Deportivo Madryn vs Quilmes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes
Result
3:1
30/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 20
  • Referee: Llobet F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
106
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
54
Total shots
177
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
27
Goalkeeper Saves
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Perez B. ,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Crego D. ,
  • 45', Belinetz O. 🟨,
  • 45', Solis N. 🟨,
  • 45', Flores F. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Recalde F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Juarez M. , Allende L. ,
  • 46', Santiago M. , Martinez R. ,
  • 46', Benzi T. , Capano J. ,
  • 65', Silba L. , Mana N. ,
  • 65', Solis N. , Montagna E. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Martinez R. ,
  • 73', Capano J. 🟨,
  • 75', Rivero G. , Ayala E. ,
  • 75', Perez B. , Bustos A. ,
  • 80', Roseti M. 🟨,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Mana N. ,
  • 86', Perez F. , Kalinski E. ,
  • 86', Bindella A. , Schultz E. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 87', Giacopuzzi F. 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90', Crego D. , Juncos B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Madryn
55.2%
Draw
30.4%
Quilmes
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 29.5% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 28.6% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.71)
    3.05
    (3.16)
    6.27
    (5.78)
    7.9%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Madryn: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Deportivo Madryn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Quilmes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Deportivo Madryn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Deportivo Madryn is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn 1:1
    05.08.2023 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 0:0
    03.04.2023 Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn 2:0
    07.09.2022 Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn 2:1
    03.09.2022 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 1:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
    Latest results of Quilmes
    25.07.2025 Colegiales - Quilmes 1:0
    19.07.2025 Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí 3:1
    12.07.2025 All Boys - Quilmes 0:0
    06.07.2025 Quilmes - Alvarado Postponed
    05.07.2025 San Lorenzo - Quilmes 1:0
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn251110433:211243
    2Atletico Atlanta24119423:15842
    3San Martin T24109522:16639
    4Tristan Suarez25912422:16639
    5San Miguel25109626:21539
    6Patronato25108728:23538
    7Gimnasia y Tiro2599722:15736
    8Deportivo Maipu2489723:22133
    9Los Andes25871025:24131
    10Almagro2579920:22-230
    11Racing Cordoba2579929:34-530
    12Colegiales25861115:21-630
    13Quilmes2369823:23027
    14All Boys24511819:21-226
    15Club A. Guemes25414721:26-526
    16Ferro24681015:25-1026
    17Alvarado24591016:23-724
    18Arsenal Sarandi25491224:38-1421


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza241210225:111446
    2Chacarita Juniors25127632:201243
    3Gimnasia Jujuy241110324:121243
    4Temperley25119523:17642
    5Estudiantes Rio Cuarto251011425:151041
    6Chaco For Ever24124827:19840
    7Deportivo Moron23109425:131239
    8CA Estudiantes25116826:18839
    9Nueva Chicago2588923:24-132
    10Agropecuario2588928:30-232
    11CA Mitre25871017:19-231
    12San Telmo25710824:29-531
    13Def. de Belgrano2479819:19030
    14Central Norte24841222:29-728
    15Colon Santa Fe24831320:27-727
    16Almirante Brown25591120:29-924
    17Defensores Unidos25291414:42-2815
    18Talleres (R.E)2525189:30-2111

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation