Result
0:2
11/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera Nacional - Round 14
- Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Monzon L. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Rivero G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Solis N. ↓, Jara E. ↑,
- 59', Susvielles J. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
- 60', Becker D. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
- 64', Werro V. 🟨,
- 66', Giacopuzzi F. ↓, Minissale P. ↑,
- 68', Aleo A. 🟥,
- 71', 0 - 2, Perez B. (Pen),
- 78', Rivero G. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
- 80', 🟨,
- 81', 🟨,
- 84', Bergara M. ↓, Miori M. ↑,
- 90', Perez B. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
- 90', Crego D. ↓, Cascini B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alvarado
31.5% | Draw
33.6% | Deportivo Madryn
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Madryn's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Madryn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.26) |
2.76 ↓
(2.9) |
2.68 ↓
(3.41) |
7.8%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alvarado: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 3.
- Alvarado is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportivo Madryn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Alvarado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alvarado won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Deportivo Madryn?
Alvarado has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Madryn won against Alvarado?
Deportivo Madryn has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn were as follows:
Latest results of Alvarado
Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atletico Atlanta | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 36 |
| 2 | San Martin T | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 20:14 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | Tristan Suarez | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 29 |
| 6 | Patronato | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 29 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 17:12 | 5 | 28 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 9 | Racing Cordoba | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 26 |
| 10 | Almagro | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 26 |
| 11 | Los Andes | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 24 |
| 12 | Ferro | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 13:19 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 23 |
| 14 | Colegiales | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 10:17 | -7 | 23 |
| 15 | All Boys | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 20 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 23:10 | 13 | 40 |
| 2 | Chacarita Juniors | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27:13 | 14 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 34 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 19 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 34 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 33 |
| 6 | Chaco For Ever | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 23:17 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Temperley | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 31 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 19:16 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | CA Mitre | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 16:12 | 4 | 28 |
| 10 | Agropecuario | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 27 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | San Telmo | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 13 | Nueva Chicago | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 14:24 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 15:20 | -5 | 21 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 | Defensores Unidos | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 8:33 | -25 | 10 |
| 18 | Talleres (R.E) | 20 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 5:24 | -19 | 7 |
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Relegation
Which TV channels are streaming of Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn?
It is being streamed on channel
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
