Result
3:2
05/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Placement Group - Round 1
- Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (345/424) | 75% (240/320) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (345/424) | 75% (240/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (37/59) | 30% (19/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (89/136) | 55% (44/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.16 | -0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', Ayala M. 🟨,
- 14', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
- 17', Jaramilo R. 🟨,
- 20', 0 - 1, Miranda B. ⚽, Mina J. (A),
- 33', 0 - 2, Cano L. ⚽,
- 40', Juambeltz M. (Pen),
- 45+6', Miranda B. 🟨,
- 45+6', Segura E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Blanc G. ↓, Cazares J. ↑,
- 46', Morales J. ↓, Paz F. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 2, Tello M. ⚽, Juambeltz M. (A),
- 53', Segura E. 🟨,
- 55', Cano L. ↓, Spina A. L. ↑,
- 56', Almagro A. ↓, Ontaneda J. ↑,
- 56', 2 - 2, Paz F. ⚽,
- 57', 3 - 2, Paz F. ⚽,
- 64', Patino D. ↓, Quinonez R. ↑,
- 64', Jaramilo R. ↓, Montenegro B. ↑,
- 65', Ayala M. ↓, Mohor J. ↑,
- 74', Miranda B. ↓, Uchuari J. ↑,
- 78', Gonzalez P. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
- 88', Viera M. ↓, Mesa Mercado E. E. ↑,
- 89', Arena N. 🟨,
- 90+1', Marrufo J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Rolon C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará
37.4% | Draw
29.4% | SD Aucas
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↓
(2.57) |
3.14 ↓
(3.2) |
2.81 ↑
(2.57) |
7.6%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 1.
- Macará has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aucas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Macará has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Macará won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against SD Aucas?
Deportivo Macará has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Deportivo Macará?
SD Aucas has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - SD Aucas were as follows:
06.07.2025
SD Aucas
-
Deportivo Macará
1:4
09.03.2025
Deportivo Macará
-
SD Aucas
1:1
20.10.2024
SD Aucas
-
Deportivo Macará
3:1
28.04.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
SD Aucas
0:2
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Aucas | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
