Result
1:3
03/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', 1 - 0, Machuca B. ⚽,
- 11', 1 - 1, Solis N. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 2, Crego D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Kruger J. ↓, Bettini M. ↑,
- 55', Lesman G. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 3, Silba L. ⚽,
- 60', Juarez N. ↓, Gerez M. ↑,
- 60', Veliz D. ↓, Oyola A. I. ↑,
- 67', Solis N. ↓, Montagna E. ↑,
- 67', Rivero G. ↓, Mana N. ↑,
- 77', Silba L. ↓, Ayala E. ↑,
- 77', Perez B. ↓, Cascini B. ↑,
- 81', Martinez D. ↓, Mansilla M. ↑,
- 82', Juarez W. 🟨,
- 89', Sala S. G. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Güemes
39.5% | Draw
32.4% | Deportivo Madryn
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Güemes's performance.Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Madryn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Güemes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Madryn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Güemes - Deportivo Madryn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↓
(2.7) |
2.99 ↑
(2.9) |
3.52 ↑
(2.63) |
3.4%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Güemes - Deportivo Madryn?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Madryn: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Güemes won against Deportivo Madryn?
Güemes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Madryn won against Güemes?
Deportivo Madryn has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Güemes - Deportivo Madryn were as follows:
30.03.2025
Deportivo Madryn
-
Güemes
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 47 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 43 |
| 4 | San Miguel | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 43 |
| 5 | Patronato | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 41 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 23:15 | 8 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Quilmes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | All Boys | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 33 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Colegiales | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 17:22 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Almagro | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ferro | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 17:29 | -12 | 30 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 27 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 29:16 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | CA Estudiantes | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 30:19 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 27:17 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Temperley | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Chaco For Ever | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | San Telmo | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 35 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:22 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 19:22 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 21:34 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 25 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 13:34 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 15:45 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
