Result
0:2
20/12/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 10
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (360/421) | 79% (253/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (360/421) | 79% (253/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (27/48) | 52% (32/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (64/102) | 70% (49/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (10/32) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.18 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Spina A. L. ↓, Pepinos E. ↑,
- 62', Ciccioli U. ↓, Vera M. ↑,
- 62', Mina J. ↓, Quinonez R. ↑,
- 69', Ayala M. 🟨,
- 70', Morales J. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
- 70', Juambeltz M. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
- 74', Jaramilo R. 🟨,
- 78', Ayala M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
- 81', Miranda B. ↓, Almagro A. ↑,
- 85', Jaramilo R. ↓, Porozo S. ↑,
- 88', Paz F. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 89', Gonzalez P. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
- 90+2', Segura E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Ledesma A. 🟨,
- 90+5', 0 - 1, Blanc G. ⚽, Tello M. (A),
- 90+7', 0 - 2, Mohor J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
60.5% | Draw
23.2% | Deportivo Macará
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SD Aucas's performance.Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+3%)
SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.72) |
4 ↑
(3.61) |
5.58 ↑
(4.7) |
8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Macará (5.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
SD Aucas will win
(20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): SD Aucas will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Aucas (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Macará (votes: 1 - 6.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 2.
- In recent matches, Aucas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Macará is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Aucas is the team to beat.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Deportivo Macará?
SD Aucas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against SD Aucas?
Deportivo Macará has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Deportivo Macará were as follows:
05.10.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
SD Aucas
3:2
06.07.2025
SD Aucas
-
Deportivo Macará
1:4
09.03.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
SD Aucas
1:1
20.10.2024
SD Aucas
-
Deportivo Macará
3:1
28.04.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
SD Aucas
0:2
Latest results of SD Aucas
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Delfin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Libertad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aucas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Mushuc Runa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | U. Catolica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Emelec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Orense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Manta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Guayaquil City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
