Result
2:2
30/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 15
- Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (205/293) | 73% (238/324) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (205/293) | 73% (238/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (31/62) | 29% (15/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (77/120) | 54% (39/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Quintero D. 🟨,
- 14', Angulo L. 🟨,
- 19', Alvarez L. 🟨,
- 45+5', Ortiz M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 56', Ospitaleche F. 🟨,
- 57', Ospitaleche F. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Munoz A. ⚽, Morales J. (A),
- 69', Ramirez B. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
- 69', Angulo L. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 69', Ortiz M. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
- 73', Viera M. 🟨,
- 74', Viera M. ↓, Zamora S. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Madruga A. ⚽,
- 76', Zambrano J. ↓, Cabezas D. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Marrufo J. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
- 85', Morales J. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Aleman C. ⚽, Ortiz R. (A),
- 90+2', Munoz A. ↓, Cabeza M. ↑,
- 90+3', Arena N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará
63.2% | Draw
23.3% | Manta
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Macará's performance.Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Macará that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+3%)
Deportivo Macará - Manta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.64) |
4 ↑
(3.41) |
6.84 ↑
(5.7) |
7.2%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Manta?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Manta will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Macará: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1.
- Macará is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Manta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Macará is considered a favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Macará won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Manta?
Deportivo Macará has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Deportivo Macará?
Manta has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Manta were as follows:
18.10.2023
Deportivo Macará
-
Manta
1:3
30.08.2023
Manta
-
Deportivo Macará
1:1
15.06.2023
Manta
-
Deportivo Macará
3:1
18.04.2023
Deportivo Macará
-
Manta
2:0
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
| 5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
| 7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
