Result
2:2
30/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 15
- Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.64 | 1.05 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
70% (205/293) | 73% (238/324) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.64 | 1.05 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.25 | 1.36 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
70% (205/293) | 73% (238/324) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (31/62) | 29% (15/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (77/120) | 54% (39/72) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (3/21) | 15% (2/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.49 | 0.64 |
Throw-ins |
---|
29 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (9/15) | 83% (5/6) |
Duels won |
---|
51 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 22 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.36 | 1.25 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.64 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Quintero D. 🟨,
- 14', Angulo L. 🟨,
- 19', Alvarez L. 🟨,
- 45+5', Ortiz M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 56', Ospitaleche F. 🟨,
- 57', Ospitaleche F. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Munoz A. ⚽, Morales J. (A),
- 69', Ramirez B. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
- 69', Angulo L. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 69', Ortiz M. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
- 73', Viera M. 🟨,
- 74', Viera M. ↓, Zamora S. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Madruga A. ⚽,
- 76', Zambrano J. ↓, Cabezas D. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Marrufo J. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
- 85', Morales J. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Aleman C. ⚽, Ortiz R. (A),
- 90+2', Munoz A. ↓, Cabeza M. ↑,
- 90+3', Arena N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará 63.2% | Draw 23.3% | Manta 13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Macará's performance.Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Macará that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+3%)
Deportivo Macará - Manta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.48 ↓ (1.64) |
4 ↑ (3.41) |
6.84 ↑ (5.7) |
7.2% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Manta?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Manta will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Macará: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1.
- Macará is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Manta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Macará is considered a favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Macará won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Manta?
Deportivo Macará has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Deportivo Macará?
Manta has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Manta were as follows:
18.10.2023
Deportivo Macará
-
Manta
1:3
30.08.2023
Manta
-
Deportivo Macará
1:1
15.06.2023
Manta
-
Deportivo Macará
3:1
18.04.2023
Deportivo Macará
-
Manta
2:0
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )