Result
3:1
30/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 20
- Referee: Llobet F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Perez B. ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 0, Crego D. ⚽,
- 45', Belinetz O. 🟨,
- 45', Solis N. 🟨,
- 45', Flores F. 🟨,
- 45+1', Recalde F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Juarez M. ↓, Allende L. ↑,
- 46', Santiago M. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
- 46', Benzi T. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
- 65', Silba L. ↓, Mana N. ↑,
- 65', Solis N. ↓, Montagna E. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Martinez R. ⚽,
- 73', Capano J. 🟨,
- 75', Rivero G. ↓, Ayala E. ↑,
- 75', Perez B. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
- 80', Roseti M. 🟨,
- 84', 3 - 1, Mana N. ⚽,
- 86', Perez F. ↓, Kalinski E. ↑,
- 86', Bindella A. ↓, Schultz E. ↑,
- 86', 🟨,
- 87', Giacopuzzi F. 🟨,
- 88', 🟨,
- 90', Crego D. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Madryn
55.2% | Draw
30.4% | Quilmes
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.71) |
3.05 ↓
(3.16) |
6.27 ↑
(5.78) |
7.9%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Madryn: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
- Deportivo Madryn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Quilmes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Deportivo Madryn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Deportivo Madryn is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Madryn won against Quilmes?
Deportivo Madryn has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against Deportivo Madryn?
Quilmes has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes were as follows:
23.02.2025
Quilmes
-
Deportivo Madryn
1:1
05.08.2023
Deportivo Madryn
-
Quilmes
0:0
03.04.2023
Quilmes
-
Deportivo Madryn
2:0
07.09.2022
Quilmes
-
Deportivo Madryn
2:1
03.09.2022
Deportivo Madryn
-
Quilmes
1:1
Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
Latest results of Quilmes
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 47 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 43 |
| 4 | San Miguel | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 43 |
| 5 | Patronato | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 41 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 23:15 | 8 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Quilmes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | All Boys | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 33 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Colegiales | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 17:22 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Almagro | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ferro | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 17:29 | -12 | 30 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 27 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 29:16 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | CA Estudiantes | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 30:19 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 27:17 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Temperley | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Chaco For Ever | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | San Telmo | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 35 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:22 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 19:22 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 21:34 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 25 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 13:34 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 15:45 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
