Result
2:1
23/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 26
- Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (227/290) | 79% (253/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (227/290) | 79% (253/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 41% (18/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (57/87) | 64% (55/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.27 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', Cazares J. 🟨,
- 28', Marrufo J. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Dos Santos J. (Pen),
- 40', 1 - 1, Gonzalez P. ⚽, Viera M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Quintero D. ↓, Verges J. ↑,
- 51', Penilla C. 🟨,
- 53', Burbano R. ↓, Mancilla Quinones J. L. ↑,
- 55', Chala Rosales W. J. 🟨,
- 55', Morales J. 🟨,
- 63', Dos Santos J. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
- 67', Morales J. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
- 67', Gonzalez P. ↓, Blanc G. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Juambeltz M. (Pen),
- 87', Arena N. 🟨,
- 88', Orejuela C. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
- 88', Davila E. ↓, Arce J. ↑,
- 90', Tello M. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 90', Viera M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
- 90+4', Juambeltz M. ↓, Chere A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará
41.8% | Draw
29.7% | Mushuc Runa
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.1) |
3.08 ↓
(3.33) |
3.24 ↓
(3.28) |
8.9%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa?
Users Predictions:
Deportivo Macará will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1.
- Macará has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mushuc Runa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Macará may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Macará is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Mushuc Runa?
Deportivo Macará has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Deportivo Macará?
Mushuc Runa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
03.05.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Deportivo Macará
4:3
03.11.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Deportivo Macará
2:1
11.05.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Mushuc Runa
0:0
04.09.2022
Deportivo Macará
-
Mushuc Runa
3:0
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 55:23 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC ✔ | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 46:33 | 13 | 54 |
| 3 | LDU Quito ✔ | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:31 | 17 | 51 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 58:39 | 19 | 49 |
| 5 | Orense | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Libertad | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec ✔ | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 42 |
| 9 | Aucas ✔ | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 41 |
| 10 | Macara ✔ | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 38 |
| 11 | EL Nacional ✔ | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:46 | -14 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 26:42 | -16 | 31 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 26:46 | -20 | 28 |
| 14 | Vinotinto | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 | Manta ✔ | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 34:53 | -19 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Barcelona SC is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
LDU Quito is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Emelec is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Aucas is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Macara is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
EL Nacional is Qualified for Liga Pro (Placement Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
