Deportivo Madryn vs Quilmes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes
Result
3:1
30/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 20
  • Referee: Llobet F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
106
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
54
Total shots
177
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
71
Corner Kicks
27
Goalkeeper Saves
57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Perez B. ,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Crego D. ,
  • 45', Belinetz O. 🟨,
  • 45', Solis N. 🟨,
  • 45', Flores F. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Recalde F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Juarez M. , Allende L. ,
  • 46', Santiago M. , Martinez R. ,
  • 46', Benzi T. , Capano J. ,
  • 65', Silba L. , Mana N. ,
  • 65', Solis N. , Montagna E. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Martinez R. ,
  • 73', Capano J. 🟨,
  • 75', Rivero G. , Ayala E. ,
  • 75', Perez B. , Bustos A. ,
  • 80', Roseti M. 🟨,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Mana N. ,
  • 86', Perez F. , Kalinski E. ,
  • 86', Bindella A. , Schultz E. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 87', Giacopuzzi F. 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90', Crego D. , Juncos B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo Madryn
55.2%
Draw
30.4%
Quilmes
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 29.5% 16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 28.6% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.71)
    3.05
    (3.16)
    6.27
    (5.78)
    7.9%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Madryn: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Madryn (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Deportivo Madryn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Quilmes has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Deportivo Madryn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Deportivo Madryn is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Madryn won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn 1:1
    05.08.2023 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 0:0
    03.04.2023 Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn 2:0
    07.09.2022 Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn 2:1
    03.09.2022 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 1:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
    Latest results of Quilmes
    25.07.2025 Colegiales - Quilmes 1:0
    19.07.2025 Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí 3:1
    12.07.2025 All Boys - Quilmes 0:0
    05.07.2025 San Lorenzo - Quilmes 1:0
    21.06.2025 Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú 2:2
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn341612645:281760
    2Atletico Atlanta341413731:28355
    3Tristan Suarez341216633:231052
    4Gimnasia y Tiro341312934:231151
    5San Miguel341214832:28450
    6San Martin T341213932:29349
    7Deportivo Maipu3412121034:30448
    8Patronato3412121031:28348
    9Colegiales341381326:26047
    10All Boys34817926:25141
    11Racing Cordoba3410111338:45-741
    12Ferro3410111324:33-941
    13Los Andes3410101428:31-340
    14Club A. Guemes348161028:32-440
    15Quilmes348141230:32-238
    16Almagro347141324:31-735
    17Arsenal Sarandi348101638:47-934
    18Alvarado346151318:33-1533


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza341712535:181763
    2Estudiantes Rio Cuarto341612635:221360
    3CA Estudiantes34178941:221959
    4Deportivo Moron341513636:191758
    5Gimnasia Jujuy341512736:201657
    6Temperley341413730:22855
    7Agropecuario341591043:34954
    8Chaco For Ever341581134:26853
    9Chacarita Juniors341213937:29849
    10Def. de Belgrano3412121030:26448
    11Nueva Chicago3410111327:33-641
    12San Telmo3410111331:42-1141
    13CA Mitre3410101428:31-340
    14Almirante Brown348121428:38-1036
    15Central Norte341061827:41-1436
    16Colon Santa Fe34952022:39-1732
    17Talleres (R.E)34652317:40-2323
    18Defensores Unidos343121917:52-3521

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation