Result
1:3
03/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', 1 - 0, Machuca B. ⚽,
- 11', 1 - 1, Solis N. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 2, Crego D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Kruger J. ↓, Bettini M. ↑,
- 55', Lesman G. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 3, Silba L. ⚽,
- 60', Juarez N. ↓, Gerez M. ↑,
- 60', Veliz D. ↓, Oyola A. I. ↑,
- 67', Solis N. ↓, Montagna E. ↑,
- 67', Rivero G. ↓, Mana N. ↑,
- 77', Silba L. ↓, Ayala E. ↑,
- 77', Perez B. ↓, Cascini B. ↑,
- 81', Martinez D. ↓, Mansilla M. ↑,
- 82', Juarez W. 🟨,
- 89', Sala S. G. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Güemes
39.5% | Draw
32.4% | Deportivo Madryn
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Güemes's performance.Deportivo Madryn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Madryn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Güemes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Madryn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Güemes - Deportivo Madryn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↓
(2.7) |
2.99 ↑
(2.9) |
3.52 ↑
(2.63) |
3.4%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Güemes - Deportivo Madryn?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Güemes will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Madryn: 29.6% – 90.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo Madryn will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Güemes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Güemes won against Deportivo Madryn?
Güemes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Madryn won against Güemes?
Deportivo Madryn has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Güemes - Deportivo Madryn were as follows:
30.03.2025
Deportivo Madryn
-
Güemes
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Colon Santa Fe | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Los Andes | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Ciudad Bolivar | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Ferro | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Def. de Belgrano | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | CA Estudiantes | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | San Telmo | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | All Boys | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Central Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4:8 | -4 | 10 |
| 17 | Acassuso | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Chaco For Ever | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 23 |
| 2 | Tristan Suarez | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atletico Atlanta | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | San Martin T | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Nueva Chicago | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Atl. Rafaela | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Midland | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Temperley | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | Patronato | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Quilmes | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportivo Maipu | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Colegiales | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Agropecuario | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Club A. Guemes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Almagro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
