Manta vs Deportivo Macará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Jocay (Manta).

Liga Pro - Round 30
Referee: Quinonez L. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.12	0.79
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
13	2
Passes
60% (174/289)	61% (167/272)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12	0.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.69	1.91
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
10	6
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
13	2
Touches in opposition box
26	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
13	24
Passes
60% (174/289)	61% (167/272)
Long passes
32% (25/78)	36% (28/77)
Passes in final third
45% (60/132)	54% (42/78)
Crosses
21% (7/33)	8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.16	0.51
Throw-ins
18	19
Fouls
24	13
Tackles
64% (7/11)	85% (11/13)
Duels won
45	65
Clearances
31	51
Interceptions
11	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
xGOT faced
1.91	0.69
Goals prevented
-1.09	-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', Penarrieta J. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Viera M. ⚽, Gonzalez P. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Valencia D. ⚽, Alman J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', Viera M. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
64', Blanc G. ↓, Cazares J. ↑,
65', Chala J. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
65', Penarrieta J. ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
76', Correa C. ↓, Cuero D. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Paz F. ⚽, Morales J. (A),
85', Mina J. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
85', Jaramillo M. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
86', Juambeltz M. ↓, Chere A. ↑,
86', Gonzalez P. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
90', Valencia M. ↓, Zorrilla E. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 3, Morales J. ⚽, Chere A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Manta
14.3%

Draw
32.7%

Deportivo Macará
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

31%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

30.8%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manta's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Macará's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Macará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manta - Deportivo Macará Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.59 ↑ (2.75)	3.78 ↑ (3)	2.19 ↓ (2.65)	-17.5% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Macará is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 2.
Manta has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Macará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Macará has had a series of away games.
In this match, Macará is considered a favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Manta won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Deportivo Macará?

Manta has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Manta?

Deportivo Macará has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Deportivo Macará were as follows:

30.05.2025 Deportivo Macará - Manta 2:2

18.10.2023 Deportivo Macará - Manta 1:3

30.08.2023 Manta - Deportivo Macará 1:1

15.06.2023 Manta - Deportivo Macará 3:1

18.04.2023 Deportivo Macará - Manta 2:0

Latest results of Manta

20.09.2025 Vinotinto - Manta 4:1 ✺

15.09.2025 Manta - SD Aucas 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Mushuc Runa - Manta 2:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Manta - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1 ✺

17.08.2025 LDU Quito - Manta 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Macará

21.09.2025 Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja 1:1 ✺

14.09.2025 El Nacional - Deportivo Macará 0:2 ✺

30.08.2025 LDU Quito - Deportivo Macará 1:1 ✺

27.08.2025 LDU Portoviejo - Deportivo Macará 1:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa 2:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle ✔	30	18	10	2	55:23	32	64
2	Barcelona SC ✔	30	16	6	8	46:33	13	54
3	LDU Quito ✔	30	14	9	7	48:31	17	51
4	U. Catolica	30	13	10	7	58:39	19	49
5	Orense	30	13	8	9	34:32	2	47
6	Libertad	30	12	10	8	42:36	6	46
7	Dep. Cuenca	30	13	7	10	35:29	6	46
8	Emelec ✔	30	11	9	10	30:34	-4	42
9	Aucas ✔	30	11	8	11	38:41	-3	41
10	Macara ✔	30	9	11	10	32:30	2	38
11	EL Nacional ✔	30	9	7	14	32:46	-14	34
12	Delfin	30	6	13	11	26:42	-16	31
13	Tecnico U	30	7	7	16	26:46	-20	28
14	Vinotinto	30	7	6	17	34:43	-9	27
15	Mushuc Runa ✔	30	7	6	17	38:50	-12	27
16	Manta ✔	30	5	11	14	34:53	-19	26

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )