Deportivo Madryn vs Alvarado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
21
Shots on target
10
Corner Kicks
74
Yellow Cards
04
Total shots
21
Shots on target
10
Shots off target
11
Corner Kicks
74
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', Gorgerino C. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Perez B. (Pen),
  • 38', Ortale M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gorgerino C. , Bolivar A. ,
  • 46', Ortale M. , Fernandez T. ,
  • 57', Perez B. , Montagna E. ,
  • 63', Ardiles F. , Russo F. ,
  • 70', Amilivia T. , Perez M. ,
  • 70', Aleo A. , Bolzicco T. ,
  • 77', Silba L. , Mana N. ,
  • 77', Solis N. , Postel S. ,
  • 81', Bolzicco T. 🟨,
  • 88', Rivero G. , Ayala E. ,
  • 90', Blasi B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Madryn
68.8%
Draw
22.3%
Alvarado
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 30.7% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 29.8% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Madryn's performance.
  • Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alvarado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Madryn that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Deportivo Madryn - Alvarado Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.67)
    4.69
    (3)
    11.63
    (6.37)
    -1.4%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Madryn - Alvarado?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Madryn won 1.
    • Deportivo Madryn is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Alvarado has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Deportivo Madryn is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Madryn won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Madryn - Alvarado were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn 0:2
    Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
    Latest results of Alvarado
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron532010:4611
    2Racing Cordoba53115:5010
    3Def. de Belgrano52305:239
    4Acassuso53028:629
    5San Miguel52216:428
    6Almirante Brown52214:318
    7Colon Santa Fe52215:508
    8Godoy Cruz51405:417
    9All Boys52124:407
    10Los Andes51313:216
    11CA Mitre51313:306
    12Deportivo Madryn51225:415
    13Ciudad Bolivar50503:305
    14San Telmo51228:9-15
    15Ferro51225:6-15
    16Central Norte51221:3-25
    17Chaco For Ever50235:10-52
    18CA Estudiantes50050:8-80


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nueva Chicago53116:3310
    2Gimnasia y Tiro53117:5210
    3Atl. Rafaela53114:2210
    4Tristan Suarez52306:249
    5San Martin T52306:339
    6Gimnasia Jujuy53026:8-29
    7Midland52215:328
    8Temperley52213:218
    9Atletico Atlanta52125:417
    10Agropecuario52125:507
    11San Martin S.J51225:6-15
    12Club A. Guemes51225:6-15
    13Patronato51223:5-25
    14Almagro51222:4-25
    15Quilmes51133:304
    16Chacarita Juniors51135:7-24
    17Deportivo Maipu51136:9-34
    18Colegiales51043:8-53

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation