Deportivo Maipú vs Güemes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
87
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
72
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Ozuna E. ,
  • 38', Eggel M. 🟨,
  • 42', Ozuna E. 🟨,
  • 44', Saccone F. 🟨,
  • 45', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Chiozza L. , Veliz D. ,
  • 46', Gerez M. , Sala S. G. ,
  • 54', Saccone F. , Silva T. ,
  • 56', Albertengo M. , Lesman G. ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Palacios P. ,
  • 61', Oyola A. I. , Federico T. ,
  • 71', Ozuna E. , Sambueza R. ,
  • 74', de la Reta J. 🟨,
  • 85', Bonfigli M. , Sandoval I. ,
  • 90', Palacios P. , Juarez N. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Maipú
40.6%
Draw
34%
Güemes
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 30.4% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 32% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Maipú's form might have worsened.
  • Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Güemes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Maipú, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Güemes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Deportivo Maipú - Güemes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.85)
    2.73
    (3)
    3.67
    (4.53)
    7.8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipú - Güemes?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16).
    • Deportivo Maipú has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Güemes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Deportivo Maipú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Deportivo Maipú could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Maipú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Maipú - Güemes were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Güemes - Deportivo Maipú 1:1
    07.09.2024 Güemes - Deportivo Maipú 4:0
    22.04.2024 Deportivo Maipú - Güemes 1:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
    Latest results of Güemes
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1163218:11721
    2Colon Santa Fe1154212:8419
    3Los Andes114529:4517
    4Almirante Brown115248:8017
    5Deportivo Madryn1144315:11416
    6Godoy Cruz1137110:8216
    7Ciudad Bolivar113719:7216
    8Ferro1143411:10115
    9Def. de Belgrano1136210:9115
    10Racing Cordoba1143411:12-115
    11San Miguel113539:11-214
    12CA Estudiantes114257:9-214
    13San Telmo1134412:14-213
    14CA Mitre1126310:11-112
    15All Boys112545:8-311
    16Central Norte112454:8-410
    17Acassuso113178:13-510
    18Chaco For Ever111469:16-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1172219:12723
    2Tristan Suarez1155112:6620
    3Atletico Atlanta1161414:9519
    4San Martin T1146112:8418
    5Nueva Chicago1145211:8317
    6Atl. Rafaela1144311:8316
    7Midland1144310:8216
    8Temperley113719:7216
    9San Martin S.J113449:11-213
    10Patronato113446:10-413
    11Quilmes1033411:8312
    12Deportivo Maipu1133512:14-212
    13Gimnasia y Tiro1033410:12-212
    14Colegiales113358:12-412
    15Chacarita Juniors103259:12-311
    16Agropecuario103259:13-411
    17Club A. Guemes1124511:16-510
    18Almagro112366:14-89

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation