Deportivo Maipú vs Güemes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
87
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
72
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Ozuna E. ,
  • 38', Eggel M. 🟨,
  • 42', Ozuna E. 🟨,
  • 44', Saccone F. 🟨,
  • 45', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Chiozza L. , Veliz D. ,
  • 46', Gerez M. , Sala S. G. ,
  • 54', Saccone F. , Silva T. ,
  • 56', Albertengo M. , Lesman G. ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Palacios P. ,
  • 61', Oyola A. I. , Federico T. ,
  • 71', Ozuna E. , Sambueza R. ,
  • 74', de la Reta J. 🟨,
  • 85', Bonfigli M. , Sandoval I. ,
  • 90', Palacios P. , Juarez N. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Maipú
40.6%
Draw
34%
Güemes
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 30.4% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 32% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Maipú's form might have worsened.
  • Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Güemes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Maipú, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Güemes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Maipú - Güemes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.85)
    2.73
    (3)
    3.67
    (4.53)
    7.8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipú - Güemes?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).
    • Deportivo Maipú has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Güemes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Deportivo Maipú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Deportivo Maipú could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Maipú - Güemes were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Güemes - Deportivo Maipú 1:1
    07.09.2024 Güemes - Deportivo Maipú 4:0
    22.04.2024 Deportivo Maipú - Güemes 1:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
    Latest results of Güemes
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colon Santa Fe852111:5617
    2Def. de Belgrano83508:3514
    3Deportivo Moron842212:8414
    4Godoy Cruz83418:6213
    5Deportivo Madryn833211:7412
    6Los Andes83326:3312
    7San Miguel83328:8012
    8Racing Cordoba83235:8-311
    9Ciudad Bolivar81705:3210
    10Ferro82336:7-19
    11Acassuso83058:10-29
    12All Boys82334:6-29
    13Central Norte82333:5-29
    14CA Estudiantes83055:8-39
    15CA Mitre81527:9-28
    16San Telmo822410:13-38
    17Almirante Brown82245:8-38
    18Chaco For Ever81258:14-65


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy860212:10218
    2Tristan Suarez74309:2715
    3San Martin T835010:5514
    4Nueva Chicago74218:4414
    5Temperley83417:5213
    6Midland73316:3312
    7Quilmes832311:7411
    8Atl. Rafaela73226:5111
    9Gimnasia y Tiro83238:9-111
    10Club A. Guemes82339:11-29
    11Almagro82244:6-28
    12Chacarita Juniors82248:11-38
    13Agropecuario82246:9-38
    14Patronato82244:9-58
    15San Martin S.J71426:7-17
    16Atletico Atlanta72146:7-17
    17Deportivo Maipu821510:13-37
    18Colegiales82155:11-67

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation