Result
1:4
06/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 19
- Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.68 | 1.48 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
83% (334/403) | 72% (182/254) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.68 | 1.48 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.81 | 1.29 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
83% (334/403) | 72% (182/254) |
Long passes |
---|
42% (25/59) | 37% (17/46) |
Passes in final third |
---|
57% (60/106) | 55% (36/65) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (5/27) | 40% (4/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.47 | 1.18 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
76% (13/17) | 57% (8/14) |
Duels won |
---|
55 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
17 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.29 | 0.81 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-2.71 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Gonzalez P. ⚽, Cazares J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Mina A. ↓, Gruezo E. ↑,
- 46', Almagro A. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 2, Gonzalez P. ⚽, Viera M. (A),
- 60', Jaramilo R. ↓, Zambrano C. ↑,
- 61', Mohor J. 🟨,
- 68', 0 - 3, Marrufo J. ⚽, Alvarez L. (A),
- 72', Cano L. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
- 73', Paz F. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
- 73', Juambeltz M. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 4, Viera M. ⚽, Gonzalez P. (A),
- 77', Ciccioli U. 🟨,
- 78', Ontaneda J. ↓, Patino D. ↑,
- 82', Gonzalez P. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
- 88', Mohor J. ↓, Espinoza T. ↑,
- 88', Caicedo B. ↓, Arena N. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 4, Zambrano C. ⚽, Montenegro B. (A),
- 90+2', Marrufo J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas 57.3% | Draw 25.1% | Deportivo Macará 17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↓ (1.64) |
3.68 ↓ (3.69) |
5.08 ↑ (4.93) |
8.6% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Macará will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aucas: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Aucas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Aucas is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Deportivo Macará?
SD Aucas has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against SD Aucas?
Deportivo Macará has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
09.03.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
SD Aucas
1:1
20.10.2024
SD Aucas
-
Deportivo Macará
3:1
28.04.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
SD Aucas
0:2
Latest results of SD Aucas
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )