabeza A. ↑,
- 61', Alzugaray L. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
- 64', Viera M. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
- 66', Cazares J. 🟨,
- 74', Gonzalez P. ↓, Blanc G. ↑,
- 74', Ayala M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
- 79', Allala Menendez G. F. ↓, de la Cruz D. I. ↑,
- 79', Quintero J. ↓, Mina R. ↑,
- 86', Alvarado A. ↓, Cornejo F. ↑,
- 87', Cazares J. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 87', Tello M. ↓, Mesa Mercado E. E. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Paz F. ⚽, Juambeltz M. (A),
Chances of winning
LDU Quito
65.3% | Draw
20.4% | Deportivo Macará
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
LDU Quito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↑
(1.38) |
4.48 ↓
(4.79) |
6.6 ↓
(7.27) |
8%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 5.
- LDU Quito is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Macará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Macará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, LDU Quito is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, LDU Quito won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:23. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, LDU Quito won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has LDU Quito won against Deportivo Macará?
LDU Quito has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against LDU Quito?
Deportivo Macará has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
10.05.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
LDU Quito
0:1
04.08.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
LDU Quito
0:4
04.03.2024
LDU Quito
-
Deportivo Macará
2:1
22.10.2022
Deportivo Macará
-
LDU Quito
0:5
Latest results of LDU Quito
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Orense | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Libertad | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec ✔ | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 31 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 28 |
| 14 | Vinotinto | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
