Result
3:0
26/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 11
- Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (254/327) | 85% (342/401) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (254/327) | 85% (342/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (24/53) | 52% (24/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (73/114) | 74% (103/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (16/25) | 100% (6/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 2.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Chamba T. ⚽, Klinger J. (A),
- 16', 2 - 0, Tello M. ⚽, Ferro L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Viera M. ↓, Espinoza T. ↑,
- 46', Tello M. ↓, Estacio J. ↑,
- 46', Corozo B. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
- 46', Branda V. ↓, Chere A. ↑,
- 67', Klinger J. ↓, Posse F. ↑,
- 67', Ferro L. ↓, Caicedo C. ↑,
- 74', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 🟨,
- 77', 3 - 0, Marrufo J. ⚽,
- 80', Chamba T. ↓, Ayala M. ↑,
- 82', Coronel D. ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
- 82', Guisamano J. ↓, Zambrano R. ↑,
- 90+2', Valencia C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará
48.7% | Draw
28.8% | Libertad Loja
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+2%)
Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.02) |
3.18 ↓
(3.33) |
4.15 ↑
(3.63) |
8.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Libertad (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Libertad (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Macará will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Libertad (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- Macará has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Libertad is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Macará will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Macará won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Libertad Loja?
Deportivo Macará has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Deportivo Macará?
Libertad Loja has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Libertad Loja were as follows:
21.09.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
Libertad Loja
1:1
25.05.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Deportivo Macará
0:1
16.08.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Deportivo Macará
0:1
15.03.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Libertad Loja
3:0
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Aucas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Mushuc Runa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Macara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | LDU Quito | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cuenca | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | Emelec | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Orense | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Delfin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Libertad | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Manta | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3:13 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
