Mushuc Runa vs Deportivo Macará – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Bellavista (Ambato).

Liga Pro - Round 11
Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	0.73
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
22	16
Shots on target
12	7
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	3
Passes
70% (240/343)	69% (219/317)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	0.73
xG on target (xGOT)
2.05	1.38
Total shots
22	16
Shots on target
12	7
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
12	6
Shots outside the Box
10	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
9	3
Touches in opposition box
27	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
14	4
Passes
70% (240/343)	69% (219/317)
Long passes
48% (43/90)	51% (41/81)
Passes in final third
59% (90/153)	52% (63/121)
Crosses
26% (9/34)	14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.90	0.70
Throw-ins
7	14
Fouls
4	14
Tackles
77% (10/13)	100% (8/8)
Duels won
50	40
Clearances
16	39
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	8
xGOT faced
1.38	2.05
Goals prevented
-1.62	-1.95

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Alvarez L. ⚽, Cazares J. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Caicedo E. ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, Paz F. ⚽,
45+1', Cazares J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Peralta K. ↓, Orejuela C. ↑,
46', Mina G. ↓, Mancilla Quinones J. L. ↑,
53', 2 - 2, Miranda B. ⚽,
55', Caicedo E. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
65', Chere A. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
73', Arena N. 🟨,
79', 3 - 2, Orejuela C. ⚽, Penilla C. (A),
80', Alonso M. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
81', 4 - 2, Penilla C. ⚽, Miranda B. (A),
84', Zambrano R. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
84', Viera M. ↓, Avila V. ↑,
90', Alvarez L. ↓, Zamora S. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 3, Marrufo J. ⚽,
90+2', Miranda B. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Mushuc Runa
42.3%

Draw
29.3%

Deportivo Macará
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.9%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

26.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mushuc Runa's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Macará's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mushuc Runa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Macará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.87)	3.16 ↓ (3.46)	3.27 ↓ (4.04)	7.9% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 1.
Mushuc Runa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Macará is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Mushuc Runa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Mushuc Runa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Deportivo Macará?

Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Mushuc Runa?

Deportivo Macará has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará were as follows:

03.11.2024 Mushuc Runa - Deportivo Macará 2:1

11.05.2024 Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa 0:0

04.09.2022 Deportivo Macará - Mushuc Runa 3:0

Latest results of Mushuc Runa

27.04.2025 SD Aucas - Mushuc Runa 2:0 ✺

23.04.2025 Mushuc Runa - Unión Santa Fe 3:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Libertad Loja - Mushuc Runa 2:1 ✺

14.04.2025 Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito 1:0 ✺

09.04.2025 Cruzeiro - Mushuc Runa 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Deportivo Macará

26.04.2025 Deportivo Macará - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Delfín - Deportivo Macará 0:0 ✺

10.04.2025 Deportivo Macará - Deportivo Cuenca 0:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Macará 1:0 ✺

30.03.2025 Deportivo Macará - Técnico Universitario 0:1 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	21	12	7	2	39:19	20	43
2	Barcelona SC	21	11	5	5	33:25	8	38
3	LDU Quito	21	10	7	4	37:21	16	37
4	Dep. Cuenca	21	10	4	7	26:20	6	34
5	Orense	21	10	4	7	24:24	0	34
6	Libertad	21	9	6	6	31:26	5	33
7	Aucas	21	9	5	7	28:26	2	32
8	U. Catolica	21	7	7	7	34:28	6	28
9	Delfin	21	6	8	7	20:29	-9	26
10	Emelec	21	6	7	8	16:24	-8	25
11	EL Nacional	21	6	6	9	24:30	-6	24
12	Vinotinto	21	6	5	10	26:29	-3	23
13	Manta	21	5	8	8	27:34	-7	23
14	Macara	21	5	7	9	19:21	-2	22
15	Mushuc Runa	21	4	5	12	24:38	-14	17
16	Tecnico U	21	3	7	11	19:33	-14	16

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )