Result
1:4
06/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 19
- Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (334/403) | 72% (182/254) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (334/403) | 72% (182/254) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 37% (17/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (60/106) | 55% (36/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.71 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Gonzalez P. ⚽, Cazares J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Mina A. ↓, Gruezo E. ↑,
- 46', Almagro A. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 2, Gonzalez P. ⚽, Viera M. (A),
- 60', Jaramilo R. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
- 61', Mohor J. 🟨,
- 68', 0 - 3, Marrufo J. ⚽, Alvarez L. (A),
- 72', Cano L. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
- 73', Paz F. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
- 73', Juambeltz M. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 4, Viera M. ⚽, Gonzalez P. (A),
- 77', Ciccioli U. 🟨,
- 78', Ontaneda J. ↓, Patino D. ↑,
- 82', Gonzalez P. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
- 88', Mohor J. ↓, Espinoza T. ↑,
- 88', Caicedo B. ↓, Arena N. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 4, Zambrano C. ⚽, Montenegro B. (A),
- 90+2', Marrufo J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
57.3% | Draw
25.1% | Deportivo Macará
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.64) |
3.68 ↓
(3.69) |
5.08 ↑
(4.93) |
8.6%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Macará will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aucas: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Aucas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Aucas is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Deportivo Macará?
SD Aucas has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against SD Aucas?
Deportivo Macará has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
09.03.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
SD Aucas
1:1
20.10.2024
SD Aucas
-
Deportivo Macará
3:1
28.04.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
SD Aucas
0:2
Latest results of SD Aucas
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 50 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 43 |
| 4 | Aucas | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
| 5 | Orense | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Libertad | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 35 |
| 9 | Emelec | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 32 |
| 10 | Delfin | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:34 | -10 | 28 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Tecnico U | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Vinotinto | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Macara | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 | Manta | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
