Result
1:3
27/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 30
- Referee: Quinonez L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (174/289) | 61% (167/272) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (174/289) | 61% (167/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (25/78) | 36% (28/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (60/132) | 54% (42/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/33) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 51 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.09 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', Penarrieta J. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Viera M. ⚽, Gonzalez P. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Valencia D. ⚽, Alman J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 64', Viera M. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
- 64', Blanc G. ↓, Cazares J. ↑,
- 65', Chala J. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
- 65', Penarrieta J. ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
- 76', Correa C. ↓, Cuero D. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Paz F. ⚽, Morales J. (A),
- 85', Mina J. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
- 85', Jaramillo M. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
- 86', Juambeltz M. ↓, Chere A. ↑,
- 86', Gonzalez P. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 90', Valencia M. ↓, Zorrilla E. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Morales J. ⚽, Chere A. (A),
Chances of winning
Manta
14.3% | Draw
32.7% | Deportivo Macará
53% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manta's form might have worsened.Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Macará's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+19.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-17.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Macará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Manta - Deportivo Macará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.59 ↑
(2.75) |
3.78 ↑
(3) |
2.19 ↓
(2.65) |
-17.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
- Macará is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 2.
- Manta has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Macará has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Macará has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Macará is considered a favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Manta won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Deportivo Macará?
Manta has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Manta?
Deportivo Macará has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
30.05.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
Manta
2:2
18.10.2023
Deportivo Macará
-
Manta
1:3
30.08.2023
Manta
-
Deportivo Macará
1:1
15.06.2023
Manta
-
Deportivo Macará
3:1
18.04.2023
Deportivo Macará
-
Manta
2:0
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Delfin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Libertad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aucas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Mushuc Runa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | U. Catolica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Emelec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Orense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Manta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Guayaquil City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
