Result
4:3
03/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 11
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (240/343) | 69% (219/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (240/343) | 69% (219/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (43/90) | 51% (41/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (90/153) | 52% (63/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (9/34) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.62 | -1.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 17', 0 - 1, Alvarez L. ⚽, Cazares J. (A),
- 37', 1 - 1, Caicedo E. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 2, Paz F. ⚽,
- 45+1', Cazares J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Peralta K. ↓, Orejuela C. ↑,
- 46', Mina G. ↓, Mancilla Quinones J. L. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 2, Miranda B. ⚽,
- 55', Caicedo E. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
- 65', Chere A. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
- 73', Arena N. 🟨,
- 79', 3 - 2, Orejuela C. ⚽, Penilla C. (A),
- 80', Alonso M. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
- 81', 4 - 2, Penilla C. ⚽, Miranda B. (A),
- 84', Zambrano R. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
- 84', Viera M. ↓, Avila V. ↑,
- 90', Alvarez L. ↓, Zamora S. ↑,
- 90+2', 4 - 3, Marrufo J. ⚽,
- 90+2', Miranda B. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa
42.3% | Draw
29.3% | Deportivo Macará
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mushuc Runa's form might have worsened.Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Macará's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mushuc Runa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Macará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(1.87) |
3.16 ↓
(3.46) |
3.27 ↓
(4.04) |
7.9%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 1.
- Mushuc Runa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Macará is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Mushuc Runa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Deportivo Macará?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Mushuc Runa?
Deportivo Macará has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
03.11.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Deportivo Macará
2:1
11.05.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Mushuc Runa
0:0
04.09.2022
Deportivo Macará
-
Mushuc Runa
3:0
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 50 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 43 |
| 4 | Aucas | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
| 5 | Orense | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Libertad | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 35 |
| 9 | Emelec | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 32 |
| 10 | Delfin | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:34 | -10 | 28 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Tecnico U | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Vinotinto | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Macara | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 | Manta | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
