Deportivo Macará vs Mushuc Runa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Bellavista (Ambato).

Liga Pro - Round 26
Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.19
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
78% (227/290)	79% (253/322)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09	1.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.31	0.73
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
3	2
Shots outside the Box
5	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
14	11
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
12	12
Passes
78% (227/290)	79% (253/322)
Long passes
42% (21/50)	41% (18/44)
Passes in final third
66% (57/87)	64% (55/86)
Crosses
15% (3/20)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.35	0.29
Throw-ins
15	17
Fouls
14	12
Tackles
36% (4/11)	82% (14/17)
Duels won
45	46
Clearances
24	20
Interceptions
11	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.73	1.31
Goals prevented
-0.27	-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', Cazares J. 🟨,
28', Marrufo J. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Dos Santos J. (Pen),
40', 1 - 1, Gonzalez P. ⚽, Viera M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Quintero D. ↓, Verges J. ↑,
51', Penilla C. 🟨,
53', Burbano R. ↓, Mancilla Quinones J. L. ↑,
55', Chala Rosales W. J. 🟨,
55', Morales J. 🟨,
63', Dos Santos J. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
67', Morales J. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
67', Gonzalez P. ↓, Blanc G. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Juambeltz M. (Pen),
87', Arena N. 🟨,
88', Orejuela C. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
88', Davila E. ↓, Arce J. ↑,
90', Tello M. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
90', Viera M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
90+4', Juambeltz M. ↓, Chere A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Deportivo Macará
41.8%

Draw
29.7%

Mushuc Runa
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27.5%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.1)	3.08 ↓ (3.33)	3.24 ↓ (3.28)	8.9% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa?

Users Predictions: Deportivo Macará will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1.
Macará has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Mushuc Runa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Macará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Macará is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Mushuc Runa?

Deportivo Macará has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Deportivo Macará?

Mushuc Runa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa were as follows:

03.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará 4:3

03.11.2024 Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará 2:1

11.05.2024 Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa 0:0

04.09.2022 Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa 3:0

Latest results of Deportivo Macará

17.08.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Deportivo Macará 0:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Deportivo Macará - Delfín 0:0 ✺

01.08.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará 1:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Deportivo Macará - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:4 ✺

20.07.2025 Técnico Universitario - Deportivo Macará 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Mushuc Runa

19.08.2025 Mushuc Runa - Independiente del Valle 2:2 ✺

16.08.2025 Mushuc Runa - SD Aucas 1:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Independiente del Valle - Mushuc Runa 1:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja 1:2 ✺

06.08.2025 Guayaquil City - Mushuc Runa 3:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	27	17	8	2	50:20	30	59
2	Barcelona SC	27	14	5	8	40:32	8	47
3	LDU Quito	27	12	9	6	42:26	16	45
4	Dep. Cuenca	27	12	7	8	32:26	6	43
5	U. Catolica	27	11	9	7	51:35	16	42
6	Libertad	27	11	9	7	40:34	6	42
7	Orense	27	12	6	9	31:31	0	42
8	Aucas	27	11	5	11	36:39	-3	38
9	Emelec	27	10	8	9	26:30	-4	38
10	EL Nacional	27	9	7	11	32:35	-3	34
11	Macara	27	7	10	10	26:28	-2	31
12	Delfin	27	6	11	10	25:40	-15	29
13	Manta	27	5	10	12	31:45	-14	25
14	Tecnico U	27	6	7	14	24:41	-17	25
15	Vinotinto	27	6	6	15	29:38	-9	24
16	Mushuc Runa ✔	27	6	5	16	30:45	-15	23

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )